Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.79; (P) 120.08; (R1) 120.48; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in range above 119.31 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Below 119.31 will extend fall from 122.88 to 118.23 low. But we’d expect strong support from 118.45 key cluster support level (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 120.81 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 124.08 high. Overall, price actions from 124.08 are developing into a consolidative pattern and upside breakout is expected later.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09, or firm break of 118.45 cluster support, will likely extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY stayed in the consolidation pattern from 128.58 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more sideway trading. Downside breakout is expected as long as 131.07 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 128.85 support will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY rebounded after initial dip to 162.59 but failed to break through 165.33 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and more range trading could be seen. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.23; (P) 117.70; (R1) 118.08; More…

As long as 118.78 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in EUR/JPY. As noted before, whole medium term rebound from 109.20 is completed at 124.08 already. Next target will be 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88. On the upside, above 118.78 will indicate short term bottoming and bring rebound back to 119.31/120.43 resistance zone. That also coincides with 55 day EMA (now at 120.19). In that case, we’ll look at the reactions in this resistance zone to assess the outlook again.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.90; (P) 144.32; (R1) 145.17; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 140.75 resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Outlook is unchanged that correction from 148.38 could have completed at 140.75. Break of 146.12 resistance will target a retest on 148.38 high. For now, further rise will remain in favor as long as 143.48 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 138.08), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.82; (P) 133.08; (R1) 133.35; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 131.16/134.48 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.81; (P) 120.10; (R1) 120.30; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. The corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Further fall should be seen to retest 115.86 low. On the upside, above 121.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.42; (P) 164.67; (R1) 165.14; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen below 165.33.On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.61; (P) 143.34; (R1) 144.70; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside. Rise from 137.32 should target retesting 145.62 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 140.77 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.33; (P) 133.74; (R1) 134.27; More…

At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside for further rally. Firm break of 134.20 fibonacci level will pave the way to 141.04 resistance next. On the downside, below 132.94 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But firm break of 131.39 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.92; (P) 132.33; (R1) 132.61; More….

Further rise is expected in EUR/JPY with 131.63 support intact. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next. However, firm break of 131.63 support should indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 130.23) first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY’s rally last week argues that correction from 148.38 has completed at 140.75 already. But as a temporary top was formed at 146.71, initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 146.71 will resume the rise from 140.75 to retest 148.38 high. However, break of 143.48 support will dampen this bullish case and bring deeper fall back to 140.75 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.32) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completing the correction from 148.38.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.55; (P) 131.85; (R1) 132.32; More….

At this point, EUR/JPY is still struggling to take out 131.65 key support decisively. Intraday bias stays neutral first. As noted before. Sustained break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.81; (P) 120.12; (R1) 120.35; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 119.80 temporary low. Upside should be limited by 121.26 minor resistance to bring another decline. The corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD Break of 119.80 will target a rest on 115.86 low. However, break of 121.26 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 122.87 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.50; (P) 118.03; (R1) 118.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first and near term outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. ON the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY’s break of 162.16 minor resistance last week suggests that correction from 163.70 has completed at 160.20. Initial bias is back on the upside for retesting 163.70 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 153.15 for 164.29 high. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.68; (P) 129.84; (R1) 130.08; More….

EUR/JPY recovers after touching 129.57 minor support but stays well below 130.73. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 130.73 will resume the rebound from 127.91 low. That would also reaffirm the case that correction from 134.11 has completed at 127.91. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 132.68 resistance next. However, firm break of 129.57 will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.14; (P) 144.65; (R1) 145.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Break of 142.52 support will extend the decline from 148.38, to 61.8% retracement of 133.38 to 148.38 at 139.11. On the upside, though, above 146.12 minor resistance will bring stronger rally back to retest 148.38 high instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.99; (P) 122.31; (R1) 122.86; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook as consolidation from 120.78 is extending. In case of stronger rise, upside upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 121.65 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 120.78 low. Decisive break there will resume the decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.14; (P) 133.28; (R1) 133.43; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 134.11 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is still expected with 132.51 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28, will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, however, firm break of 132.51 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.