EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1340; (P) 1.1376; (R1) 1.1400; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.1450 minor resistance holds. We’re holding on to the case that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Below 1.1353 will target 1.1307 support first. Break there will affirm this bearish case and target 1.1215 low next. On the upside, though, break of 1.1450 minor resistance will mix up the outlook again and turn bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1340; (P) 1.1376; (R1) 1.1400; More…..

Despite dipping to 1.1353, EUR/USD quickly recovered and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.1450 minor resistance holds. We’re holding on to the case that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Below 1.1353 will target 1.1307 support first. Break there will affirm this bearish case and target 1.1215 low next. On the upside, though, break of 1.1450 minor resistance will mix up the outlook again and turn bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD’s decline last week argues that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 1.1307 support first. Break there will affirm this bearish case and target 1.1215 low next. On the upside, though, break of 1.1450 minor resistance will mix up the outlook again and turn bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1814 resistance holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1371; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1407; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.1489 minor resistance holds. We’re holding on to the case that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1307 support. Break there will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1371; (P) 1.1388; (R1) 1.1407; More…..

EUR/USD formed a temporary low at 1.1370 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. But further decline is expected as long as 1.1489 minor resistance holds. We’re holding on to the case that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1307 support. Break there will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1398; (R1) 1.1419; More…..

EUR/USD is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further decline is expected as long as 1.1489 minor resistance holds. We’re holding on to the case that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1307 support. Break there will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1398; (R1) 1.1419; More…..

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook. Corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1569. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1307 support. Break there will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1366; (P) 1.1428; (R1) 1.1475; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside for 1.1307 support. Current development argues that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected. Break of 1.1307 will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1366; (P) 1.1428; (R1) 1.1475; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside for 1.1307 support. Current development argues that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected. Break of 1.1307 will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1453; (P) 1.1467; (R1) 1.1484; More…..

EUR/USD drops further to as low as 1.1412 so far today. Breach of 1.1422 minor support argues that corrective rise from 1.1215 has completed earlier than expected. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.1307 support first. Break will likely resume larger down trend from 1.2555 through 1.1215 low. On the upside, above 1.1489 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1569 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

 

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1453; (P) 1.1467; (R1) 1.1484; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral but with 1.1422 minor support intact, further rise is expected. Rebound from 1.1215 is seen as correcting whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1569 will extend the rebound through 1.1621 resistance to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1422 support will bring retest of 1.1214 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1438; (P) 1.1490; (R1) 1.1521; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point and outlook is unchanged. Further rise is expected with 1.1422 minor support intact. Rebound from 1.1215 is seen as correcting whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1569 will extend the rebound through 1.1621 resistance to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1422 support will bring retest of 1.1214 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1438; (P) 1.1490; (R1) 1.1521; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and further rise is expected with 1.1422 minor support intact. Rebound from 1.1215 is seen as correcting whole down trend from 1.2555. On the upside, above 1.1569 will extend the rebound through 1.1621 resistance to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1422 support will bring retest of 1.1214 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD rose to as high as 1.1569 last week and broke 1.1499 resistance. The development argues that rise from 1.1215 is correcting whole down trend from 1.2555. But as a temporary top is formed, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, above 1.1569 will extend the rebound through 1.1621 resistance to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, however break of 1.1422 support will bring retest of 1.1214 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

In the long term picture, the rejection from 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 argues that long term down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) might not be over yet. EUR/USD is also held below decade long trend line resistance. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 should at least bring a retest on 1.0339 low. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1814 resistance holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1467; (P) 1.1519; (R1) 1.1552; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1569 temporary top. As long as 1.1422 minor support holds, another rise remains in favor. Price actions from 1.1215 low is seen as correcting whole decline from 1.2555, if not reversing the down trend. On the upside, above 1.1569 will target 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, break of 1.1422 support will bring retest of 1.1214 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1467; (P) 1.1519; (R1) 1.1552; More…..

EUR/USD formed a temporary top at 1.1569 and retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is in favor with 1.1422 minor support intact. Price actions from 1.1215 low is correcting whole decline from 1.2555, if not reversing the down trend. On the upside, above 1.1569 will target 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, break of 1.1422 support will bring retest of 1.1214 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1468; (P) 1.1512; (R1) 1.1587; More…..

With 1.1422 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/USD. Rebound from 1.1215 is correcting whole decline from 1.2555, if not reversing the down trend. Further rise should be seen to 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1468; (P) 1.1512; (R1) 1.1587; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside at this point. The strong break of 1.1499 resistance should confirm completion of fall from 1.1814 at 1.1215. Current rebound might indeed be correcting whole decline from 1.2555, if not reversing the down trend. Further rise should be seen to 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, break of 1.1422 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will now remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook (Update)

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1414; (P) 1.1450; (R1) 1.1476; More…..

EUR/USD surges to as high as 1.1540 so far in early US session. The strong break of 1.1499 resistance should confirm completion of fall from 1.1814 at 1.1215. Current rebound might indeed be correcting whole decline from 1.2555, if not reversing the down trend. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.1621 resistance first. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1215 at 1.1727 next. On the downside, break of 1.1422 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will now remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1414; (P) 1.1450; (R1) 1.1476; More…..

EUR/USD is still staying below 1.1499 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral for now. No change in the view that price actions from 1.1215 are still viewed as a corrective pattern. Hence, downside breakout is favored. On the downside, break of 1.1307 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1215 low. Break will resume down trend from 1.2555 to 1.1186 key fibonacci level. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1499 resistance will suggest near term reversal and bring stronger rebound back to 1.1621 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.