EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.38; (P) 117.74; (R1) 118.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. With 118.47 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Corrective recovery from 115.86 should have completed at 120.01. Break of 117.07 will target a retest on 115.86 low. On the upside, above 118.47 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 120.01 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.78; (P) 123.25; (R1) 124.10; More…

EUR/JPY drew support from 55 day EMA and recovered. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 125.80/126.09 resistance zone. Break of 126.09 will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. In case of another fall, we’d still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rebound and then rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.33; (P) 123.79; (R1) 124.05; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first, with focus on 124.31 resistance. Firm break there will argue that the pull back from 127.07 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will extend the fall from 127.07 to 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.48; (P) 138.23; (R1) 139.44; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally from 113.38 should target 100% projection of 133.38 to 138.38 from 135.50 at 140.50. Decisive break there will indicate upside acceleration, and raise the chance of up trend resumption through 144.26 high. On the downside, below 137.66 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.94; (P) 124.33; (R1) 124.64; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 125.09 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 125.09 resistance will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 55 day EMA (now at 126.51) and above. On the downside, break of 123.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 118.62 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the down trend from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.54; (P) 122.87; (R1) 123.20; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 122.08 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Another recovery could be seen. But upside should be limited by 124.09 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 122.08 will target a test on 118.62 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.22; (P) 155.78; (R1) 156.46; More….

Further rise could still seen in EUR/JPY to retest 157.99 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 153.32 will extend the pull back from 157.99 to 55 D EMA (now at 152.73) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 130.65 last week but retreated since then. Breach of 129.47 support indicates short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for pull back. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. But for now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 130.65 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.08; (P) 137.65; (R1) 138.80; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as correction from 139.99 is extending. Downside should be contained by 134.33 support to bring up trend resumption. On the upside, break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend to 144.06 projection level next. However, sustained break of 134.33 will dampen this bullish case and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.49; (P) 146.82; (R1) 147.40; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as rise from 137.37 is in progress for retesting 148.38 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. On the downside, below 146.06 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 142.53 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.30; (P) 141.73; (R1) 142.40; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk remains on the downside as long as 143.61 resistance holds. Break of 138.81 will affirm the bearish case that fall from 145.55 is a leg inside the whole corrective decline from 148.38. Next target is 137.37 low, and then 135.40 fibonacci level. However, break of 143.61 will dampen the bearish case and bring stronger rise to 145.55 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.58) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 127.07 last week but quickly retreated. Initial bias stays neutral this week first for some more consolidations. Further rise is still expected as long as 124.44 support holds. Break of 127.07 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction, to 55 day EMA (now at 123.80).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.16; (P) 140.94; (R1) 142.46; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 137.32 extends higher and focus is immediately on 142.29 resistance. Firm break there will indicate that the pull back from 145.62 has completed, and bring stronger rally to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 139.40 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to resume the fall from 145.62 through 137.32 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.68; (P) 126.14; (R1) 126.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 126.74 temporary low. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 125.13 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rise from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.23; (P) 125.64; (R1) 126.01; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 126.79 extends further today and the development suggests completion of rebound from 123.56. Consolidation pattern from 127.50 is extending with another decline. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 124.78 support first. Break will target 123.65 and possibly below. On the upside, above 126.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 126.79 instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.85; (P) 123.25; (R1) 123.91; More…

EUR/JPY continues to lose upside moment ahead of 124.08. But there is no clear sign of topping yet. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 124.08 and break will confirm resumption of whole rise from 109.20. Further rally would then be seen to 126.09 key resistance. On the downside, below 122.30 minor support will turn bias neutral first and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.87; (P) 126.17; (R1) 126.73; More….

A temporary low is in place at 125.52 in EUR/JPY with the current recovery. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 127.63 resistance holds. On the downside, below 125.52 will target 124.08/89 support zone next.

In the bigger picture, with the current decline, focus would be back on 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds. As long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.10; (P) 128.92; (R1) 129.72; More….

EUR/JPY rebound strongly today but stays below 130.26. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. ON the upside, above 130.26 will resume the rebound form 124.61 and target 133.47 key near term resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 127.78 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound from 124.61. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 124.61 first.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.06; (P) 124.22; (R1) 124.82; More…

The sharp fall from 125.80 suggests short term topping in EUR/JPY, ahead of 126.09 key resistance, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Deeper pull back is now mildly in favor back to 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 and possibly below. But overall, we’re still staying mildly bullish in the cross and expect another rise. Break of 126.09 will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.90; (P) 130.09; (R1) 130.33; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in the consolidation pattern from 130.65, and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 high will resume larger up trend from 114.42. On the downside, below 128.28 will extend the correction from 130.65. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).