EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1814 extended to as low as 1.1335 last week but recovered since then. As a temporary low is formed, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 1.1335 will target 1.1300 low. Break will resume whole down trend from 1.2555 and target 1.1186 fibonacci level next. On the upside, however, break of 1.1621 resistance will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.1300 with another rise before larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1343; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1420; More….

EUR/USD’s decline is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1300 low. Break will resume whole down trend from 1.2555 and target 1.1186 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 1.1432 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1343; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1420; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside with 1.1432 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 1.1814 should extend to retest 1.1300 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1432 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1356; (P) 1.1416; (R1) 1.1454; More….

EUR/USD recovers after hitting 1.1378 but quickly lost steam. Intraday bias stays on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.1814 should extend to retest 1.1300 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1432 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1356; (P) 1.1416; (R1) 1.1454; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside at the moment. Fall from 1.1814 has just resumed and should target 1.1300 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1476 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1442; (P) 1.1468; (R1) 1.1496; More….

EUR/USD drops to as low as 1.1378 so far today. Break of 1.1431 support indicates resumption of fall from 1.1814. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1300 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1476 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1442; (P) 1.1468; (R1) 1.1496; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 1.1431 will resume the fall from 1.1814. Intraday bias would then be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1300 low next. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1621 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. However, break of 1.1621 will turn focus back to 1.1814 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1430; (P) 1.1492; (R1) 1.1529; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral with focus on 1.1431/2 support. Break will fall from 1.1814 to retest 1.1300 low. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1621 resistance to bring another decline. However, break of 1.1621 will turn focus back to 1.1814 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1430; (P) 1.1492; (R1) 1.1529; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point and more consolidation cannot be ruled out. Near term outlook remains bearish with 1.1621 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.1431 will resume the fall from 1.1814 to retest 1.1300 low. Nonetheless, break of 1.1621 will turn focus back to 1.1814 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1454; (P) 1.1494; (R1) 1.1556; More….

EUR/USD weakens notably after hitting 4 hour 55 EMA. But it’s staying above 1.1431 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, near term outlook will still remain mildly bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1431 will resume the fall form 1.1814 to retest 1.1300 low. Nonetheless, break of 1.1621 will turn focus back to 1.1814 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1454; (P) 1.1494; (R1) 1.1556; More….

EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1432 extends higher today. While further rise could be seen, near term outlook will still remain mildly bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.1431 will resume the fall form 1.1814 to retest 1.1300 low. Nonetheless, break of 1.1621 will turn focus back to 1.1814 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

Despite dipping to 1.1432, EUR/USD drew support from 1.1431 low and recovered. The development suggests that consolidation from 1.1431 is extending with another leg. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Near term outlook will remain mildly bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds. Below 1.1431 will resume the fall form 1.1814 to retest 1.1300 low. Nonetheless, break of 1.1621 will turn focus back to 1.1814 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1424; (P) 1.1476; (R1) 1.1502; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for 1.1431 support. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1814 and target 1.1300 low. On the upside, above 1.1527 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain mildly bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1424; (P) 1.1476; (R1) 1.1502; More…..

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1621 continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.1431. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1814 and target 1.1300 low. On the upside, above 1.1527 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain mildly bearish as long as 1.1621 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1470; (P) 1.1527; (R1) 1.1560; More…..

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Corrective recovery from there should have completed at 1.1621. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1431 support. Break of 1.1431 will resume the decline from 1.1814 and target a test on 1.1300 low. On the upside, above 1.1547 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and wold probably extend the consolidation from 1.1431 with another rebound. In that case, intraday bias will be turned neutral first.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1470; (P) 1.1527; (R1) 1.1560; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for 1.1431 support. Corrective recovery from there should have completed at 1.1621. Break of 1.1431 will resume the decline from 1.1814 and target a test on 1.1300 low. On the upside, above 1.1547 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and wold probably extend the consolidation from 1.1431 with another rebound. In that case, intraday bias will be turned neutral first.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1552; (P) 1.1587; (R1) 1.1609; More…..

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1534 minor support argues that corrective rebound from 1.1431 has completed at 1.1621 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Break of 1.1431 will resume whole decline from 1.1814 and target a test on 1.1300 low. On the upside, above 1.1621 will delay the bearish case and bring another rebound. But then, upside should be limited by 1.1779/1814 resistance zone to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1552; (P) 1.1587; (R1) 1.1609; More…..

EUR/USD spiked to 1.1621 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, above 1.1621 will resume the rebound from 1.1431. But upside should be limited by 1.1779/1814 resistance zone to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.1534 will indicate completion of rebound from 1.1431. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1431 and then 1.1300 low.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1546; (P) 1.1576; (R1) 1.1609; More…..

EUR/USD’s break of 1.1610 suggests that rebound from 1.1431 has resumed. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside towards 1.1814 resistance. For now, we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.1779/1814 resistance zone to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.1534 will indicate completion of rebound from 1.1431. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1431 and then 1.1300 low.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1546; (P) 1.1576; (R1) 1.1609; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.1610 will extend the rebound from 1.1431 towards 1.1814 resistance. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 1.1779/1814 resistance zone to bring down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.1534 will indicate completion of rebound from 1.1431. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1431 and then 1.1300 low.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.1300 could have completed at 1.1814 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1300 at 1.1779. Decisive break of 1.1300 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. On the upside, break of 1.1814 will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 1.1300 with another rise before completion.