EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.69; (P) 145.17; (R1) 146.00; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 148.38 might have completed at 142.54. Break of 147.09 resistance will indicate that larger up trend is ready to resume through 148.38 high. However, on the downside, sustained break of 142.65 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 139.11 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.03; (P) 130.17; (R1) 130.31; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 130.65 is still extending. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 high will resume larger up trend from 114.42. On the downside, below 128.28 will extend the correction from 130.65. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.92; (P) 132.17; (R1) 132.69; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next. However, firm break of 131.63 support should indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 130.16 first).

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 127.91 extended higher last week. A short term bottom should be in place on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week for 130.54 resistance first. Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. Nevertheless, on the downside, below 128.58 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 low instead. Break will target 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.35; (P) 144.90; (R1) 145.23; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 145.55 is extending. Further rally is expected as long as 142.13 support holds. Corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Break of 145.55 will resume the rise from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance and then 148.38 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.42) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.24; (P) 168.83; (R1) 169.37; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 168.01 support will strengthen the case that rise from 164.31 has completed at 170.78 already. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 167.31 support, and then 164.01. Nevertheless, break of 170.87 will resume the rally to retest 171.58 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium top was formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). But as long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.51) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.92; (P) 116.23; (R1) 116.54; More…

With 117.31 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. And, sustained break there will pave the way to retest 109.20 low. On the upside, above 117.31 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But upside should be limited below 119.31 support turned resistance and bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.28; (P) 156.28; (R1) 157.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the upside for retesting 157.99/158.03 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend to 162.82 projection level next. On the downside, below 155.10 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 157.99 at 150.77 holds, in case of another dip.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway. Deeper decline would be seen to 55 W EMA (now at 145.56).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.54; (P) 137.10; (R1) 137.64; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. The corrective pattern from 144.25 is still extending. On the upside, above 138.38 will resume the rebound from 138.38. On the downside, below 134.93 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.75; (P) 117.97; (R1) 118.16; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral with focus on 117.55 minor support. Break will suggest completion of rebound from 115.86. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 115.86 first. On the upside, break of 120.01 will resume the rebound through 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.15; (P) 129.09; (R1) 130.27; More….

EUR/JPY recovered after hitting 127.90. But further decline is expected with 130.03 support turned resistance intact. Fall from 133.13 is seen as another leg of the correction pattern from 134.11. Deeper fall should be seen to 127.36 low and below. However, firm break of 130.03 will turn bias back to the upside for 133.13 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY recovered last week but stays well inside near term falling channel. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further decline is in favor. Break of 140.75 will resume the choppy fall from 148.38. However, sustained break of the channel resistance (now at 144.83) will suggest that the correction from 148.38 has completed. Stronger rise should be seen to 146.12 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 138.08), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.47; (P) 120.70; (R1) 121.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 121.46 might extend. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 119.11 support. On the upside break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.71). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.52; (P) 156.15; (R1) 157.15; More

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 158.55 will resume the corrective rebound from 153.15. On the downside, break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.05; (P) 131.34; (R1) 132.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 128.23 support first. break will target 127.36 support and below. On the upside break of 133.13 will bring retest of 134.11 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.73; (P) 131.22; (R1) 131.47; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside and current rally is targeting 61.8% projection of 122.39 to 131.39 from 127.55 at 133.11 next. On the downside, below 130.44 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rally was capped below 158.03 resistance last week and turned sideway. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 157.99/158.03 will resume larger up trend to 162.82 projection level next. However, break of 155.10 will extend the corrective pattern from 157.99 with another falling leg instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway. Deeper decline would be seen to 55 W EMA (now at 145.94).

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68, and possibly further to 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.11; (P) 158.73; (R1) 159.21; More….

Break of 158.17 minor support indicate short term topping at 159.32. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside for deeper pull back to 55 D EMA (now at 155.31). On the upside, though, break of 159.32 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 157.99 from 151.39 at 163.09 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will now remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.43; (P) 130.01; (R1) 130.35; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside as fall from 133.44 is still in progress. Deeper decline would be seen for 127.91 key support. On the upside, however, break of 131.40 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound, probably back to retest 133.44 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.89; (P) 124.28; (R1) 124.83; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range below 125.09 temporary top. But based on overall development in yen crosses, EUR/JPY’s rebound from 118.62 will likely turn out to be stronger than expected. On the upside, break of 125.09 will bring further rise to 55 day EMA (now at 126.76) and above. On the downside, break of 123.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.62 low first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the down trend for 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.