Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1626; (P) 1.1654 (R1) 1.1691; More…

EUR/USD continues to lose upside momentum. But with 1.1582 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally would now target 1.2 handle next. On the downside, below 1.1582 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained by 1.1444 resistance turned support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 1.1760) will pave the way to key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. While rise fro 1.0339 is strong, there is no confirmation that it’s developing into a long term up trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. But for now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1295 support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0664; (P) 1.0700 (R1) 1.0766; More….

Corrective rise from 1.0339 is still in progress with 1.0569 as another rising leg. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.0905 resistance and above. We’ll pay attention to topping signal above 1.0905 again, as we’d expect larger down trend to resume later. On the downside, break of 1.0634 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.0569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate term reversal. this would also be supported by sustained trading above 55 week EMA.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0642; (P) 1.0691 (R1) 1.0780; More…..

EUR/USD was supported by 4 hour 55 EMA and rebounded strongly. The break of 1.0713 indicates that whole rise from 1.0494 has resumed. It also revived the case that rise from 1.0494 is the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above.

Still, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0599 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2327; (P) 1.2401 (R1) 1.2439; More….

EUR/USD is still staying in consolidation below 1.2537 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.2222 support holds, further rise is in favor. Sustained break of 1.2494/2516 will target 100% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.3075 next. However, break of 1.2222 will indicate rejection from 1.2494/2516, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1915 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. But key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 is looking vulnerable. Sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862. Nonetheless, rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1181; (P) 1.1225 (R1) 1.1256; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral with focus on 1.1298 key resistance. Decisive break of 1.1298 will carry larger bullish implication and target 1.1615 resistance next. However, break of 1.1109 will indicate short term topping and rejection from 1.1298. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0838 support first.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0888). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1498; (P) 1.1526 (R1) 1.1544; More…

EUR/USD rebounds strongly in early US session but it’s kept below 1.1582 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral and the consolidation from 1.1582 could extend. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 1.1444 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. Above 1.1582 will target 1.1615 key resistance first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 1.2 handle next.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1756). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0722; (P) 1.0746 (R1) 1.0787; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. Overall, rise from 1.0339 is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d upside to be limited by 100% projection of 1.0339 to 1.0828 from 1.0494 at 1.0983 to bring larger down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0599 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1813; (P) 1.1841 (R1) 1.1888; More…

EUR/USD dips mildly after hitting 1.1879. But still, with 1.1794 minor support intact, intraday bias stays on the upside for further rally. As noted before, pull back from 1.2091 should have completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.2091 high. We’ll be cautious on strong resistance from there to bring another fall to extend the consolidation. On the downside, below 1.1794 minor support will turn bias back to the downside and could extend the correction from 1.2091 through 1.1669.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1134; (P) 1.1156 (R1) 1.1172; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as it’s staying in consolidation in range of 1.1109/1295. There is no confirmation of near term reversal yet. And focus remains on 1.1298 key resistance. Decisive break of 1.1298 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and extend the whole rise from 1.0339 to 1.1615 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1109 support will indicate short term topping and rejection from 1.1298. In such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.0838 support.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0932). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.

EUR/USD edged lower to 1.0569 last week but recovered since then. Upside was limited below 1.0688 minor resistance. And EUR/USD failed to stay above 55 day EMA. Hence, near term bearish outlook is unchanged. That is, correction from 1.0339 has completed with three waves up to 1.0905. Fall from there is resuming larger down trend.

Initial bias in EUR/USD remains neutral this week first. Break of 1.0569 will turn bias to the downside for 1.0494 support first. Decisive break there should confirm our bearish view. In that case, EUR/USD should drop through 1.0339 to 100% projection of 1.1298 to 1.0339 from 1.0905 at 0.9946. On the upside, however, break of 1.0688 resistance will delay the bearish case and turn focus back to 1.0905 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate term reversal. this would also be supported by sustained trading above 55 week EMA.

