EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0674; (P) 1.0690; (R1) 1.0715; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.0655 minor support, and sustained trading below 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0670), will argue that the rebound from 1.0447 has completed with three waves up to 1.0755. That came after rejection by 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0447/0515 support zone. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level, followed by decisive break of 1.0764, will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. However, break of 1.0447 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9543 to 1.1274 at 1.0199.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0663; (P) 1.0678; (R1) 1.0700; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.0655 minor support, and sustained trading below 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0664), will argue that the rebound from 1.0447 has completed with three waves up to 1.0755. That came after rejection by 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0447/0515 support zone. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level, followed by decisive break of 1.0764, will bring stronger rally to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. However, break of 1.0447 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9543 to 1.1274 at 1.0199.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0663; (P) 1.0678; (R1) 1.0700; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0664) will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0447/0515 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. However, Break of 1.0447 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9543 to 1.1274 at 1.0199.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD turned sideway after edging higher to 1.0755 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0663) will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0447/0515 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. However, Break of 1.0447 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9543 to 1.1274 at 1.0199.

In the long term picture, a long term bottom is in place at 0.9534 on bullish convergence condition in M MACD. But momentum of the rebound argues that it’s merely in a consolidation phase, rather than trend reversal. Range trading is likely between 0.9534/1.2348 for some more time.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0644; (P) 1.0685; (R1) 1.0709; More

EUR/USD is trying to draw support from 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0657) and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is in favor as long as this EMA holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0644; (P) 1.0685; (R1) 1.0709; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral with focus on 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0657). Further rise is in favor as long as this EMA holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0673; (P) 1.0695; (R1) 1.0730; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0657) holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0673; (P) 1.0695; (R1) 1.0730; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0656) holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0668; (P) 1.0696; (R1) 1.0727; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0646) holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0668; (P) 1.0696; (R1) 1.0727; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0646) holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0703; (P) 1.0730; (R1) 1.0743; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0638) holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0703; (P) 1.0730; (R1) 1.0743; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations could be seen. But further rally is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0637) holds. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will argue that the rebound has completed, and target 1.0515 support, and then 1.0447 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0648; (P) 1.0698; (R1) 1.0780; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias remains on the upside. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. On the downside, below 1.0666 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0648; (P) 1.0698; (R1) 1.0780; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Decisive break of 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763) will extend the rise from 1.0447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. On the downside, below 1.0666 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.0447 resumed last week and the break of 55 D EMA argues that fall from 1.1274 has completed. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next. On the downside, below 1.0609 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

In the long term picture, sustained trading above 55 M EMA (now at 1.1087) is needed to be the first sign of bullish trend reversal. Decisive break of 1.2348 structural resistance is needed to confirm. Otherwise, outlook will be neutral at best.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0570; (P) 1.0619; (R1) 1.0672; More

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.0447 resumed by breaking through 1.0693 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.0958 next On the downside, below 1.0609 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could be viewed part of a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). An interim bounce from current level, as the second leg of the pattern, cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 1.1274 resistance to start the third leg. The pattern would likely at least have a take on 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0570; (P) 1.0619; (R1) 1.0672; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.0693 will extend the rebound from 1.0447 to 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). However, break of 1.0515 will indicate that larger fall from 1.1274 is ready to resume through 1.0447 to 1.0199 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could be viewed part of a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). An interim bounce from current level, as the second leg of the pattern, cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 1.1274 resistance to start the third level. The pattern would likely at least have a take on 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0531; (P) 1.0556; (R1) 1.0595; More

EUR/USD is still capped below 1.0693 resistance despite current rebound. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.0693 will extend the rebound from 1.0447 to 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763). However, break of 1.0515 will indicate that larger fall from 1.1274 is ready to resume through 1.0447 to 1.0199 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could be viewed part of a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). An interim bounce from current level, as the second leg of the pattern, cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 1.1274 resistance to start the third level. The pattern would likely at least have a take on 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0531; (P) 1.0556; (R1) 1.0595; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 1.0522 support will argue that larger fall from 1.1274 is resumed to ready. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 1.0447 first, and then 1.0199 fibonacci level. On the other hand, strong bounce from current level, followed by break above 1.0693, will extend the rebound from 1.0447 to 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0665) holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0531; (P) 1.0603; (R1) 1.0648; More

Immediate focus is now on 1.0522 support in EUR/USD. Firm break there will argue that larger fall from 1.1274 is resumed to ready. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 1.0447 first, and then 1.0199 fibonacci level. On the other hand, strong bounce from current level, followed by break above 1.0693, will extend the rebound from 1.0447 to 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0665) holds, in case of rebound.