EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.63; (P) 121.01; (R1) 121.75; More….

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly ahead of 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05). But upside is limited below 122.65 so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 119.99 intact, near term outlook stays bullish for further rally. On the upside, break of 122.65 will resume rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance. On the downside, Sustained break of 119.99 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 118.45.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.49) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.99; (P) 126.20; (R1) 126.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 125.07 would extend to retest 127.48 resistance. However, break of 125.07 will argue that the correction from 127.48 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.26; (P) 131.59; (R1) 131.99; More….

Intraday in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Corrective pattern from 134.11 might have completed at 124.37 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 133.13/134.11 resistance zone first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 130.01 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral for now. Price actions from 134.11 are so far still seen as a corrective pattern. That is, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in favor to resume at a later stage. But before that, the corrective pattern from 134.11 could still extend further, sideway or downward. In the latter case, break of 124.37 will target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.79; (P) 163.15; (R1) 163.77; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first. Corrective pattern from 163.70 could extend further. Break of 161.67 minor support should push the cross through channel support (now at 161.35) to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Nevertheless, firm break of 163.70 will resume whole rally from 153.15 to retest 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.60; (P) 171.89; (R1) 172.38; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as up trend continues. Next target is 100% projection of 164.01 to 170.87 from 167.52 at 174.38. On the downside, below 171.37 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 55 D EMA indicates that the long term up trend is still in progress. Decisive break of 171.58 will confirm resumption and target 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. For now outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.01 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.64; (P) 158.29; (R1) 158.87; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as it’s still bounded in range below 159.90. Further rise is in favor as long as 157.67 support holds. Above 159.90 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level. However, firm break of 157.67 will turn bias back to the downside 154.32 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.62; (P) 117.99; (R1) 118.55; More…

EUR/JPY recovered after forming a temporary low at 117.42 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but upside should be limited by 119.31 support turned resistance and bring another decline. Current development suggests that medium term rise from 109.20 has completed at 124.08 already. Below 117.42 will target 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. Nonetheless, sustained break of 119.31 will turn focus back to 120.43 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.87; (P) 142.37; (R1) 142.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Further rise would be seen to 146.71 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 155.33 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.82) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY was bounded in consolidation in range of 131.16/134.48 last week. Such consolidation might extend further. But further rise will be expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11 (2012 low). Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.70; (P) 133.85; (R1) 134.10; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. Sustained break there will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, break of 132.51 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.05; (P) 125.28; (R1) 125.46; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral, as it recover strongly after hitting 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 125.24. On the upside, break of 125.91 resistance will argue that the pull back from 127.48 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 127.48. Nevertheless, sustained trading below 125.24 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 123.86 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.65; (P) 131.92; (R1) 132.35; More….

EUR/JPY’s up trend resumes by taking out 132.35 resistance today. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next. On the downside, break of 130.97 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.32; (P) 164.64; (R1) 164.91; More

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY despite huge volatility. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. However, decisive break of 162.26 support will argue that it’s at least correcting the rise from 153.15, and target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 165.33 at 160.67.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.43; (P) 128.77; (R1) 129.06; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first. As noted decline from 131.39 is seen as correcting whole rise from 141.84. Deeper fall is expected as long as 130.38 resistance holds. Below 127.55 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 131.39 at 125.05. Nonetheless, break of 130.38 will argue that the pull back is completed and turn focus back to 131.39 high.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.15; (P) 129.45; (R1) 129.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the upside at this point, for 130.54 resistance. Sustained break there will affirm the bullish case that correction from 134.11 has completed. Further rise would be seen to 132.68 resistance next. On the downside, however, below 128.58 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 127.91 first. Break will target 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.72; (P) 118.26; (R1) 118.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral with focus on 117.55 minor support. Break will suggest completion of rebound from 115.86. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 115.86 first. On the upside, break of 120.01 will resume the rebound through 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.43; (P) 121.34; (R1) 121.87; More…

The deeper than expected fall from 122.88 dampened out immediate bullish view. And the consolidation pattern from 124.08 is possibly extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for 120.01 support and below. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 118.345 (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 122.24 minor resistance will suggest that fall from 122.88 is merely a pull back. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 124.08 high.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09, or firm break of 118.45 cluster support, will likely extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.58; (P) 132.81; (R1) 133.11; More….

EUR/JPY drew support from 4 hour 55 EMA and rebounded. But upside is limited below 133.42 so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first, but further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 133.42 will extend larger up trend to 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained well above 130.97 support to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.21; (P) 129.06; (R1) 129.53; More….

EUR/JPY’s correction from 130.65 extends lower today and intraday bias is now on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 127.99) and below. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 129.12 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But the corrective pattern could extend further as long as 130.65 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.10; (P) 128.49; (R1) 128.72; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 134.11 is in progress. Deeper fall should be seen to 127.07 resistance turned support next. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58. On the upside, above 129.12 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.