EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.00; (P) 164.35; (R1) 164.75; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 165.33 is extending. But outlook stays bullish as long as 162.59 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.07; (P) 146.48; (R1) 146.87; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 137.37 is in progress and further further rally should be seen back to retest 148.38 high. On the downside, below 145.13 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 142.53 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.66; (P) 162.93; (R1) 163.18; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and some more consolidations could be seen below 163.45. Downside of retreat should be contained by 55 4H EMA (now at 162.06) to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 163.45 will target 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.10; (P) 121.68; (R1) 122.34; More…

EUR/JPY continues to engage in choppy sideway trading below 124.08 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Another fall cannot be ruled out as the consolidation extends. On the downside, below 120.54 will target 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). In that case, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.89; (P) 130.45; (R1) 131.55; More….

Strong rebound from 129.34, together with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, suggests short term bottoming there. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45. But overall, decline from 137.49 shouldn’t be finished yet. We’d still expect another fall to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.39; (P) 122.69; (R1) 123.11; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 122.08 temporary low. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 124.09 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 122.08 will target a test on 118.62 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.38; (P) 168.86; (R1) 169.76; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current strong rebound. On the upside break of 170.12 resistance will argue that pull back from 170.87 has completed at167.52, after drawing support from 55 D EMA. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 170.87 and then 171.58 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.83) holds, price actions from 171.58 medium term top are seen as as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue as a later stage. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.76; (P) 129.19; (R1) 129.82; More….

EUR/JPY is sting in range below 130.33 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.37; (P) 142.04; (R1) 142.49; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 141.12 minor support suggests that rebound from 138.79 has completed much early than expected at 142.92, capped below 55 day EMA (now at 143.31). Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 138.79 low first. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will bring stronger rise back to 146.71/148.38 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completing the correction from 148.38.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.68; (P) 149.53; (R1) 149.99; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 151.60 is extending. Downside should be contained by 146.85 support to bring another rally. Break of 151.60 will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level. Nevertheless, firm break of 146.85 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 138.81 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.18; (P) 120.66; (R1) 120.97; More…

A temporary top is in place at 121.18 in EUR/JPY and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the case that corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 already, after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Decisive break of 121.32 resistance should confirm this case and target 124.08 high next. However, break of 119.45 support should invalidate this bullish view and would likely extend the fall from 124.08 through 118.23.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.08; (P) 128.38; (R1) 128.71; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 127.49 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.67; (P) 148.09; (R1) 148.56; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. Further decline is in favor as long as 149.25 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 146.01) will bring deeper pull back to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 151.60 at 143.84. On the upside, though, firm break of 149.25 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 151.60 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.29; (P) 131.52; (R1) 131.96; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 133.05 resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in the cross. Current development indicate medium term topping at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, though, break of 133.05 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.31; (P) 149.23; (R1) 149.87; More….

Intraday in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside, as correctively pattern from 151.60 is probably in the third leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support, and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.15; (P) 131.67; (R1) 131.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for some consolidation below 132.35 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained well above 129.57 support to bring rise resumption. On the up side, break of 132.35 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

 

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 130.38 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the cross. As noted decline from 131.39 is seen as correcting whole rise from 141.84. Below 127.55 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 131.39 at 125.05. Nonetheless, break of 130.38 will argue that the pull back is completed and turn focus back to 131.39 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.04; (R1) 129.55; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 130.38 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the cross. As noted decline from 131.39 is seen as correcting whole rise from 141.84. Below 127.55 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 131.39 at 125.05. Nonetheless, break of 130.38 will argue that the pull back is completed and turn focus back to 131.39 high.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.20; (P) 120.80; (R1) 121.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY on the upside for the moment. Rise from 118.46 should target 122.87 resistance next. Break will resume whole rise from 115.86 low. On the downside, though, break of 120.09 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 118.46 low instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.54; (P) 163.88; (R1) 164.43; More

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 165.33 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of current retreat should be contained by 55 4H EMA (now at 163.41) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 153.15 to 163.70 from 160.20 at 166.71. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will turn bias to the downside for deeper fall to 160.20 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.45; (P) 142.97; (R1) 143.91; More….

EUR/JPY is still staying in range below 144.23 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 144.23 will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 141.39 minor support will bring deeper fall, to extend the corrective pattern from 144.23.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.