Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.34; (P) 121.98; (R1) 122.31; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 122.88 temporary top continues. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 121.18 resistance turned support and bring another rally. Above 122.88 will target 124.08. Decisive break there will extend larger rise from 109.20 and target 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is now on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.209 low.

EUR/JPY stayed in range above 121.31 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. We’re still favoring the case that consolidation from 120.78 has completed with three waves to 123.35. Below 121.31 will target retest of 120.78 first. Break will resume fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low. In case of another rise as consolidation from 120.78 extends, upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

EUR/JPY dropped to as low as 120.41 last week. The break of near term channel support suggests completion of corrective rise from 115.86, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 120.17 support. Decisive break there should confirm this case and target a retest on 115.86 low. On the upside, above 121.26 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 122.87 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.65), this is the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.49; (P) 149.96; (R1) 150.28; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 148.58 will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.35; (P) 120.75; (R1) 121.50; More…

EUR/JPY dips notably today, ahead of 121.32 resistance. But with 120.01 minor support intact, intraday bias stays on the upside first. Current development suggests that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 already, after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Decisive break of 121.32 should confirm this year and target 124.08 high next. On the downside, though, below 120.01 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn focus back to 118.23 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.21; (P) 121.71; (R1) 122.23; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in the consolidation from 124.08 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 120.90 support holds. Above 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance next. As rise from 109.20 is still seen as a corrective pattern, we’d be cautious on topping around 126.09. Meanwhile, break of 120.90 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 days EMA (now at 120.43) and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.45; (P) 119.17; (R1) 119.96; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 117.67 low. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 120.05 support turned resistance fall resumption. On the downside, break of 117.67 will resume recent down trend to 114.84 support next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.23; (P) 159.08; (R1) 159.61; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again as it retreated quickly after hitting 159.90. For now, further rise is in favor as long as 157.67 support holds. Above 159.90 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level. However, firm break of 157.67 will turn bias back to the downside 154.32 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.95; (P) 123.72; (R1) 124.45; More…

EUR/JPY is staying above 122.92 minor support and recovered. Further rise is still expected in the cross. Firm break of 124.08 resistance will confirm resumption of whole rise from 109.20. In that case, EUR/JPY would target 126.09 resistance first. Break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. On the downside, below 122.92 minor support will turn bias to the downside and bring pull back.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.50; (P) 126.92; (R1) 127.53; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for 127.48 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 126.26 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.30; (P) 120.50; (R1) 120.63; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidation below 121.18 temporary top. We’re holding on to the view that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 already, after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Decisive break of 121.32 resistance should confirm this case and target 124.08 high next. However, break of 119.45 support should invalidate this bullish view and would likely extend the fall from 124.08 through 118.23.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.02; (P) 118.50; (R1) 119.87; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 121.39 will reaffirm the strong support from 115.86, and pave the way back to 112.87 resistance next. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.70; (P) 141.54; (R1) 142.87; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further decline is mildly in favor. Break of 137.37 will resume the whole fall from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Further rise would be seen to 146.71 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.87) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.15; (P) 131.67; (R1) 131.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for some consolidation below 132.35 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 129.57 support to bring rise resumption. On the up side, break of 132.35 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.30; (P) 116.55; (R1) 116.76; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside. Current decline should target 114.84 medium term support next. On the upside, break of 117.91 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 123.35 resistance is needed to the first sign medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.14; (P) 120.69; (R1) 121.02; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 120.05 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another recovery could be seen. But outlook remains bearish as long as 122.32 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 120.05 will resume the decline from 127.50 for retesting 118.62 low. Though, break of 122.32 would indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 123.35 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying well inside long term falling channel, and below falling 55 week EMA. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY dropped to 119.77 last week but turned into consolidation. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and another recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited below 121.26 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. As noted before, corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. On the downside, break of 122.87 will pave the way to retest 115.86 low.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.58), this is the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.88; (P) 144.22; (R1) 144.86; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally continues to as high as 145.20 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Rise from 137.37 should target 146.71 resistance and then 148.38 high. On the downside, below 144.15 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 142.13 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.42) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.87; (P) 169.10; (R1) 169.42; More…

EUR/JPY’s rise from 1.6401 resumed by breaking 169.38 and intraday bias is back on the upside. This rally, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58, should target this high next. On the downside, break of 167.31 support should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.30) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.93; (P) 131.38; (R1) 131.84; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside. Current development indicate medium term topping at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 133.05 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.