EUR/JPY rebounded strongly after initial dive to 154.40 last week. While further rise cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 162.42 holds. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will bring retest of 154.40 first. Break there will resume the fall from 175.41 to 153.15 support next. However, sustained break of 162.42 will bring strong rise to 61.8% retracement at 167.38, even as a corrective move.

In the bigger picture, fall from 175.41 medium term top should be correcting the whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline could be seen as long as 55 W EMA (now at 161.92) holds. But strong support should emerge between 153.15 and 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 55 W EMA will argue that the range of the medium term corrective pattern has already been set.

In the long term picture, considering bearish divergence condition in W MACD, 175.41 is at least a medium term top. It’s still early to conclude that up trend from 94.11 (2012 low) has completed. But a medium term corrective phase is in progress with risk of deeper fall back to 55 M EMA (now at 145.46).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.56; (P) 160.23; (R1) 161.48; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 162.87 resistance intact. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Break of 154.40 will resume the fall from 175.41 to 153.15 support next. However, decisive break of 162.87 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 175.41 medium term top should be correcting the whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper fall could be seen as long as 55 W EMA (now at 161.79) holds. But strong support should emerge between 153.15 and 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to bring rebound (at least on first attempt). Meanwhile, sustained trading above 55 W EMA will argue that the range of the medium term corrective pattern has already been set.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.15; (P) 159.80; (R1) 161.91; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point, and outlook remains bearish with 162.87 resistance intact. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Break of 154.40 will resume the fall from 175.41 to 153.15 support next. However, decisive break of 162.87 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 175.41 medium term top should be correcting the whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper fall could be seen as long as 55 W EMA (now at 161.79) holds. But strong support should emerge between 153.15 and 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to bring rebound (at least on first attempt). Meanwhile, sustained trading above 55 W EMA will argue that the range of the medium term corrective pattern has already been set.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.66; (P) 158.45; (R1) 159.60; More…

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 154.40 extends higher today but stays below 162.87 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point, and further fall is expected. On the downside, below 157.71 minor support will turn bias back to the downside. Break of 154.40 will resume the fall from 175.41 to 153.15 support next. However, decisive break of 162.87 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 175.41 medium term top should be correcting the whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper fall could be seen as long as 55 W EMA (now at 161.79) holds. But strong support should emerge between 153.15 and 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to bring rebound (at least on first attempt). Meanwhile, sustained trading above 55 W EMA will argue that the range of the medium term corrective pattern has already been set.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.80; (P) 157.51; (R1) 160.60; More…

EUR/JPY recovered after diving to 154.40 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but upside should be limited by 162.87 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 154.40 will resume the decline from 175.41 to 153.15 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 175.41 medium term top should be correcting the whole rise from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper fall could be seen as long as 55 W EMA (now at 161.79) holds. But strong support should emerge between 153.15 and 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to bring rebound (at least on first attempt). Meanwhile, sustained trading above 55 W EMA will argue that the range of the medium term corrective pattern has already been set.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.20; (P) 160.40; (R1) 161.09; More…

EUR/JPY’s decline continues today and breached 155.91 fibonacci level. There is no sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias remains on the downside. Next target is 153.15 support. On the upside, above 159.69 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, fall from 175.41 medium term top is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91 is already met. Firm break of 153.15 will target 139.05/148.38 support zone. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 161.79) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 continued last week accelerated further. This decline is now seen as a larger scale correction. Initial bias remains on the downside for 155.91 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 163.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, break of 164.29 resistance turned support indicates that fall from 175.41 medium term top is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 168.81) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, considering bearish divergence condition in W MACD, 175.41 is at least a medium term top. It’s still early to conclude that up trend from 94.11 (2012 low) has completed. But a medium term corrective phase is in progress with risk of deeper fall back to 55 M EMA (now at 145.46).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.76; (P) 163.65; (R1) 165.29; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 175.41 should target 155.91 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 163.41 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, break of 164.29 resistance turned support indicates that fall from 175.41 medium term top is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 168.85) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.76; (P) 163.65; (R1) 165.29; More…

