EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.19; (P) 117.60; (R1) 117.86; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. rebound from 115.86 should have completed at 120.01. Deeper fall should be seen to retest 115.86 first. On the upside, above 118.47 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 120.01 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.33; (P) 129.56; (R1) 129.74; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 128.58 is extending and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 131.07 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.12; (P) 129.41; (R1) 129.58; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 128.58 support suggests resumption of whole decline from 134.11 Intraday bias stays on the downside for 127.07 resistance turned support next. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58. On the upside, above 129.12 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.05; (P) 128.51; (R1) 128.98; More…

With 127.43 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/JPY to 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 first. We’d be aware of strong resistance between 129.16 and medium term projection level at 129.89 to bring short term topping. On the downside, below 1.2743 will bring deeper pull back to 125.80 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.89; (P) 137.49; (R1) 137.93; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 139.99 is extending. In case of another decline, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.52; (P) 121.83; (R1) 122.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for retesting 120.789 support. Decisive break there will resume the larger decline from 127.50 will target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.25; (P) 128.88; (R1) 129.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 127.91 support there will resume the whole decline from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, though, break of 130.45 resistance will now argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s decline from 148.38 resumed last week and hit as low as 140.75. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 100% projection of 148.38 to 142.54 from 146.12 at 140.28. Firm break there could prompt downside acceleration to 161.8% projection at 136.67 next. On the upside, above 143.12 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further decline will remain in favor as long as 146.12 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 137.37), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.12; (P) 131.43; (R1) 131.94; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook. A short term bottom should be in place at 129.34, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise is expected to 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 134.37. However, decline 137.49 shouldn’t be finished yet. We’d still expect another fall at a later stage. And break of 129.34 will pave the way to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.34; (P) 141.70; (R1) 142.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, below 140.15 minor support will turn bias back to the downside 137.37 low. break there will resume the decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 142.92 will argue that the correction from 148.38 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.91; (P) 163.28; (R1) 163.84; More….

Further rise is still mildly in favor with 162.42 minor support intact. retest of 164.29 should be seen next. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 162.42 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 164.29 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.30; (P) 129.65; (R1) 129.98; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Correction from 130.65 short term top could extend lower towards 55 day EMA (now at 127.93). But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside for more corrective moves as long as 130.65 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.28; (P) 166.68; (R1) 167.42; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as recent up trend continues. Next target is 168.72 projection level. On the downside, below 166.66 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 168.72, or even further to 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 162.26 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.97; (P) 120.17; (R1) 120.43; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation fro m119.77 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 121.26 resistance to bring fall resumption. As noted before, corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. On the downside, break of 119.77 will pave the way to retest 115.86 low.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.20; (P) 129.02; (R1) 129.54; More….

Despite breaching 128.31, EUR/JPY quickly recovered again. Intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 130.86 will extend the rise from 124.89 and target 131.97/132.56 key resistance zone. On the downside however, break of 128.31 will extend the fall from 130.86 to 61.8% retracement of 124.89 to 130.86 at 127.17 and below.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY once again rebounded ahead of 124.08 key resistance turned support. It’s also held well above long term trend line from 109.03 (2016 low). The development argues that such rise from 109.03 might not be over yet. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. But, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.30; (P) 120.84; (R1) 121.63; More….

EUR/JPY formed a temporary low after dipping to 120.05 and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation first. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.32 resistance holds. Break of 120.05 will extend the fall from 127.50 to retest 118.62 low. Though, break of 122.32 would indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 123.35 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY drew support from 131.69 and rebounded last week but it’s after all staying in recently established range of 131.69/134.39. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39 high will confirm up trend resumption. In such case, EUR/JPY should target 141.04 long term resistance. However, firm break of 131.69 will be an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.52; (P) 133.15; (R1) 133.79; More….

At this point, EUR/JPY cannot sustain below 132.04 cluster support (23.6% retracement of 114.84 to 137.49 at 132.14) yet. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper fall is still expected with 134.16 resistance intact. Decisive break of 132.04/14 will indicate larger trend reversal on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, outlook will be turned bearish for 38.2% retracement at 128.38 first. Nonetheless, rebound from 132.04 will retain near term bullishness. Break of 134.16 minor resistance will bring retest of 137.49 high instead.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in week EMA indicates lost up medium term up trend momentum. But there is no clear sign of completion of up trend from 109.03 yet. Break of 137.49 will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 132.04 will be the early sign of long term reversal and should bring deeper fall back to retest 124.08 key support level.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.83; (P) 120.21; (R1) 120.47; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 191.11 support holds, outlook remains cautiously bullish and further rise is in favor. On the upside above 120.68 will target a test on 121.46 resistance firm Break will resume whole rise form 115.86 and target 123.35 structural resistance.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.32). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term trend has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.61; (P) 127.59; (R1) 128.55; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside. Rebound from 124.61 could have finished at 130.33 already, after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would be seen back to 124.08/61 support zone. On the upside, break of 128.50 minor resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall. Otherwise, deeper decline will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.