Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.51; (P) 146.85; (R1) 147.48; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside despite some loss of upside momentum. Current rally should target 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance. On the downside, below 145.80 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.75 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.98; (P) 132.35; (R1) 132.66; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and range trading continues. As long as 131.16 support holds, further rise is mildly in favor. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.00; (P) 164.35; (R1) 164.75; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 165.33 is extending. But outlook stays bullish as long as 162.59 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.75; (P) 124.09; (R1) 124.53; More….

Despite unconvincing downside momentum, further fall is expected in EUR/JPY with 125.01 minor resistance intact. Fall from 127.50 would target 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. However, break of 125.01 will turn bias back to the upside for 126.78/127.50 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.86). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.39; (P) 122.68; (R1) 123.12; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 119.31 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside for retesting 124.43 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 114.42 bottom. On the downside, break of 121.81 support would turn bias back to the downside for 120.27 support. Break there should start the third leg of the corrective pattern from 124.43 to 119.31 support, and probably further to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.35) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.41; (P) 120.50; (R1) 120.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. With 119.11 support intact, rise from 115.86 is in favor to continue. On the upside, above 120.68 will turn bias to the upside for 121.46 resistance first. However, firm break of 119.11 will argue that the rebound from 115.86 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 117.07 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. IN case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.23) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.43; (P) 121.86; (R1) 122.15; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective recovery from 120.78 should have completed at 123.18 already. Deeper fall should be seen to 120.78 low first. Break will resume larger fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. On the upside, above 122.17 minor resistance delay the bearish case, turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.65; (P) 121.84; (R1) 122.05; More….

EUR/JPY’s correction from 122.87 short term top is in progress. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 121.18). Break there will target 120.17 structural support. On the upside, above 122.01 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 122.87 resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.93; (P) 130.27; (R1) 130.64; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as range trading continues below 130.65. On the downside, break of 129.56 minor support will extend the consolidation from 130.65 with another fall. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 128.28 support. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 will resume the whole rally from 114.42, for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.41; (P) 119.61; (R1) 119.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 120.01 is extending. Further rise remains in favor with 117.55 support intact. Break of 120.10 will target 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. Sustained break will target 123.35 key resistance. On the downside, break of 117.55 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 115.86.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation below 129.96 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidations. Still further rally is expected with 127.48 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.56; (P) 122.88; (R1) 123.17; More….

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. But further decline will remain in favor as long as 124.31 minor resistance holds. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will raise the chance that whole rise from 114.42 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 119.25. However, break of 124.31 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 127.07 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.68; (P) 133.05; (R1) 133.73; More…

EUR/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 134.07 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 134.20 fibonacci level next. Firm break there will pave the way to 141.04 resistance next. On the downside, below 132.94 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But firm break of 131.39 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.32; (P) 142.92; (R1) 143.28; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Another rise is in favor. Break of 144.15 will extend the rebound from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance next. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 142.00) will argue that the correction from 148.38 is still in progress and target 137.37 low again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.03) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.77; (P) 119.05; (R1) 121.21; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Near term outlook is neutral for now after drawing notable support from 115.86 low. On the upside, firm break of 121.39 will pave the way to 112.87 resistance next. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.75; (P) 122.12; (R1) 122.42; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 120.27 minor support intact, choppy rebound from 119.31 is still in favor to continue towards 124.43 high. On the downside, break of 120.27 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31. Break will resume the decline from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.90) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 127.91 extended higher last week. A short term bottom should be in place on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week for 130.54 resistance first. Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. Nevertheless, on the downside, below 128.58 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low instead. Break will target 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.17; (P) 125.52; (R1) 125.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. At this point, another rally cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 55 day EMA (now at 126.11) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 124.36 support will argue that the rebound from 118.62 has completed and turn bias to the downside. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will pave the way back to 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.40; (P) 121.14; (R1) 121.69; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 121.97 temporary top. Downside is expected to be contained by 118.91 support and bring another rise. Above 121.97 will target 122.88 resistance first. Break will likely resume the larger rally from 109.20. In such case, EUR/JPY should break through 124.08 to 126.09 key resistance level. However, break of 118.91 will turn focus back to 114.84 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. But current development suggests that the first leg is finished at 109.20, second leg at 114.84. And rise from 114.84 is possibly developing into the third leg. Further rise will now be in favor through 124.08 resistance. Strong break of 126.09 support turned resistance will confirm completion of whole fall from 149.76 at 109.20. In such case, rise from 109.20 is developing into a medium term move for 141.04 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.87; (P) 129.08; (R1) 129.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the upside and further recovery could be seen. But after all, price actions from 127.49 are seen as a corrective pattern. And, near term outlook remains mildly bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds. On the downside, below 128.24 minor support will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.