Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1692; (P) 1.1730 (R1) 1.1781; More…..

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1507 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance from 1.1851 to limit upside to complete recent corrective pattern. On the downside, below 1.1679 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.1507 low first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1825; (P) 1.1871; (R1) 1.1923; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.1695 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1916 will extend larger rally to 161.8% projection of 1.0774 to 1.1422 from 1.1255 at 1.2303. Nevertheless, on the downside, break of 1.1695 support will now indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for deeper correction to 1.1422 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.1496 resistance now suggests that whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0635 already. Rise from 1.0635 should be the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0853; (P) 1.0893; (R1) 1.0950; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. Further rally is mildly in favor with 55 D EMA (now at 1.0850) intact). On the upside, break of 1.1011 will resume the rise from 1.0634 and target 1.1094 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend from 0.9534 to 1.1273 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 1.0834 will turn bias to the downside for 1.0634 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0515 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) would still extend higher. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0903; (P) 1.0925; (R1) 1.0942; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.0969 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0803 support holds. On the upside, above 1.0969 will resume the rise from 1.0634 to retest 1.1094 high. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 0.9534. However, firm break of 1.0803 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.1094 with another falling leg, targeting 1.0634 and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0515 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) would still extend higher. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1387; (P) 1.1418; (R1) 1.1435; More…..

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1407 minor support argues that rebound from 1.1289 has completed at 1.1514 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.1289. Overall, price actions from 1.1215 are seen as a correction pattern. Break of 1.1289 will argue that such correction is completed and larger decline from 1.2555 is ready to resume. On the upside, break of 1.1514 will extend the pattern with another rise towards 1.1569 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1210; (P) 1.1249; (R1) 1.1281; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1168 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.1422 at 1.1121. Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.0635 has completed and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.0936. On the upside, break of 1.1348 will likely resume the rise from 1.0635 through 1.1422 to 1.1496 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1668; (P) 1.1725; (R1) 1.1807; More…..

EUR/USD’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 1.0774 to 1.1422 from 1.1168 at 1.1816 first. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.2216 next. On the downside, below 1.1640 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1422 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 1.1496 resistance now suggests that whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0635 already. Rise form 1.0635 should be the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1168 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0874; (P) 1.0911; (R1) 1.0936; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend is targeting 1.0813 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 1.0958 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1109 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) is in progress. Prior rejection of 55 week EMA also maintained bearishness. Further fall should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Decisive break there will target 1.0339 (2017 low). On the upside, break of 1.1412 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1716; (P) 1.1762 (R1) 1.1792; More…..

intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first as range trading continue. On the downside, break of 1.1713 minor support suggest completion of the correction fro 1.1509. Intraday would be turned back to the downside to resume larger fall from 1.2555, through 1.1509 to 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.1995 resistance to bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2009; (P) 1.2030; (R1) 1.2055; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside with focus on channel support (now at 1.1983). Sustained break there would argue that it’s correcting whole up trend from 1.0635 to 1.2348. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 1.2348 to 1.2052 from 1.2188 at 1.1892 first. On the upside, break of 1.2052 support turned resistance will argue that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.2188 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1652; (P) 1.1721 (R1) 1.1766; More….

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Intraday bias remains on the downside at this point. Current decline from 1.2555 would target 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 next. Though, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1829 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming. And, lengthier consolidation would be seen in this case, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2076) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1020; (P) 1.1032; (R1) 1.1056; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.0447 should target a retest on 1.1274 high. Strong resistance should be seen from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. On the downside, below 1.0993 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.0722 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1635; (P) 1.1668; (R1) 1.1717; More…..

EUR/USD strengthens further today and focus is back on 1.1733 resistance Break will resume whole rebound from 1.1300. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.1617 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Further break of 1.1525 support will indicate completion of this corrective rebound from 1.1300. However, firm break of 1.1779 will extend the rise to 100% projection of 1.1300 to 1.1733 from 1.1525 at 1.1958.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.1300, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD and some consolidations would be seen. But still, note that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. That carries some long term bearish implications. Thus, we’d expect fall from 1.2555 high to resume after consolidation completes. Below 1.1300 should send EUR/USD through 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186. And, in that case, EUR/USD would head to retest 1.0339 (2017 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0796; (P) 1.0818; (R1) 1.0853; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral, as consolidation continues below 1.0886. Overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.0482 support holds. Break of 1.0886 will resume rally from 0.9534 to 61.8% projection of 0.9630 to 1.0733 from 1.0482 at 1.1164 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the rally from 0.9534 low (2022 low) is a medium term up trend rather than a correction. Further rally is in favor to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.0482 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0704; (P) 1.0719; (R1) 1.0744; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral as consolidation continues above 1.0694. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0804 resistance holds. Below 1.0694 will resume the fall from 1.1138 to retest 1.0447 support. Nevertheless, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, above 1.0804 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3899; (P) 1.3965; (R1) 1.4004; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.3917. Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral for consolidation. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.4089 minor resistance to bring another fall. Below 1.3917 will target 1.3711 key support next. However, firm break of 1.4089 will turn focus back to 1.4376 high instead.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in daily MACD is raising the chance of medium term reversal. Also, note that GBP/USD has just failed to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4257). Focus is back on 1.3711 support. Firm break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1936 (2016 low) to 1.4376 at 1.3448 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.2874 and below. For now, sustained break of 55 month EMA is needed to confirm medium term upside momentum. Otherwise, we won’t turn bullish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2257; (P) 1.2351 (R1) 1.2406; More….

EUR/USD dips in early US session but is still staying above 1.2268 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.2268 will argue that fall from 1.2555 is likely resuming. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.2154 support and below. Om the upside, above 1.24455 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.2555 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. Firm break of 1.1553 support will add more medium term bearishness. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0932; (P) 1.0966; (R1) 1.1012; More…

EUR/USD’s rise resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Corrective pattern from 1.0635 is in another rising leg. Break of 1.1019 will target 1.1147 resistance. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167. On the downside, break of 1.0774 should turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0635 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1707; (P) 1.1758; (R1) 1.1783; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is in favor as long as 1.1695 minor support holds. Corrective pull back from 1.2011 should have completed at 1.1612. Break of 1.1807 will target a test on 1.2011 high. However, on the downside, below 1.1695 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.1612 support. Break will resume the correction from 1.2011 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2011 at 1.1485.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1356; (P) 1.1387; (R1) 1.1430; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Also, price actions from 1.1215 are still viewed as a corrective pattern. Thus, downside breakout is favored. On the downside, break of 1.1307 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1215 low. Break will resume down trend from 1.2555 to 1.1186 key fibonacci level. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1499 resistance will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rebound back to 1.1621 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.