EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0876; (P) 1.0986; (R1) 1.1057; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first, but focus is immediately on 1.1145 resistance with today’s rebound. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.0176. Next target is 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775 to complete the near term consolidation.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0876; (P) 1.0986; (R1) 1.1057; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral as consolidations continue below 1.1145. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0901; (P) 1.0946; (R1) 1.1004; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen, but in case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0901; (P) 1.0946; (R1) 1.1004; More

EUR/USD is staying below 1.1145 despite current rebound, and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen, but in case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0841; (P) 1.0945; (R1) 1.1011; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook as consolidations continue below 1.1145. Intraday bias stays neutral for now. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0841; (P) 1.0945; (R1) 1.1011; More

EUR/USD is still bounded in consolidations below 1.1145 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0889; (P) 1.0999; (R1) 1.1072; More

EUR/USD is extending consolidations below 1.1145 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

 

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0889; (P) 1.0999; (R1) 1.1072; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidations below 1.1145. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.1145 will resume the rally from 1.0176 to 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s rally from 1.0176 resumed last week and spiked higher to 1.1145. But a temporary top was formed there with subsequent retreat. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.1145 at 1.0775 to bring rebound. Above 1.1145 will target 1.1213/74 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through the multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

In the long term picture, the case of long term bullish reversal is building up. Sustained break of falling channel resistance (now at around 1.1350) will argue that the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) has completed at 0.9534. A medium term up trend should then follow even as a corrective move. Nevertheless, rejection by the channel resistance will keep outlook bearish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0855; (P) 1.1001; (R1) 1.1196; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.0731 support to bring another rally. Break of 1.1145 temporary top will target 1.1274 key resistance, and probably further to 100% projection of 1.0358 to 1.0953 from 1.0731 at 1.1326.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0855; (P) 1.1001; (R1) 1.1196; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. Sustained trading above 61.8% projection of 1.0358 to 1.0953 from 1.0731 at 1.1099 will pave the way to 1.1274 key resistance, and probably further to o 100% projection at 1.1326. On the downside, below 1.1002 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0785; (P) 1.0855; (R1) 1.0929; More

EUR/USD’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.1145 so far, and met 61.8% projection of 1.0358 to 1.0953 from 1.0731 at 1.1099 already. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained trading above 1.1099 will pave the way 1.1274 key resistance, and probably further to o 100% projection at 1.1326. On the downside, below 1.1002 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0785; (P) 1.0855; (R1) 1.0929; More

EUR/USD’s break of 1.0857 resistance suggests that correction from 1.0953 has already completed at 1.0731. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Decisive break of 1.0953 will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.0176. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0358 to 1.0953 from 1.0731 at 1.1099. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0731 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0770; (P) 1.0800; (R1) 1.0822; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.0857 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.0963 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 will bring deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0656).

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0770; (P) 1.0800; (R1) 1.0822; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.0857 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.0963 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 will bring deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0650).

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0783; (P) 1.0816; (R1) 1.0848; More

EUR/USD dips slightly today but stays well above 1.0731 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.0857 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.0963 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 holds will bring deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0645).

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0783; (P) 1.0816; (R1) 1.0848; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.0857 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.0963 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 holds.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0782; (P) 1.0813; (R1) 1.0862; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 1.0857 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.0963 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 holds.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0782; (P) 1.0813; (R1) 1.0862; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.0857 resistance will indicate that correction from 1.0963 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 holds.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD gyrated lower last week but recovered ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.0358 to 1.0953 at 1.0726 as expected. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.0857 minor resistance will suggest that correction from 1.0953 has completed already. Retest of 1.0953 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume the rally from 1.0176 towards 1.1274 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, prior strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0692) suggests that fall from 1.1274 (2024 high) has completed as a three wave correction to 1.0176. Rise from 0.9534 is still intact, and might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.1274 will target 100% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1274 from 1.0176 at 1.1916. Also, that will send EUR/USD through a multi-decade channel resistance will carries larger bullish implication. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.0531 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, the case of long term bullish reversal is building up. Sustained break of falling channel resistance (now at around 1.1377) will argue that the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) has completed at 0.9534. A medium term up trend should then follow even as a corrective move. Nevertheless, rejection by the channel resistance will keep outlook bearish.