EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0567; (P) 1.0593; (R1) 1.0632; More

Outlook in EUR/USD is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.0616 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.0616 will retain near term bearishness. Break of 1.0447 will resume the fall from 1.1274 to 1.0199 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0725) holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1345; (P) 1.1378; (R1) 1.1394; More…..

EUR/USD’s fall from 1.1514 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.1289 support. Firm break there will argue that corrective pattern from 1.1251 has completed. And, in that case, larger decline from 1.2555 is ready to resume through 1.1251 low. On the upside, above 1.1411 minor resistance will probably extend the correction pattern with another rise towards 1.1569 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0957; (P) 1.1005; (R1) 1.1084; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains cautiously on the downside at this point. Rebound from 1.0635 could have completed at 1.1147 already. Deeper fall is mildly in favor for retesting 1.0635 low. On the upside, however, decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.1496 to 1.0635 at 1.1167 will raise the chance of larger trend reversal and turn focus to 1.1496 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1592; (P) 1.1616; (R1) 1.1644; More

EUR/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.1561 and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.1682 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1561 will target 1.1289 medium term fibonacci level. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1682 will bring stronger rebound back towards 1.1908 resistance.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that rise from 1.0635 (2020 low) has completed at 1.2348. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289. Note also that rejection by 55 week EMA (1.1830) also carries medium term bearish implication. Firm break of 1.1289 will pave the way to retest 1.0635 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.1908 resistance will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.2348 high.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0031; (P) 1.0064; (R1) 1.0122; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.0121 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 1.0348 support turned resistance. Nevertheless, sustained break 100% projection of 1.1184 to 1.0348 from 1.0773 at 0.9937 will extend larger down trend to 161.8% projection at 0.9420.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0773 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0820; (P) 1.0854; (R1) 1.0875; More

With 1.0888 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the downside. Current down trend should target 161.8% projection of 1.1172 to 1.0992 from 1.1095 at 1.0804 next. On the upside, above 1.0888 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But recovery should be limited by 1.0992 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, the break of 1.0879 low indicates resumption of whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high). Sustained break of 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.0813 will pave the way to retest 1.0339 low. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1239 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0531; (P) 1.0556; (R1) 1.0595; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 1.0522 support will argue that larger fall from 1.1274 is resumed to ready. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 1.0447 first, and then 1.0199 fibonacci level. On the other hand, strong bounce from current level, followed by break above 1.0693, will extend the rebound from 1.0447 to 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0665) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1467; (P) 1.1600; (R1) 1.1845; More

Break of 1.1664 resistance confirmed resumption of rise from 1.0351. Intraday bias in GBP/USD is back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.1494 from 1.1145 at 1.1851. break there will target 100% projection at 1.2288. On the downside, below 1.1332 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 1.0351 is a medium term bottoming. Rise from there is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1145 support holds. Firm break of 1.1759 support turned resistance will confirm this case, and target 55 week EMA (now at 1.2330), as possibly above.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1269; (P) 1.1319; (R1) 1.1358; More

EUR/USD recovered ahead of 1.1265 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rise is still mildly in favor. On the upside break of 1.1482 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 to 1.1120 at 1.1589 next. Sustained break there will argue that whole fall from 1.2348 has completed too and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1879. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.1120 low instead.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is seen as a leg inside the range pattern from 1.2555 (2018 high). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.1613) will argue that it has completed and stronger rise would be seen back towards top of the range between 1.2348 and 1.2555. However, firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2111; (P) 1.2145; (R1) 1.2161; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2177 temporary top. Downside should be contained by 1.1985 support to bring another rise. On the upside, break of 1.2177 will resume the rally from 1.1703 for retesting 1.2242/2348 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend for 1.2555 key resistance zone next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1290; (P) 1.1322; (R1) 1.1378; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.1382 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.1186. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1469). On the downside, break of 1.1185 will resume larger fall from 1.2348.

In the bigger picture, there are various ways of interpreting the fall from 1.2348 (2021 high). It could be a correction to rise from 1.0635 (2020 low), the fourth leg of a sideway pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low), or resuming long term down trend. In any case, outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1703 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289 would pave the way back to 1.0635.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0142; (P) 1.0205; (R1) 1.0291; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the upside. Rebound from 0.9951 short term bottom is in progress for 1.0348 support turned resistance. Break there will target channel resistance at 1.0514. On the downside, below 1.0118 minor support will bring retest of 0.9951 low instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0773 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1066; (P) 1.1075; (R1) 1.1087; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.1089 will target 1.1175 resistance. Break will resume whole rebound from 1.0879 low. On the downside, though, break of 1.0989 will resume the decline from 1.1175 for retesting 1.0879 low.

In the bigger picture, at this point, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0368; (P) 1.0438 (R1) 1.0517; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is back on the downside for retesting 1.0339 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. Next target is long term projection level at 1.0090. On the upside, above 1.0506 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.0339 long term support (2017 low). Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 1.0090. However, firm break of 1.0805 support turned resistance will delay this bearish case, and bring stronger rebound first.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1211; (P) 1.1230; (R1) 1.1257; More

EUR/USD’s rally is resuming by breaking 1.1248 minor resistance. However, upside could be limited by 1.1273 fibonacci level on first attempt, on loss of momentum. On the downside, break of 1.1202 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1273 will extend larger up trend to 161.8% projection of 1.0634 to 1.1011 from 1.0832 at 1.1442 next.

In the bigger picture, as rise from 0.9534 extends, focus is now on 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. Sustained break there will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next. Meanwhile, outlook will continue to stay bullish as long as 1.0832 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0818; (P) 1.0845; (R1) 1.0872; More

Focus remains on 1.0929 resistance in EUR/USD. Break there will resume the rally from 1.0515 to retest 1.1032 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend from 0.9534 to 1.1273 fibonacci level next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0711 will turn bias to the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 1.1032 with another decline.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) is in progress with 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0460 intact. The strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.0623) was also a medium term bullish sign. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. Sustained break there will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0566; (P) 1.0596; (R1) 1.0644; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.0522 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0447 low. Break there will resume larger fall from 1.1274. On the other hand, strong bounce from current level, followed by break above 1.0693, rebound from 1.0447 to 1.0764 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0763).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0665) holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1130; (P) 1.1153; (R1) 1.1174; More

EUR/USD drops notably in early US session but stays above 1.1062 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and another rise is still in favor. On the upside break of 1.1179 will resume the rebound from 1.0879 to 1.1412 key resistance. However, break of 1.1062 will argue that rebound from 1.0879 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0879.

In the bigger picture, at this point, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. Hence, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0979; (P) 1.1014; (R1) 1.1033; More

Focus stays on 1.0992 support in EUR/USD. Decisive break there will resume the whole decline from 1.1239. Also, that would add to the case that corrective rebound from 1.0879 has completed at 1.1239. In this case, deeper decline would be seen back to retest 1.0879 low. On the upside, break of 1.1095 will turn bias to the upside for 1.1172 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move at this point. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0796; (P) 1.0863; (R1) 1.0900; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. Strong rebound from current level after defending 4 hour 55 EMA will maintain near term bullishness. Break of 1.0929 will target 1.1032 high first. Break there will will resume whole up trend from 0.9534 and target 1.1273 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA will likely extend the corrective pattern from 1.1032 and bring deeper decline back towards 1.0515.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) is in progress with 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0460 intact. The strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.0623) was also a medium term bullish sign. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. Sustained break there will solidity the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).