In the long term picture, the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress and there is no clear sign of completion. We’d expect more downside towards 0.8223 (2000 low) as long as 1.1298 resistance holds. However, firm break of 1.1298 should now confirm long term reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0519; (P) 1.0567 (R1) 1.0654; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.0652 holds, outlook stays bearish and another decline is expected. Break of 1.0339 will extend the larger down trend to parity next. However, break of 1.0652 will now confirm short term bottoming and turn near term outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 1.0872 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, break of 1.0461 key support indicates that consolidation from there has completed as a triangle at 1.1298. And, the down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is resuming. Current downtrend is now expected to target 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1626; (P) 1.1654 (R1) 1.1691; More…

EUR/USD is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 1.1582 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally would now target 1.2 handle next. On the downside, below 1.1582 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained by 1.1444 resistance turned support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 1.1760) will pave the way to key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. While rise fro 1.0339 is strong, there is no confirmation that it’s developing into a long term up trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. But for now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1295 support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0537; (P) 1.0580 (R1) 1.0663; More…..

EUR/USD breached 1.0630 minor resistance today but fails to sustain so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.0630 resistance will argue that pull back from 1.0828 is completed. Also, rise from 1.0339 could possibly be resuming. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. On the downside, below 1.0493 support will affirm the case that fall from 1.0828 is resuming the larger down trend. In that case, intraday bias will be back to the downside for resting 1.0339 low.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0605; (P) 1.0638 (R1) 1.0674; More….

EUR/USD’s rebound form 1.0569 resumed and broke 1.0668 resistance. The development dampened our immediate bearish view. Fall from 1.0905 is completed and intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0905 resistance. Nonetheless, price actions from 1.0339 are still viewed as a correction and thus, we’ll look for topping signal above 1.0905 to complete the correction. On the downside, break of 1.0569 will revive that case that such correction from 1.0339 is completed and turn bias to the downside for 1.0494 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1298 key resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0339 low will send EUR/USD through parity to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. However, considering bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD, break of 1.1298 will indicate term reversal. this would also be supported by sustained trading above 55 week EMA.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1156; (P) 1.1182 (R1) 1.1219; More….

The consolidation from 1.1295 is still in progress and intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral. With 1.1109 support intact, there is no indication of reversal yet. Decisive break of 1.1298 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 1.1615 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1109 support will indicate short term topping and rejection from 1.1298. In such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.0838 support.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0941). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1719; (P) 1.1746 (R1) 1.1786; More…

EUR/USD recovers mildly today but stays below 1.1846 minor resistance. Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as consolidative pattern from 1.1908 might extend. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1119 to 1.1908 at 1.1606 to bring up trend resumption. Break f 1.1846 minor resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0339 is resuming for 1.2042 long term support turned resistance next.

In the bigger picture, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.1768) will pave the way to key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. While rise from 1.0339 is strong, there is no confirmation that it’s developing into a long term up trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. But for now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1295 support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0557; (P) 1.0598 (R1) 1.0622; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment as it’s stay in established range of 1.0493/1.0630. On the upside, firm break of 1.0630 resistance will argue that pull back from 1.0828 is completed. Also, rise from 1.0339 could possibly be resuming. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0828 resistance and above. On the downside, below 1.0493 support will affirm the case that fall from 1.0828 is resuming the larger down trend. In that case, intraday bias will be back to the downside for resting 1.0339 low.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is in progress. Such down trend is expected to extend to 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0461 from 1.1298 at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 1.1298 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1873; (P) 1.1906 (R1) 1.1946; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as it’s still bounded in consolidation below 1.2069. Below 1.1822 will bring deeper fall. But after all, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1661 holds. Break of 1.2069 will extend larger rise from 1.0339 to next key fibonacci level at 1.2516. Nonetheless, break of 1.1661 will bring much lengthier consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Sustained trading above 55 month EMA (now at 1.1774) will pave the way to key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. While rise from 1.0339 is strong, there is no confirmation that it’s developing into a long term up trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.1295 support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1584; (P) 1.1631 (R1) 1.1708; More…

Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Also, As long as 1.1689 resistance holds, outlook stays bearish and deeper decline is in favor. Below 1.1553 will resume whole fall from 1.2091 and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. We’d be cautious on strong support from there to bring rebound. But sustained break of 1.1510 will pave the way to next support zone at 1.1118/1267. On the upside, break of 1.1689 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1836 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be cautious on 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.1346) will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1430 (R1) 1.1470; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. With 1.1382 minor support intact, further rise is expected. Break of 1.1489 will extend recent rally from 1.0339 to 1.1615 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1382 will suggest short term topping, possibly on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, lengthier consolidation would be seen before another rally.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.1298 resistance further affirm medium term reversal. That is an important bottom was formed at 1.0339 on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Further rise would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.1763). Sustained break there will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1118 support holds.