Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1625; (P) 1.1685 (R1) 1.1721; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as it’s staying in converging range. On the downside, below 1.1612 will argue that larger fall from 1.2555 is possibly ready to resume. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 1.1507 low. Break will confirm and should target 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 and then 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. In case, the consolidation extends, upside should be limited by 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1635; (P) 1.1668; (R1) 1.1717; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.1300 could extend through 1.1733 resistance. But we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779 to limit upside, at least on first attempt, to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1525 support will indicate completion of this corrective rebound. Retest of 1.1300 low should then be seen. However, firm break of 1.1779 will extend the rise to 100% projection of 1.1300 to 1.1733 from 1.1525 at 1.1958.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.1300, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and some consolidations would be seen. But still, note that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. That carries some long term bearish implications. Thus, we’d expect fall from 1.2555 high to resume after consolidation completes. Below 1.1300 should send EUR/USD through 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186. And, in that case, EUR/USD would head to retest 1.0339 (2017 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0799; (P) 1.0811; (R1) 1.0833; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the upside for the moment. Sustained trading above above 55 D EMA (now at 1.0832) will argue that fall from 1.1138 has completed and target this resistance. Meanwhile, rejection by 55 D EMA, followed by break of 1.0761 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.0694 first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0981; (P) 1.1004; (R1) 1.1031; More…

EUR/USD’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Decisive break of 1.1094 will resume larger up trend from 0.9534 to 1.1273 fibonacci level. On the downside, below 1.1012 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.0834 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0515 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) would still extend higher. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0638; (P) 1.0667; (R1) 1.0711; More…

Breach of 1.0690 minor resistance suggests that rebound from 1.0532 is resuming. The development revives the case that correction from 1.1032 has completed at 1.0532 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0803 resistance first. On the downside, however, break of 1.0575 support will dampen this bullish view again and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, even as a corrective pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1413; (R1) 1.1475; More…..

Despite today’s rebound, EUR/USD is staying below 1.1485 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.1485 resistance will revive the case of near term reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 1.1814 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1270 will, instead, revive the bearish case that down trend from 1.2555 is still in progress. Bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1186 key fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0130; (P) 1.0175 (R1) 1.0207; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the downside despite some loss of downside momentum. Current down trend should target 1.0090 long term projection level. Break there will target 100% projection of 1.1184 to 1.0348 from 1.0773 at 0.9937, which is close to parity. On the upside, above 1.0276 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But recovery should be limited below 1.0614 resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.0339 long term support (2017 low) indicates resumption of whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 1.0090. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0786 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0854; (P) 1.0943; (R1) 1.1001; More…

Focus is now on 1.0800 minor support in EUR/USD with today’s extended pull back. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 1.0800 will confirm short term topping at 1.1032. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside for 1.0482 support, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the rally from 0.9534 low (2022 low) is a medium term up trend rather than a correction. Further rise is in favor to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.0482 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2162; (P) 1.2213; (R1) 1.2243; More….

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation from 122.65 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 1.2160 support intact. Above 1.2265 will resume the rise from 1.1703 to retest 1.2347 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.6039 for 1.2555 cluster resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2160 support will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2348 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0853; (P) 1.0881; (R1) 1.0907; More…

The break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1095 to 1.0777 at 1.0898 suggests that EUR/USD is in a stronger corrective recovery. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 61.8% retracement at 1.0974. Though, there is no change in the bearish outlook that larger down trend should resume at a later stage. On the downside, below 1.0830 minor support will bring retest of 1.0777 low first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has just resumed and prior rejection by 55 week EMA affirms medium term bearishness. Sustained break of 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.0813 will pave the way to retest 1.0339 low. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1239 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0970; (P) 1.1028; (R1) 1.1062; More…

EUR/USD recovers mildly but stays in consolidation from 1.0926. Intraday bias remains neutral and more sideway trading might be seen. But overall, outlook remains bearish as long as 1.1164 resistance holds. Firm of 1.0926 will resume lager down trend from 1.2555 for 1.0813 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 1.1164 will be an early indication of larger reversal and target 1.1249 resistance.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9989; (P) 1.0039; (R1) 1.0134; More…

EUR/USD retreated after hitting 1.0092 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Overall, rise from 0.9534 is still expected to continue as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9885). Above 1.0092 will resume the rally from 0.9534 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1494 to 0.9534 at 1.0283.

In the bigger picture, the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9534 building up, with bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. While it is too early to call for trend reversal, firm break of 0.9998 opens up stronger rebound back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0630) even as a corrective rise. This will now be the favored case as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9937) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1174; (P) 1.1218; (R1) 1.1249; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside at this point, for 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.1422 at 1.1121. Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.0635 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.0936. On the upside, above 1.1353 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1422 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1713; (P) 1.1764; (R1) 1.1798; More…..

Despite breaching 1.1732 support to 1.1719, EUR/USD quickly recovered and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.1830 will resume the rebound from 1.1612 to retest 1.2011 high. On the downside, through, break of 1.1719 will suggest that correction from 1.2011 is extending with another leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1612 and below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1681; (P) 1.1705 (R1) 1.1733; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral again as it lost upside moment. Outlook is unchanged though as consolidation from 1.1507 might extend. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.1612 will bring retest of 1.1507 low first. Decisive break there will resume larger fall from 1.2555. In that case, EUR/USD should drop through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186.

In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1532; (P) 1.1589 (R1) 1.1646; More…..

EUR/USD is staying in consolidation and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption. Firm break of 1.1509 will resume larger decline from 1.2555 through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1634; (P) 1.1661; (R1) 1.1694; More…..

Further fall is still expected in EUR/USD as long as 1.1760 resistance holds. Current decline from 1.2011 should target 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2011 at 1.1485. Such decline is seen as a corrective move for now. Thus, we’d look for strong support from 1.1485 to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1485. On the upside, above 1.1760 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2011 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1715; (P) 1.1758; (R1) 1.1780; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise could be seen as long as 1.1695 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1916 will target will extend larger rally from 1.0635 to 161.8% projection of 1.0774 to 1.1422 from 1.1255 at 1.2303. However, firm break of 1.1695 should confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to wards 1.1422 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0635 already. Rise form 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9862; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 1.0055; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral first with current retreat. On the downside, break of 0.9734 minor support will suggest rejection by 55 day EMA (now at 1.0022), and medium term falling channel. Bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9534 low and then resume down trend. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.0022) will raise the chance of medium term bottoming at 0.9534. Further rally should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1494 to 0.9534 at 1.0283.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, break of 1.0197 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even with strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1713; (P) 1.1792; (R1) 1.1853; More…..

EUR/USD breached 1.1737 support briefly but quickly recovered. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 1.1737 will reaffirm the bearish case that fall from 1.2011 is correcting whole rise from 1.0635. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2011 at 1.1485. On the upside, though, break of 1.1917 will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.2011 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.