Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.38; (P) 162.67; (R1) 163.14; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the downside with break of 161.67 support. Price actions from 163.70 could be a correction to the rally from 153.15, or reversing the whole move. In either case, deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break of 159.66 will affirm the latter case and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 163.70 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.41; (P) 122.60; (R1) 122.91; More….

EUR/JPY edged higher today but overall outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 120.78 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring larger fall resumption. On the downside, below 121.65 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 120.78 low. Decisive break there will resume the decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY continued to stay in the consolidation pattern from 124.08 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet. On the downside, below 120.54 will target 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). In that case, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

In the long term picture, current medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. Decisive break of 126.09 will indicate that such decline is completed and EUR/JPY has started another medium term rally already.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.78; (P) 142.21; (R1) 142.98; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 140.77 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg towards 137.32 support. On the upside, above 144.06 will bring retest of 145.62 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.98; (P) 126.33; (R1) 126.62; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Another rise is expected as long as 125.13 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.35; (P) 143.76; (R1) 144.16; More….

Intraday bias sin EUR/JPY stays on the upside at this point, despite loss of upside moment. Corrective fall from 148.38 should have completed at 137.37. Further rally should be seen to 146.71 resistance. On the downside, though, below 142.84 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.03) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.03; (P) 141.66; (R1) 142.53; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first, with focus on 142.28 resistance. Firm break there will indicate that the pull back from 145.62 has completed, and bring stronger rally to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 140.38 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to resume the fall from 145.62 through 137.32 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.56; (P) 125.00; (R1) 125.26; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 124.17/125.96 and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook is unchanged that we’re favoring the case that rebound from 118.62 has completed at 125.95 already, just ahead of 55 day EMA. On the downside, break of 123.78 will add more credence to this case and target a test on 118.62 low. On the upside, however, decisive break of 125.95 will dampen out bearish view and target 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.96; (P) 133.35; (R1) 133.71; More….

EUR/JPY is still confined in range of 131.16/134.48 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY’s rally last week suggests that rise form 164.01 is resuming. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Firm break of 170.87 will target 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 170.87 from 167.52 at 171.75. On the downside, below 169.31 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral gain first.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 55 D EMA indicates that the long term up trend is still in progress. Decisive break of 171.58 will confirm resumption and target 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. For now outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.01 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 was already met but there is no signal of reversal yet. Firm break of 170.07 will target 138.2% projection at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.64; (P) 135.07 (R1) 135.61; More….

EUR/JPY’s really resumed and reaches as high as 135.62 so far today. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Medium term rally is in progress and should target 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 134.39 from 132.04 at 144.12. On the downside, below 134.53 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 132.04 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back 55 week EMA (now at 128.34).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.14; (P) 121.90; (R1) 122.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 122.65 temporary top. Downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.72).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY stayed in range of 131.69/134.39 last week and outlook is unchanged. But it’s getting more likely that 134.39 is a medium term top and a downside breakout could be seen soon. Initial bias remains neutral this week with focus on 131.69 support. Decisive break there will an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level. On the upside, firm break of 134.39 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more corrective trading would be seen.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversal and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.33; (P) 128.74; (R1) 129.44; More…

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 128.04 extends higher today. Breach of 129.54 minor resistance argues that pull back from 131.39 has completed at 128.04, supported by 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95 as expected. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 131.39. But break there is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d likely see more consolidation first. On the downside, sustained break of 127.95, however, will bring deeper decline to 125.80 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 125.82) before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.78; (P) 123.25; (R1) 124.10; More…

EUR/JPY drew support from 55 day EMA and recovered. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 125.80/126.09 resistance zone. Break of 126.09 will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. In case of another fall, we’d still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rebound and then rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.03; (P) 139.46; (R1) 140.17; More….

Focus stays on 139.78 minor resistance in EUR/JPY. Firm break there will argue that pull back from 144.26 has completed at 136.85. Further rally would be seen back to retest 144.26 high. On the downside, though, below 136.85 will resume the fall back to 132.63 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.03; (P) 126.39; (R1) 126.90; More….

EUR/JPY is still staying in consolidation form 126.68 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another rise is expected as long as 125.13 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.80; (P) 139.78; (R1) 141.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Outlook stays bearish as long as 142.92 resistance holds. Break of 137.37 will resume the decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 142.92 will argue that the correction from 148.38 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 134.48 last week but failed to sustain above 134.39 resistance and retreated sharply. Initial bias remains neutral this week with focus on 131.65 support. Decisive break there will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level. That will also complete and double top pattern and confirms near term reversal. 55 day EMA will also be firmly taken out. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 127.55 key support. Meanwhile, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone will confirm up trend resumption. In such case, EUR/JPY should target 141.04 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.51; (P) 129.78; (R1) 130.33; More….

EUR/JPY’s up trend resumed by breaking 129.96 and hits as high as 130.29 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 121.63 should target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. On the downside, break of 129.02 minor support will turn bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).