EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation below 129.96 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidations. Still further rally is expected with 127.48 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.56; (P) 122.88; (R1) 123.17; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. But further decline will remain in favor as long as 124.31 minor resistance holds. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will raise the chance that whole rise from 114.42 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 119.25. However, break of 124.31 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 127.07 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.68; (P) 133.05; (R1) 133.73; More…

EUR/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 134.07 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 134.20 fibonacci level next. Firm break there will pave the way to 141.04 resistance next. On the downside, below 132.94 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But firm break of 131.39 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.53; (P) 123.94; (R1) 124.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 123.01 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole corrective fall from 127.07, and target 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. On the upside, though, break of 125.08 will target a retest on 127.07 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.57; (P) 165.48; (R1) 166.73; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 163.94) will extend the fall from 171.58, as a correction to rise from 153.15, to 61.8% retracement of 153.15 to 171.58 at 160.19. On the upside, above 167.37 will turn bias neutral and set up the range for sideway consolidations.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Decisive break of 169.96 (2008 high) will pave the way to 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.39. On the downside, break of 162.26 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.35; (P) 124.82; (R1) 125.53; More…

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 125.80 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall could be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY’s sharp decline last week put focus on 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05). Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, rebound from 115.86 could have completed at 122.65, ahead of medium term channel resistance. Firm break of 119.99 should confirm and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 118.45 and below. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness and turn focus back to 122.69 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.49) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.60), this is the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.55; (P) 137.21; (R1) 138.16; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Overall, it’s staying in the corrective pattern from 144.26. On the upside, above 138.38 will resume the rebound from 138.38. On the downside, below 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.49; (P) 164.83; (R1) 165.13; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment and consolidation could continue below 165.33. But further rally remains in favor as long as 162.59 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.23; (P) 125.64; (R1) 126.01; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 126.79 extends further today and the development suggests completion of rebound from 123.56. Consolidation pattern from 127.50 is extending with another decline. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 124.78 support first. Break will target 123.65 and possibly below. On the upside, above 126.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 126.79 instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY stayed in established last week and initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 138.38 resistance will resume the rebound from 133.38 towards 142.31 resistance. On the downside, break of 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support. Overall, corrective pattern from 144.26 could extend further with more choppy trading.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

In the long term picture, up trend from 94.11 (2012 low) is seen as in the third leg. Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 month EMA (now at 128.86) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.37; (P) 129.76; (R1) 130.14; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. At this point, we’d expect strong resistance from 130.20 to limit upside, to resume the decline from 133.12. On the downside, break of 128.38 minor support will turn bias to the downside. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 to retest 124.89 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 130.20 will pave the way back to 133.12 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.35; (P) 124.10; (R1) 124.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point, and outlook is unchanged. For now, we’d still expect strong resistance around 124.61 to complete the rebound from 118.62 low. Larger decline is expected to resume afterwards. Break of 123.40 will affirm our view and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.62 low first. However, sustained break of 124.61 will dampen our view and extend the rebound to 127.09 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is seen as a medium term fall, resuming the decline from 149.76 (2014 high). Such decline should break through 109.03 low next. This will remain the preferred case as long as 124.61 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 124.61 will mix up the outlook and we’ll reassess on the final structure of the rebound from 118.62.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.33; (P) 123.79; (R1) 124.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first, with focus on 124.31 resistance. Firm break there will argue that the pull back from 127.07 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will extend the fall from 127.07 to 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.91; (P) 144.70; (R1) 145.84; More….

Outlook in EUR/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Correction from 148.38 might have completed at 142.54, after hitting 38.2% retracement of 133.38 to 148.38 at 142.65. Further rally would be seen to retest 148.38 high. However, on the downside, sustained break of 142.65 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 139.11 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through1 48.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 144.42.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.02; (P) 139.31; (R1) 140.79; More….

Breach of 141.48 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 144.23 has completed at 137.83. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 144.23 first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 137.83 will turn bias back to the downside to extend the correction from 144.23.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY extended the consolidation from 148.38 last week and outlook remains neutral. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 143.15) to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.76 long term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

In the long term picture, there is sign of upside acceleration with strong break of long term channel resistance. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds. Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.84; (P) 134.65; (R1) 135.27; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for 132.04 key support. Prior break of 134.39 resistance turned support is seen as early sign of trend reversal. But it’s yet to be confirmed. On the upside, above 135.01 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 136.63 holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should now be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.22; (P) 126.50; (R1) 126.66; More….

EUR/JPY’s sharp fall today suggests that rebound from 124.27 has completed at 126.78. Deeper decline might now be seen as consolidation from 127.50 extends. But after all, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.23 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 124.10) holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.50 will resume whole rise from 118.62 and target 129.50 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case. And in such case, the down trend from 137.49 could possibly resume through 118.62.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.66; (P) 142.72; (R1) 143.52; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as fall from 148.38 is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 133.38 to 148.38 at 139.11. On the upside, above 143.12 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further decline will remain in favor as long as 146.12 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.