EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1970; (P) 1.2009; (R1) 1.2075; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Correction from 1.2348 should have completed with three waves down to 1.1703. Further rise should be seen to 1.2442/2348 resistance zone. For now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1941 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that whole rise from 1.10635 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1045; (P) 1.1093; (R1) 1.1121; More

Focus is EUR/USD is now back on 1.1062 support. Break there will suggest completion of whole rebound from 1.0879. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting this low. On the upside, break of 1.1179 will resume the rise to 1.1412 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, at this point, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. Hence, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9964; (R1) 1.0001; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.0092. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9847 minor support holds. Break of 1.0092 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.1494 to 0.9534 at 1.0283. However, break of 0.9847 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9534/9630 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9534 building up, with bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. While it is too early to call for trend reversal, firm break of 0.9998 opens up stronger rebound back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0630) even as a corrective rise. However, sustained trading back below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9938) will revive medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.9534 low.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0878; (P) 1.0938; (R1) 1.0976; More

EUR/USD recovered after trying to draw support from 1.0908 and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.1094 will resume larger up trend to 1.1273 fibonacci level. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, sustained break of 1.0908 support will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside. Further break of 1.0830 will target 1.0515 key support level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. Sustained break there will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0515 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0792; (P) 1.0864 (R1) 1.0904; More

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, firm break o 1.0756 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 100% projection of 1.1494 to 1.0805 from 1.1184 at 1.0495. On the upside, firm break of 1.0935 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.0756. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 1.1184 structural resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 1.1494 resistance holds. Firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next. Nevertheless, break of 1.1494 will maintain medium term neutral outlook, and extending term range trading first.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1679; (P) 1.1718; (R1) 1.1748; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains mildly on the downside for 1.1612 support. Break there will resume whole corrective fall from 1.2011. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2011 at 1.1485. On the upside, break of 1.1771 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook again and turn bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2103; (P) 1.2125; (R1) 1.2148; More

As this point, fall from 1.2265 is still in favor to continue to 1.1985 support. Break there will confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.2348 has started the third leg. Deeper fall would then be seen back to 1.1703 support. On the upside, above 1.2217 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2265 and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9907; (P) 0.9962; (R1) 1.0024; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9899 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.0121 minor resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9899 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0773 to 0.9951 from 1.0368 at 0.9860. Firm break there should prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.9546.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0368 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1361; (P) 1.1394; (R1) 1.1429; More…..

EUR/USD strengthens further today but it’s still limited below 1.1472 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and another fall is in favor. On the downside, break of 1.1267 will target 1.1215 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend from 1.2555 for 1.1186 fibonacci level next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.1472 will be suggest medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.1814 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0936; (P) 1.1028; (R1) 1.1081; More

Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 1.1120 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.1494 is still expected to continue. On the downside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.2265 to 1.1120 from 1.1494 at 1.0786 will pave they way to 100% projection at 1.0349 next. However, strong break of 1.1120 will confirm short term bottoming, at least, and bring stronger rebound back towards 1.1494 structural resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 1.1494 resistance holds. Firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next. Nevertheless, break of 1.1494 will maintain medium term neutral outlook, and extend range trading first.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1841; (P) 1.1861; (R1) 1.1893; More…..

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.1711/1916 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 1.1711 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.1916 will resume larger rise from 1.0635. Next near term target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1255 to 1.1916 from 1.1711 at 1.2119. On the downside, though, break of 1.1711 should short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside towards 55 day EMA (now at 1.1494).

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0635 already. Rise form 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0949; (P) 1.0992; (R1) 1.1021; More

EUR/USD is staying in sideway consolidation below 1.1094 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0908 support holds. Break of 1.1094 will resume larger up trend to 1.1273 fibonacci level. Break there will target 61.8% projection of 0.9534 to 1.1032 from 1.0515 at 1.1441 However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 1.0908 support will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. Sustained break there will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0515 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0810; (P) 1.0843; (R1) 1.0905; More

EUR/USD falls sharply in early US session but stays above 1.0779 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, below 1.0779 will resume the fall from 1.1138. But considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, strong support could be seen from 1.0722 to bring rebound. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.0722 will argue that whole rise from 1.0447 has completed, and target this low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0722 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and below.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0782; (P) 1.0819; (R1) 1.0842; More

No change in EUR/USD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 1.0887 and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 1.0832) will affirm the case that fall from 1.1138 has completed. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 1.1138. However, break of 1.0761 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0694 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is seen as the second leg. While further rally could cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.0694 support will argue that the third leg has already started for 1.0447 and possibly below.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1282; (P) 1.1336; (R1) 1.1364; More

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.1265/1482 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 1.1482 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2348 to 1.1120 at 1.1589 next. Sustained break there will argue that whole fall from 1.2348 has completed too and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1879. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 1.1120 low instead.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is seen as a leg inside the range pattern from 1.2555 (2018 high). Sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.1593) will argue that it has completed and stronger rise would be seen back towards top of the range between 1.2348 and 1.2555. However, firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1614; (P) 1.1645 (R1) 1.1690; More…..

EUR/USD’s consolidation pattern from 1.1509 is still in progress and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.1851 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1507/9 will resume the whole fall from 1.2555 through 50% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1447 to 61.8% retracement at 1.1186.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term top was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further to 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1186 and below. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 1.1995 resistance holds.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1124; (P) 1.1141; (R1) 1.1159; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1199. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.1039 support holds. On the upside, above 1.1199 will turn bias back to the upside for 100% projection of 1.0879 to 1.1179 from 1.0981 at 1.1281 next. However, break of 1.1039 will turn focus back to 1.0981 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0879 is seen as a corrective move first. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.0879 at 1.1519. And, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1519 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger rise to 61.8% retracement at 1.1915 next.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1713; (P) 1.1764; (R1) 1.1798; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.1732 minor support holds, another rise is still mildly in favor. Break of 1.1830 will extend the rebound form 1.1612 to retest 1.2011 high. However, break of 1.1732 will suggest that correction from 1.2011 is extending with another leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1612 and below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1824; (P) 1.1862; (R1) 1.1884; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is mildly in favor with 1.1754 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2011 will resume whole rise form 1.0635. Nevertheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.1754 will turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2011 at 1.1485, to correct the rise from 1.6035.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally rise should be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516 ). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1422 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1912; (P) 1.1951; (R1) 1.1991; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/USD and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.1989 will target 55 day EMA (now at 1.2049) . Firm break there will indicate completion of correction from 1.2348 and bring retest of this high. On the downside, however, break of 1.1834 will extend the correction from 1.2348 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1694.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. We’d be alerted to topping sign around 1.2516/55. But sustained break there will carry long term bullish implications.