EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.66; (P) 124.86; (R1) 125.12; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Rebounds from 118.62 is in progress for 55 day EMA (now at 126.2). On the downside, break of 123.78 support is now needed to indicate completion of rebound from 118.62. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.32; (P) 122.61; (R1) 122.82; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 120.78 and outlook is unchanged. Further rise might be seen but upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, below 121.65 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 120.78 low. Decisive break there will resume the decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.13; (P) 119.45; (R1) 120.03; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 120.01 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 117.55 minor support intact, further rise is in favor. Break of 120.10 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. Sustained break will target 123.35 key resistance. On the downside, break of 117.55 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 115.86.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.68; (P) 136.37; (R1) 137.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.72; (P) 125.96; (R1) 126.31; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range of 125.07/126.39 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 126.39 will resume the rebound from 125.07, for retesting 127.48 high. On the downside, however, break of 125.07 will argue that the correction from 127.48 is resuming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.21; (P) 164.79; (R1) 165.77; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 61.8% projection of 153.15 to 163.70 from 160.20 at 166.71. On the downside, Below 163.81 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.65; (P) 120.90; (R1) 121.13; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. We’re holding on to the view that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 119.32 already. Above 121.32 will turn bias to the upside for 123.30 resistance. Break of 123.30 will likely extend the whole medium term rise from 109.20 through 124.08 high. Below 119.32 will bring another fall. In that case, downside should be contained by 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY dropped to 128.59 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 128.59 will target a test on 127.91 low first. Break there will resume larger decline from 134.11 to 127.07 key support level next. On the upside, however, break of 129.65 will turn bias back to the upside for 130.73 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.26; (P) 172.35; (R1) 173.23; More

EUR/JPY’s pull back from 175.41 short term top could extend lower. But downside should be contained by 170.87 and bring rebound, to set the range for consolidations. However, firm break of 170.87 will argue that larger correction is already underway and target 167.52 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 170.87 resistance turned support holds, the long term up trend is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. However, firm break of 170.87 will bring deeper fall to 167.52 support. Decisive break there will confirm that larger correction in in progress for 153.15/164.29 support zone.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.90; (P) 122.19; (R1) 122.71; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 122.65 resistance suggests resumption of whole rise form 115.86. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should be seen to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.06). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, break of 122.11 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring retreat. But outlook will stay mildly bullish cas long as 120.17 support holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.79; (P) 141.06; (R1) 141.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, decisive break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Further rise would be seen to 146.71 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 155.33 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.82) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 170.08; (P) 170.29; (R1) 170.61; More

EUR/JPY’s rally from 164.01 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Break of 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62 will target 171.58 high. Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. On the downside, below 169.45 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 167.31 support.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.72) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.55; (P) 138.97; (R1) 139.94; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside for retesting 137.37 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 139.54 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 142.84 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.64) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.18; (P) 125.51; (R1) 126.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Pull back from 127.50 could have completed at 124.27. With 124.23 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 124.10) intact, rise from 118.61 is in favor to extend. On the upside, break of 127.50 will target 129.50 resistance next. On the downside, however, decisive break of 124.10/23 should confirm completion of whole rebound from 118.61. Deeper fall should at least be seen to 61.8% retracement at 122.01 and below. In this case, the chance of resuming larger down trend will also increase.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case. And in such case, the down trend from 137.49 could possibly resume through 118.62.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.57; (P) 121.65; (R1) 121.75; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation pattern from 120.78 could have completed with three waves to 123.35 already. Decisive break of 120.78 low will resume larger fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low next. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 123.73 to bring down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.19; (P) 120.50; (R1) 120.90; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 121.01 will bring retest of 121.46 resistance. On the downside, below 120.10 will target 119.24 support. Overall, as long as 119.11 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Larger rise from 115.86 is still in favor to resume through 121.46 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.35; (P) 129.83; (R1) 130.16; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidation could be seen. Further decline is expected as long as 131.07 resistance holds. Break of 128.58 will resume the fall from 134.11. Such decline is seen as correcting whole up trend from 114.42. Deeper fall would be seen to 127.07 resistance turned support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high) However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.30; (P) 124.63; (R1) 125.06; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 125.09 resistance will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 55 day EMA (now at 126.45) and above. On the downside, break of 123.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.62 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the down trend from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.32; (P) 160.65; (R1) 161.17; More….

Break of 160.84 resistance indicates resumption of larger up trend in EUR/JPY. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 163.06 projection level next. On the downside, break of 160.17 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.33; (P) 134.89; (R1) 135.86; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective fall from 139.99 could still extend lower. Below 132.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. Nevertheless, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.