Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.56; (P) 124.89; (R1) 125.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective rise from 124.09 is expected to be limited by 125.29 resistance to bring another decline. Fall from 126.79 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 127.50. On the downside, break of 124.09 will target 123.65 support and below. However, sustained break of 125.28 will turn focus back to 126.79 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY stayed in the corrective pattern from 139.99 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 132.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. On the upside, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, focus stays on 137.49 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there will raise the chance that whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming through 149.76 resistance. This will be a slightly favored case for now, as long as 124.37 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.59; (P) 158.04; (R1) 158.38; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Risk will stay on the upside as long as 155.06 support holds. On the upside, above 158.97 will resume the rebound from 153.15 to 100% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 160.46.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.48; (P) 124.65; (R1) 124.84; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 125.09 resistance will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 55 day EMA (now at 126.59) and above. On the downside, break of 123.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.62 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the down trend from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.30; (P) 120.84; (R1) 121.63; More….

EUR/JPY formed a temporary low after dipping to 120.05 and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation first. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.32 resistance holds. Break of 120.05 will extend the fall from 127.50 to retest 118.62 low. Though, break of 122.32 would indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 123.35 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.12; (P) 129.41; (R1) 129.58; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the downside after break of 129.12 minor support. Deeper fall would be seen to 128.58 next. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 130.54 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.14; (P) 126.42; (R1) 126.65; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 125.61 resistance turned supported holds. Above 126.79 will target 127.50 resistance first. . Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 118.62 for medium term channel resistance at 129.15 next. However, break of 125.61 will turn bias back to the downside for 123.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

Range trading continued in EUR/JPY last week and overall outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week as consolidation pattern from 165.33 could still extend. . On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. However, decisive break of 162.59 will argue that it’s at least correcting the rise from 153.15, and target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 165.33 at 160.67.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.12; (P) 129.41; (R1) 129.58; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 128.58 support suggests resumption of whole decline from 134.11 Intraday bias stays on the downside for 127.07 resistance turned support next. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58. On the upside, above 129.12 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.92; (P) 139.49; (R1) 140.27; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall resumes after brief recovery and intraday bias stays on the downside. Fall from 142.31 is seen as a falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 144.23. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.22; (P) 129.52; (R1) 129.90; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.58 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 131.07 resistance intact, deeper fall remains mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.78; (P) 149.23; (R1) 149.83; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. But overall, corrective pattern from 151.60 is extending with another falling leg. Deeper decline could be seen to 146.12 support, and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.03; (P) 121.21; (R1) 121.55; More….

EUR/JPY failed to take out 121.46 despite rally attempt. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained above 191.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.82). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY dropped sharply to as low as 118.62 last week as the decline from 122.88 resumed. Further fall is expected but overall, price actions from 124.08 are still viewed as a consolidation pattern. Hence we’re expecting strong support from 118.39/45 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 109.20 should extend higher. But sustained break of 118.39/45 will indicate medium term reversal.

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside this week. At this point, we’d still expect strong support from 118.45 key cluster support level (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 119.81 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 120.43 resistance first. However, sustained trading below 118.39/45 will invalidate our view and bring deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that medium term rise from 109.20 is still in progress. Focus is on 126.09 key resistance level. Sustained break will confirm completion of the whole decline from 149.76. And rise from 109.20 is of the same degree as the fall from 149.76. In such case, further rally would be seen to 104.04 resistance and possibly above before topping. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09, or firm break of 118.45 cluster support, will likely extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. Decisive break of 126.09 will indicate that such decline is completed and EUR/JPY has started another medium term rally already. Before that, deeper fall is mildly in favor towards 94.11 low. Overall, long term rang trading will continue.

EUR/JPY dipped to 122.39 but drew support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week for 125.80/126.09 resistance zone. Decisive break of 126.09 will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. In case of another fall as consolidation from 125.80 extends, we’d still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rebound and then rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. We’re not seeing any sign of an established long term trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support at 94.11 in case of another fall. Also, there could be strong resistance at 149.76 in case of a medium term rise.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.96; (P) 142.45; (R1) 143.39; More….

Immediate focus is now on 142.79 resistance in EUR/JPY. Firm break there will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Further rise would be seen to 146.71 resistance next. On the downside, break of 139.54 will resume the whole fall from 148.38 through 137.37, to 135.40 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.87) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.22; (P) 124.64; (R1) 124.95; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook. Intraday bias stays neutral with focus on 124.36 minor support. Firm break there will argue that the rebound from 118.62 has completed and turn bias to the downside for retesting 118.62 low. On the upside, in case of another rise, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 55 day EMA (now at 15.96) to limit upside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY failed to break through 121.46 resistance last week and extended consolidation from there with another decline. Initial bias remains neutral first. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out but downside should be contained by 119.11 support. On the upside break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.71). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.93), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 124.53 last week but lost momentum after breaching 124.08 resistance. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, a short term top could be in place. Initial bias is neutral stays neutral this week first. Break of 122.92 minor support will bring deeper pull back towards 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 124.53 at 120.82 and bring rise resumption. We’re holding on to the view that whole rally from 109.03 is resuming. Break of 124.53 will target 126.09 key resistance next. Break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

In the long term picture, medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. We’re not seeing any sign of an established long term trend yet. Hence, we’ll be cautious on strong support at 94.11 in case of another fall. Also, there could be strong resistance at 149.76 in case of a medium term rise.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.74; (P) 129.95; (R1) 130.25; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Another rise is expected as long as 129.56 minor support holds. Break of 130.95 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. However, firm break of 129.56 will turn bias back to the downside for 128.28 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).