EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.09; (P) 130.42; (R1) 130.75; More….

EUR/JPY lose upside momentum after hitting 130.73, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected as long as 128.49 minor support holds. Above 130.73 will target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. However, break of 128.49 will turn focus back to 127.13 support.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s up trend continued to 174.50 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for some more consolidations first. On the upside, firm break of 174.50 will target 138.2% projection of 164.01 to 170.87 from 167.52 at 177.00. On the downside, however, break of 173.07 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. For now outlook will stay bullish as long as 170.7 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 138.2% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 167.52 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.28; (P) 132.77; (R1) 133.60; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. With 131.69 support intact, there is no confirmation of reversal yet. Decisive break of 134.39 high will indicate up trend resumption. Next target will be 141.04 long term resistance. Nonetheless, firm break of 131.69 will be an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversal and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.46; (P) 128.01; (R1) 128.36; More….

At this point, we’re still favoring the case of short term bottoming at 126.63. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 130.20 resistance first. Break will pave the way for 133.12 high. On the downside, below 127.24 will turn bias to the downside. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 to retest 124.89 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.68; (P) 132.05; (R1) 132.54; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 131.21 support will likely extend the correction from 134.11 through 130.02. But in this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 132.68 will bring retest of 134.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.56; (P) 128.02; (R1) 128.42; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 128.77 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 129.73). On the downside, below 127.36 will target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound. But sustained break of 126.58 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.47; (P) 128.99; (R1) 129.57; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.93; (P) 130.34; (R1) 130.76; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 129.22 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 4 hour 55 EMA holds (now at 130.71), the consolidation should be relatively brief. Below 129.22 will target 128.94 support. Break will resume whole decline from 137.49 and target 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18 next. Overall, near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 133.47 resistance holds and downside breakout is expected eventually.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while, deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.25; (P) 120.52; (R1) 120.69; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point as consolidation from 121.46 is extending. Downside of retreat should be contained above 191.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.82). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.34; (P) 130.29; (R1) 131.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 133.12 would target 127.85 support first. Prior rise fro 124.89 could have completed at 133.12 already. Break of 127.85 will pave the way to retest 124.89. On the upside, though, above 131.23 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.72; (P) 143.37; (R1) 144.58; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Above 144.15 will resume the rally form 137.37 to retest 148.38 high. Nevertheless, break of 142.13 and sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 142.14) will dampen this bullish view and bring deeper fall back towards 137.37 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.21) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.97; (P) 132.02; (R1) 133.46; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current medium term rise should target 134.20 fibonacci level next. Firm break there will pave the way to 141.04 resistance next. On the downside, break of 130.60 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. ON the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.26; (P) 121.69; (R1) 122.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the upside for the moment. Consolidation from 120.78 is in progress with rise from 120.95 as the third leg. Upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 120.78 will resume the decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.82; (P) 159.04; (R1) 159.44; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Current up trend should target 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 157.99 from 151.39 at 163.09 next. On the downside, below 158.17 minor support will turn bias neutral again and bring more consolidations.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will now remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.55; (P) 164.82; (R1) 165.25; More

EUR/JPY’s breach of 165.33 resistance argues that larger up trend is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 169.96 key resistance next. Nevertheless, break of 164.39 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.48; (P) 126.15; (R1) 127.22; More….

EUR/JPY’s drops to as low as 124.38 so far today. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 121.94 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, above 126.91 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low) has completed 134.11 already. Fall from there is developing into a medium term down trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94. On the upside, firm break of 127.36 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.15; (P) 159.66; (R1) 159.95; More

Despite loss of upside momentum, further rally is expected in EUR/JPY for now. Rebound from 153.15 would target 100% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 160.46. Firm break there will target 161.8% projection at 163.79. However, break of 157.19 support will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.36; (P) 132.63; (R1) 132.95; More….

EUR/JPY’s rise continue with weak upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. While further rebound could be seen, upside will now likely be limited by 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and below. On the downside, below 132.10 minor support will suggests that the rebound from 128.94 might have completed. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 128.94 low.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.50; (P) 118.03; (R1) 118.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first and near term outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. ON the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.36; (P) 130.85; (R1) 131.12; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 137.49 resumed by diving through 129.22 and then 128.94 support. It reaches as low as 128.22 so far, just inch above 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18. Intraday bias is now on the downside for deeper fall, possibly further to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, above 129.52 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 131.34 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.