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. This decline should be a larger scale correction and should target 155.91 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 167.93 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, break of 164.29 resistance turned support indicates that fall from 175.41 medium term top is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 169.17) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.20; (P) 166.08; (R1) 167.06; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the downside with breach of 164.81 temporary low, as fall from 175.41 resumes. Decisive break of 164.29 support turned resistance will indicate that larger scale correction is underway for 155.91 fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 167.93 resistance will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 164.29 resistance turned support. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness for resuming the up trend through 175.41 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 164.29 will indicate that fall from 175.41 is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.11; (P) 166.81; (R1) 167.39; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation continues above 164.81. Further decline is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 168.63) holds. On the downside, decisive break of 164.29 support turned resistance will indicate that larger scale correction is underway for 155.91 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 169.79).

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 164.29 resistance turned support. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness for resuming the up trend through 175.41 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 164.29 will indicate that fall from 175.41 is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 166.19; (P) 167.10; (R1) 167.87; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidations above 164.81 temporary low. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 169.98 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 164.29 support turned resistance will indicate that larger scale correction is underway for 155.91 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 164.29 resistance turned support. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness for resuming the up trend through 175.41 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 164.29 will indicate that fall from 175.41 is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91.

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 accelerated to as low as 164.81 last week, but recovered ahead of 164.29 resistance turned support. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 169.98 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 164.29 support turned resistance will indicate that larger scale correction is underway for 155.91 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 164.29 resistance turned support. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness for resuming the up trend through 175.41 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 164.29 will indicate that fall from 175.41 is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). As long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds, further rise should be seen to 138.2% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 191.32. However, sustained break of 164.29 would risk deeper medium term fall back towards 55 M EMA (now at 145.09) even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.33; (P) 166.46; (R1) 168.09; More…

A temporary low should be in place at 164.81 with current recovery. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 169.98 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 164.29 support turned resistance will indicate that larger scale correction is underway for 155.91 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 164.29 resistance turned support. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness for resuming the up trend through 175.41 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 164.29 will indicate that fall from 175.41 is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 165.57; (P) 167.39; (R1) 168.64; More…

EUR/JPY’s steep decline from 175.41 extends further today and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Medium term channel support is also breached. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 164.29 key resistance turned support. Firm break there will argue that larger scale correction is underway for 155.91 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 166.97 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 164.29 resistance turned support. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness for resuming the up trend through 175.41 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 164.29 will indicate that fall from 175.41 is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.13; (P) 169.61; (R1) 170.38; More…

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 accelerates lower today and it’s now pressing 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90. Some support could be seen from this fibonacci level, and break of 169.19 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, decisive break of 166.90 will pave the way to medium term channel support (now at 165.46).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.13; (P) 169.61; (R1) 170.38; More…

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 resumed after brief consolidations and dives to as low as 167.42 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90. Some support could be seen there to bring rebound, on first attempt. But break of 169.98 support turned resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Firm break of 166.90 will pave the way to medium term channel support (now at 165.46).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 170.95; (P) 171.33; (R1) 171.73; More…

EUR/JPY is staying above 169.98 despite today’s fall. Intraday bias remains neutral first, and further decline is expected as long as 172.91 resistance holds. Below 169.98 will target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90, as a correction to whole rise from 153.15. On the upside, though, break of 172.91 resistance will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 175.41 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 short term top extended lower last week but recovered after hitting 169.98. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further fall is in favor as long as 172.91 resistance holds. Below 169.98 will target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90, as a correction to whole rise from 153.15. On the upside, though, break of 172.91 resistance will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 175.41 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 138.2% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 170.43; (P) 171.01; (R1) 172.02; More…

EUR/JPY recovered after dipping to 169.98 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further fall is in favor as long as 172.91 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 170.30) will target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90, as a correction to whole rise from 153.15. On the upside, though, break of 172.91 resistance will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 175.41 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.