EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0774; (P) 1.0799 (R1) 1.0823; More…..

EUR/USD lost some upside momentum again with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. But further rally is still expected with 1.0718 minor support intact. Break of 1.0828 resistance will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. However, as rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. We’d expect upside to be limited by 1.0983 to complete the correction. On the downside, break of 1.0718 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0494 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to resume later. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0716; (P) 1.0747 (R1) 1.0769; More…..

With 1.0718 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.0828 resistance. Break there will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. However, as rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. We’d expect upside to be limited by 1.0983 to complete the correction. On the downside, break of 1.0718 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0494 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to resume later. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0716; (P) 1.0747 (R1) 1.0769; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside as rise from 1.0494 continues. Break of 1.0828 will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. However, as rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. We’d expect upside to be limited by 1.0983 to complete the correction. On the downside, break of 1.0718 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0494 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to resume later. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0716; (P) 1.0747 (R1) 1.0769; More…..

EUR/USD’s rally re-accelerates and reaches as high as 1.0811 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. Nonetheless, we maintain that rise from 1.0339 is a corrective move. Hence, we’d expect upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to completion the correction. On the downside, break of 1.0705 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0494 support first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to resume later. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0716; (P) 1.0747 (R1) 1.0769; More…..

EUR/USD lost some upside momentum with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. But with 1.0639 minor support intact, further rise is expected. Corrective rise from 1.0339 is still in progress and break of 1.0828 will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. Since such rise is viewed as a corrective move, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.0639 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0715; (P) 1.0748 (R1) 1.0770; More…..

Further rise is expected in EUR/USD for 1.0828 resistance, with 1.0639 minor support intact. Corrective rise from 1.0339 is still in progress and break of 1.0828 will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. Since such rise is viewed as a corrective move, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.0639 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0715; (P) 1.0748 (R1) 1.0770; More…..

With 1.0639 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.0828 resistance. Corrective rise from 1.0339 is still in progress and break of 1.0828 will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. Since such rise is viewed as a corrective move, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.0639 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.0494 accelerated higher last week. The development dampened our bearish view of down trend resuming. Instead, it suggest that corrective rise from 1.0339 is still in progress. And further rise would be seen through 1.0828 resistance in near term.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in EUD/USD stays on the upside this week for 1.0828 resistance and above. However, since rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. We’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.0639 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

In the long term picture, the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress and there is no clear sign of completion. We’d expect more downside towards 0.8223 (2000 low) as long as 1.1298 resistance holds. However, firm break of 1.1298 should now confirm long term reversal.

EUR/USD Monthly Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0722; (P) 1.0746 (R1) 1.0787; More…..

EUR/USD dips notably after hitting 1.0781. But intraday bias stays on the upside for the moment first. Further rally is in favor to 1.0828 resistance and above. Overall, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0599 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0722; (P) 1.0746 (R1) 1.0787; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. Overall, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0599 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0642; (P) 1.0691 (R1) 1.0780; More…..

EUR/USD’s rally from 1.0494 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. Overall, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0599 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0642; (P) 1.0691 (R1) 1.0780; More…..

EUR/USD was supported by 4 hour 55 EMA and rebounded strongly. The break of 1.0713 indicates that whole rise from 1.0494 has resumed. It also revived the case that rise from 1.0494 is the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above.

Still, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0599 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0581; (P) 1.0621 (R1) 1.0644; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays mildly on the downside for the moment. Deeper fall could be seen back to 1.0494 support. Overall, price actions from 1.0339 are seen as a corrective pattern. Break of 1.0494 will revive that case that such correction is completed. And in such case, deeper decline should be seen to retest 1.0339. Meanwhile, above 1.0713 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0828 and above to extend the correction from 1.0339.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0581; (P) 1.0621 (R1) 1.0644; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside for 1.0494 support. Overall, price actions from 1.0339 are seen as a corrective pattern. Break of 1.0494 will revive that case that such correction is completed. And in such case, deeper decline should be seen to retest 1.0339. Meanwhile, above 1.0713 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0828 and above to extend the correction from 1.0339.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0631; (P) 1.0672 (R1) 1.0694; More…..

EUR/USD’s break of 1.0630 support mixed up the near term outlook mildly and intraday bias stays is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0494 low. Overall price actions from 1.0339 are seen as a corrective pattern. Break of 1.0494 will revive that case that such correction is completed. And in such case, deeper decline should be seen to retest 1.0339. Meanwhile, above 1.0713 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0828 and above to extend the correction from 1.0339.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0631; (P) 1.0672 (R1) 1.0694; More…..

A temporary top is formed at 1.0713 in EUR/USD with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, whole rise from 1.0339 low is in progress and resuming. Above 1.0713 will target 1.0828 and above. However, since it’s seen as a corrective move, we’d expect upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. The larger down trend is expected to resume later. On the downside, break of prior resistance at 1.0630 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0494 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0595; (P) 1.0647 (R1) 1.0723; More…..

With 1.0630 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside. Rise from 1.0494 is expected to extend to 1.0828 resistance and above. Note again that rise from 1.0339 low is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d expect upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. The larger down trend is still expected to resume later. On the downside, break of prior resistance at 1.0630 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0494 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0595; (P) 1.0647 (R1) 1.0723; More…..

EUR/USD’s rise from 1.0494 extends to as high as 1.0713 today so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. Note again that rise from 1.0339 low is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d expect upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. The larger down trend is still expected to resume later. On the downside, break of prior resistance at 1.0630 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0494 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD rebounded strongly last week and hit as high as 1.0698. The strong break of 1.0630 resistance indicates completion of corrective pull back from 1.0828. More importantly, whole rise from 1.0339 is possibly resuming. But still, such rise is still seen as a correction and the larger down trend should resume after it completes.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside this week for 1.0828. Break there will target 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983. But upside should be limited there to completion the corrective rise and bring reversal. Meanwhile, on the downside, break of prior resistance at 1.0630 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0494 low.

EUR/USD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

In the long term picture, the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress and there is no clear sign of completion. We’d expect more downside towards 0.8223 (2000 low) as long as 1.1298 resistance holds. However, firm break of 1.1298 should now confirm long term reversal.

EUR/USD Monthly Chart

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0528; (P) 1.0572 (R1) 1.0619; More…..

EUR/USD extends the post-ECB rally today and breaches 1.0630 resistance again. The development suggests that pull back from 1.0828 has completed at 1.0493 already. More importantly, corrective rise from 1.0339 is possibly still in progress for another rising leg. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 1.0678 resistance first. Break will send EUR/USD through 1.0828 resistance.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/USD 4 Hours Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart