EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.97; (P) 132.60; (R1) 132.93; More….

EUR/JPY break of 132.03 minor support suggests that corrective rise from 128.94 has completed at 133.47 already, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 128.94 low first. Break will resume whole decline3 from 137.49. In case of another rise, we expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 to limit upside and bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.67; (P) 127.99; (R1) 128.46; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral as it recovered ahead of 127.36 support. On the downside, firm break of 127.36 will resume fall from 133.44 and larger pattern from 134.11. Next target is 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 129.62 resistance holds, in case of stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.07; (P) 140.28; (R1) 141.02; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 144.23 resumes today and intraday bias is back on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 137.11). On the upside, above 141.48 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 144.23 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.42; (P) 138.06; (R1) 139.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 136.86 will target 132.63 support. Decisive break will turn outlook bearish for 124.37 support. On the upside, above 139.78 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly after diving to 154.32 last week. But upside is limited below 158.46. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 158.464 will argue that the pull back has from 159.75 is completed. Bias will be turned back to the upside for resuming larger up trend through 159.75 high. On the downside, below 156.07 minor support will resume the fall from 159.75 through 154.32 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 159.75 are views as a corrective pattern for now. As long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue through 159.75 at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 151.39 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper correction.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY dropped sharply to as low as 124.27 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first, with focus on 124.23 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 124.10). Decisive break there should confirm completion of whole rebound from 118.61. Deeper fall should at least be seen to 61.8% retracement at 122.01 and below. In this case, the chance of resuming larger down trend will also increase. On the upside, though, break of 125.34 minor resistance after defending 124.10/23 will retain near term bullishness. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 127.50 first.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case. And in such case, the down trend from 137.49 could possibly resume through 118.62.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern and could have completed. Break of 133.12 resistance will likely send EUR/JPY through 137.49 towards 149.76 (2014 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.55; (P) 136.96; (R1) 137.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 139.99 is still extending. Downside of retreat should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.78; (P) 128.15; (R1) 128.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 130.33 resistance will confirm resumption of rise from 124.61. That will also revive the case of near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 133.47 key resistance. On the downside, break of 126.63 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.66; (P) 150.14; (R1) 150.55; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 148.83 support will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 146.12 support. On the upside, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation from 139.99 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of another decline, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, focus stays on 137.49 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there will raise the chance that whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming through 149.76 resistance. This will be a slightly favored case for now, as long as 124.37 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.54; (P) 161.08; (R1) 161.88; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, below 160.20 will resume the fall from 163.70 to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break there will indicate that fall from 163.70 is reversing whole rise from 153.13, and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. On the upside, though, above 162.16 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.29; (P) 124.47; (R1) 124.67; More…

EUR/JPY drops sharply to as low as 123.36 so far today. Intraday bias is now on the downside with focus on 123.39 key support. Sustained break will indicate larger reversal. That is rise from 118.62 has completed at 127.50 already. In such case, deeper fall should be seen to retest 118.62 low. On the upside, rebound from the current level, followed by break of 125.23 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for 126.79 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. Break of 123.39 support will favor of down trend extension and target 118.62 low. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above. On the downside, sustained break of 123.39 will add to the case that down trend from 137.49 is still in progress for another low below 118.62.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.26; (P) 121.69; (R1) 122.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the upside for the moment. Consolidation from 120.78 is in progress with rise from 120.95 as the third leg. Upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 120.78 will resume the decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.81; (P) 128.25; (R1) 128.51; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Firm break of 127.91 low will will resume whole fall from 134.11 and target 127.07 resistance turned support. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication and pave the way to 121.91 fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 129.65 will turn bias back to the upside for 130.73 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.78; (P) 130.07; (R1) 130.43; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 130.65 indicates resumption of whole rally from 114.42. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, break of 129.68 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.17; (P) 140.27; (R1) 141.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the downside as fall from 144.26 resumes. Sustained break of 137.83 support will raise the chance of rejection by 144.06 long term projection level and target 132.63 support. On the upside, above 142.36 minor resistance will bring retest of 144.26 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.14; (P) 145.93; (R1) 147.49; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 145.62 resistance confirms up trend resumption. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance. On the downside, below 144.58 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.75 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.99; (P) 127.15; (R1) 127.32; More….

EUR/JPY rises to as high as 127.59 so far today and break of 127.48 indicates resumption of whole up trend from 114.42. Intraday bias in back on the upside for 128.67 long term fibonacci level next. Sustained break there will confirm medium term upside momentum and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. On the downside, break of 126.97 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 121.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.39; (P) 123.71; (R1) 123.90; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 125.08 should confirm completion of the corrective decline from 127.07 at 121.63. Further rise should be seen to retest 127.07 high. However, break of 123.18 will turn bias to the downside for 121.63, to extend the correction.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.86; (P) 135.35; (R1) 136.18; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 137.50 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, further rally is expected with 133.70 minor support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.