Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.28; (P) 120.82; (R1) 121.48; More…..

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 119.31 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further fall remains in favor with 122.11 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 119.31 will resume the fall from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24. However, break of 122.11 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 124.43 instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.39) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.97; (P) 122.36; (R1) 122.91; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 121.63 temporary low. Deeper decline would remain in favor as long as 125.08 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery. Break of 121.63 will resume the fall from 127.07, to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY’s up trend continued last week and hit as high as 156.92. A temporary top was formed there and initial bias stays neutral for consolidations. Further rally would remain in favor as long as 154.30 minor support holds. Above 156.92 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. On the downside, break of 154.03 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68, and possibly further to 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.59; (P) 126.22; (R1) 127.03; More….

Breach of 126.75 resistance suggests resumption of whole rise from 114.42. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 128.67 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 124.44 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 121.54) holds. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.16; (P) 127.65; (R1) 128.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at the moment. While rebound from 124.61 might extend, upside should be limited by 128.94 support turned resistance to bring reversal. On the downside, , below 126.29 minor support will bring retest of 124.61 first. Break will resume whole fall from 137.49 and target next medium term fibonacci level at 119.90.

In the bigger picture, the case of medium term trend reversal continues to build up. That is rise from 109.03 (2016 low) could have completed at 137.49 already. This is supported by bearish divergence in daily MACD and firm break of the medium term channel support. Focus is now on 124.08 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. This will be the preferred case as long as 128.94 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.79; (P) 122.03; (R1) 122.25;  More….

EUR/JPY’s decline resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 127.50 should target a test on 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.99; (P) 122.29; (R1) 122.77; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 122.88 resistance next. As noted before, the correction from 124.08 should have completed with three waves down to 114.84 already. Break of 122.88 resistance will extend larger rise from 109.20 through 124.08 high. On the downside, below 120.60 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.40; (P) 128.86; (R1) 129.36; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 126.63 is in progress for 130.20 resistance. Though, strong resistance from there might be seen to limit upside to resume the decline from 133.12. On the downside, break of 127.61 minor support will turn bias to the downside. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 to retest 124.89 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 130.20 will pave the way back to 133.12 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.89; (P) 131.34; (R1) 131.79; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. As long as 129.90 minor support holds, further rise is still in favor. Above 131.97 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 129.90 will indicate short term reversal, with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn bias back to the downside for 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.57; (P) 165.48; (R1) 166.73; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 163.94) will extend the fall from 171.58, as a correction to rise from 153.15, to 61.8% retracement of 153.15 to 171.58 at 160.19. On the upside, above 167.37 will turn bias neutral and set up the range for sideway consolidations.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Decisive break of 169.96 (2008 high) will pave the way to 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.39. On the downside, break of 162.26 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.20; (P) 126.36; (R1) 126.58; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Consolidation from 127.48 is in its third leg. Deeper fall would be seen back to 125.07 support. We’d expect some strong support from there to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 127.48 high will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.32; (P) 122.57; (R1) 122.73; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 122.08 might extend further. . In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 124.09 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 122.08 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. Nevertheless, firm break of 124.09 will at least bring stronger rebound back to 125.23 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.07; (P) 142.33; (R1) 143.02; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 145.62 accelerates lower today but stays above 138.38 support turned resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Larger up trend is still in favor to continue through 145.62 at a later stage. However, firm break of 138.38 will be an early indication of reversal, and target 135.50 support next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 133.38 support holds. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.78; (P) 129.18; (R1) 129.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 129.96. With 127.48 support intact, further rise is still expected. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.11; (P) 124.40; (R1) 124.62; More…

EUR/JPY drops sharply today but still, price actions from 125.80 are seen as a corrective pattern. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.42; (P) 120.76; (R1) 121.01; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as this point. Fall from 127.50 is in progress for retesting 118.62 low. Break will resume medium term down trend. On the upside, break of 121.31 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.97; (P) 132.02; (R1) 133.46; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current medium term rise should target 134.20 fibonacci level next. Firm break there will pave the way to 141.04 resistance next. On the downside, break of 130.60 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. ON the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.04; (P) 123.50; (R1) 124.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 121.96 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 124.43 will resume the rise from 114.42 to 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. On the downside, however, break of 121.96 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31 support instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.80) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.96; (P) 124.58; (R1) 125.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. Break will pave the way to 100% projection at 129.32. On the downside, break of 123.01 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.32) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.73; (P) 133.88; (R1) 134.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at the moment. Current rise should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. Sustained break there will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, break of 132.51 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).