Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.93; (P) 160.47; (R1) 161.47; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 158.06 is in progress for retesting 161.84. Firm break there will resume whole rise from 153.15 and target 164.29 high. For now, further rally is expected as long as 158.06 support holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.49; (P) 129.85; (R1) 130.08; More….

EUR/JPY is holding above 129.60 support and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 129.60 will resume the the correction from 134.11. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance should argue that the correction has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.95; (P) 121.30; (R1) 121.83; More….

A temporary low is formed at 120.78 in EUR/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. Further recovery could be seen but upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 120.78 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.70; (P) 120.91; (R1) 121.04; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 121.46 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 119.11 support. On the upside break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.71). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.70; (P) 132.13; (R1) 132.76; More….

EUR/JPY recovers after breaching 131.65 key support briefing. Intraday bias remains neutral first. on the downside, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level. That will also complete and double top pattern (134.39, 134.48) and confirms near term reversal. 55 day EMA will also be firmly taken out. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 127.55 key support. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.55; (P) 124.75; (R1) 125.06; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and further decline is expected. Break of 123.65 will resume the fall from 127.50 for 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. However, break of 125.01 will turn bias back to the upside for 126.78/127.50 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.73). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.11; (P) 122.60; (R1) 123.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 124.09 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 122.08 will target a test on 118.62 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 124.09 will at least bring stronger rebound back to 125.23 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY’s pull back from 134.11 extended lower last week but downside is so far contained above 132.51 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and another rise is mildly in favor. s. On the upside, sustained break of 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28, will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. However, on the downside, firm break of 132.51 will argue that EUR/JPY is already correcting whole rise from 121.63. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 128.8/130.65 support zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.70; (P) 129.35; (R1) 129.81; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 134.11 resumed by breaking through 129.60 and hit as low as 128.87 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for deeper fall. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 will argue that it’s already corrective the whole up trend from 114.42. Deeper decline would be seen back to 127.07 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 129.60 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 131.07 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high) However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.27; (P) 120.18; (R1) 120.66; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first. On the downside, below 119.32 will extend the corrective fall from 124.08. In that case, we’d expect strong support from 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 121.32 minor resistance should revive the case that such correction is completed. And, intraday bias would then be turned back to the upside for 123.30/124.08 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.30; (P) 141.73; (R1) 142.40; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk remains on the downside as long as 143.61 resistance holds. Break of 138.81 will affirm the bearish case that fall from 145.55 is a leg inside the whole corrective decline from 148.38. Next target is 137.37 low, and then 135.40 fibonacci level. However, break of 143.61 will dampen the bearish case and bring stronger rise to 145.55 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.58) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.09; (P) 120.53; (R1) 120.80; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective rise from 119.24 could have completed at 121.01. Deeper fail would be seen towards 119.24. Still, overall, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 119.11 support holds. Larger rise from 115.86 is still in favor to resume through 121.46 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.43; (P) 132.82; (R1) 133.10; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 133.42 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 130.97 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 133.42 will extend larger up trend to 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.87; (P) 130.23; (R1) 130.63; More…

EUR/JPY’s rally resumes by taking out 130.76 and reaches as high as 131.17 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should now target next long term fibonacci level at 134.20. On the downside, break of 129.83 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 125.80 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.53; (P) 128.79; (R1) 129.03; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside for retesting 17.91 support. Firm break there will resume the whole decline from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, though, break of 130.45 resistance will argue that correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.43; (P) 119.96; (R1) 120.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. At this point, rise from 115.86 is still in favor to extend as long as 119.11 holds. On the upside, above 120.68 will turn bias to the upside for 121.46 resistance first. However, firm break of 119.11 will argue that the rebound from 115.86 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 117.07 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. IN case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.23) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.59; (P) 121.01; (R1) 121.30; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with today’s recovery. On the upside, above 122.24 minor resistance will suggest that fall from 122.88 is merely a pull back. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 124.08 high. Decisive break of 124.08 will extend whole rally from 109.20. On the downside, break of 120.65 will likely extend the fall from 122.88. But we’d expect strong support from 118.345 (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09, or firm break of 118.45 cluster support, will likely extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.63; (P) 121.15; (R1) 121.54; More…

As noted before, EUR/JPY’s break of 120.90 support indicates near term reversal. That is, the corrective rebound from 109.20 is likely completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 key resistance. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below. On the upside, above 122.41 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, outlook will now stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.98; (P) 117.48; (R1) 117.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 117.07 temporary low. With 118.47 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Corrective recovery from 115.86 should have completed at 120.01. Break of 117.07 will target a retest on 115.86 low. On the upside, above 118.47 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 120.01 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.29; (P) 131.72; (R1) 132.01; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 132.35 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 129.57 support to bring rise resumption. On the up side, break of 132.35 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).