EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.36; (P) 129.88; (R1) 130.27; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with the current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen, but downside of retreat should be contained by 128.16 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 130.46 will resume the rally from 121.63 and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.37; (P) 129.76; (R1) 130.14; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from 130.20 to limit upside, to resume the decline from 133.12. On the downside, break of 128.38 minor support will turn bias to the downside. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 to retest 124.89 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 130.20 will pave the way back to 133.12 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.04; (P) 143.36; (R1) 143.79; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside despite some loss of momentum. Corrective fall from 148.38 should have completed at 137.37. Further rally should be seen to 146.71 resistance. On the downside, though, below 142.33 minor support will dampen this bullish view, and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.03) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.40; (P) 161.90; (R1) 162.74; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Correction from 163.70 should have completed at 160.20. Further rally would be seen to retest 163.70 first. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 153.15 for 164.29 high. On the downside, below 161.05 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to resume the correction from 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.55; (P) 127.31; (R1) 128.36; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 124.89 extended by breaking 126.98 resistance decisively. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 127.79). Sustained trading above there will target 131.97 key resistance next. On the downside, below 126.60 minor support will bring retest of 124.61/89 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 124.08 key resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 109.03 and below. Meanwhile, rebound from 124.08 will keep medium term bullishness intact for another high above 137.49.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.61; (P) 143.34; (R1) 144.70; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside. Rise from 137.32 should target retesting 145.62 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 140.77 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.18; (P) 142.90; (R1) 144.25; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further decline could be seen as long as 146.12 resistance holds. Break of 140.75 will resume the fall from 148.38 to 100% projection of 148.38 to 142.54 from 146.12 at 140.28. Firm break there could prompt downside acceleration to 161.8% projection at 136.67 next.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 137.37), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.60; (P) 137.00; (R1) 137.70; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 138.38, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 138.44) will suggest that whole correction from 144.26 has completed. Further rally would then be seen back to retest 144.26 high. However, break of 135.63 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 low instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.75; (P) 125.10; (R1) 125.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 123.65 is in progress and could extend to 126.78/127.50 resistance zone first. On the downside, however, break of 123.56 will resume the fall from 127.50 to 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.61). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.14; (P) 121.90; (R1) 122.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 122.65 temporary top. Downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.72).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.81; (P) 126.08; (R1) 126.45; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in consolidation from 126.74 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further rally is expected with 125.13 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.98; (P) 129.97; (R1) 130.51; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 129.56 minor support suggests temporary toping at 130.86. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 38.2% retracement of 124.89 to 130.86 at 128.57 holds, another rise is mildly in favor. Above 130.86 will target resistance zone between 131.97 and 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56. Break will indicate larger bullish reversal. However, firm break of 128.57 will argue that rebound from 124.89 has completed, and it’s the third leg of consolidation pattern from 124.61. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 124.61 low.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY once again rebounded ahead of 124.08 key resistance turned support. It’s also held above long term trend line from 109.03 (2016 low). The development argues that such rise from 109.03 might now be over yet. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. But, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.58; (P) 133.01; (R1) 133.38; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 133.42 temporary top. But downside should be contained well above 130.97 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 133.42 will resume larger up trend from 114.42, and target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in range of 128.58/131.07 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and deeper fall is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 170.11; (P) 171.47; (R1) 172.23; More

EUR/JPY’s break of 170.87 resistance turned support argues that fall from 175.41 might be correcting whole rise from 153.15 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 170.30) will target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90. On the upside, though, break of 172.91 resistance will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 175.41 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.54; (P) 137.10; (R1) 137.64; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. The corrective pattern from 144.25 is still extending. On the upside, above 138.38 will resume the rebound from 138.38. On the downside, below 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 144.26 last week but reversed from there. Initial bias stays mildly on the downside this week for 137.83 support first. Sustained break there will raise the chance of rejection by 144.06 long term projection level and target 132.63 support. On the upside, above 142.42 minor resistance will bring retest of 144.26 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, current rally could be resuming whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low). Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 132.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.84; (P) 132.18; (R1) 132.37; More….

As long as 130.97 support holds, outlook in EUR/JPY remains bullish. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.23; (P) 125.64; (R1) 126.01; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 126.79 extends further today and the development suggests completion of rebound from 123.56. Consolidation pattern from 127.50 is extending with another decline. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 124.78 support first. Break will target 123.65 and possibly below. On the upside, above 126.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 126.79 instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.32; (P) 163.87; (R1) 164.30; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Strong support is still expected from 55 4H EMA (now at 163.58) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 153.15 to 163.70 from 160.20 at 166.71. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will turn bias to the downside for deeper fall to 160.20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.