EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.94; (P) 123.13; (R1) 123.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. Further fall is mildly in favor with 123.66 minor resistance intact. Below 122.84 will target a test on 121.63 low first. Firm break there will resume the pattern from 127.07 with another fall to 119.31 key support level. On the upside, though, break of 123.66 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 125.13 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.84; (P) 146.12; (R1) 148.45; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 148.48 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 140.88/144.06 support zone to bring another rally. Break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.63; (P) 136.08; (R1) 136.82; More….

EUR/JPY’s pull back from 139.99 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02. Downside should be contained there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 137.52 minor resistance will bring retest of 139.99 resistance first. However, firm break of 134.02 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 130.33.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.12; (R1) 129.66; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 129.62 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 127.36 will resume fall from 133.44 and larger pattern from 134.11. Next target is 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 129.62 will now argue that fall from 133.44 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.08; (P) 124.40; (R1) 124.72; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 124.09 temporary low. Current development suggests corrective pattern from 127.50 is extending with fall from 126.79 as the third leg. Upside of recovery from 124.09 should be limited by 125.28 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 124.09 will target 123.65 support. Nevertheless, break of 125.28 will turn bias back to the upside for 126.79 resistance.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.96; (P) 128.83; (R1) 129.29; More…

EUR/JPY’s fall from 130.38 accelerates further lower and breached 128.04. Based on current momentum, the corrective fall from 131.39 will dip deeper than originally expected. Intraday bias is now on the downside. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95 will target 100% projection of 131.39 to 128.04 from 130.38 at 127.03. We’ll looking for bottoming above 125.80 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 125.82) . On the upside, break of 130.38 is needed to signal completion of the correction. Otherwise, deeper decline is now mildly in favor.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rise from 164.01 extended by breaking through 169.38 resistance last week. This rally is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58. Initial bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62, and then 171.58 high. On the downside, break of 169.05 minor support will intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 167.31 should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.72) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 was already met but there is no signal of reversal yet. Firm break of 170.07 will target 138.2% projection at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.53; (P) 157.50; (R1) 158.01; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper decline will remain in favor as long as 158.64 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 157.02) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.24; (P) 133.42; (R1) 133.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading could continue inside 131.16/134.48. But further rise will be expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.25; (P) 159.66; (R1) 160.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 160.84. Outlook stay bullish as long as 157.67 support holds. Break of 160.84 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.52; (P) 133.15; (R1) 133.79; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Deeper fall is still expected with 134.79 resistance intact. Decisive break of 132.04 cluster support (23.6% retracement of 114.84 to 137.49 at 132.14) will indicate larger trend reversal on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, outlook will be turned bearish for 38.2% retracement at 128.38 first. Nonetheless, rebound from 132.04 will retain near term bullishness. Break of 134.79 minor resistance will bring retest of 137.49 high instead.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in week EMA indicates lost up medium term up trend momentum. But there is no clear sign of completion of up trend from 109.03 yet. Break of 137.49 will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 132.04 will be the early sign of long term reversal and should bring deeper fall back to retest 124.08 key support level.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.09; (P) 117.63; (R1) 117.99; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend is targeting 114.84 medium term support next. On the upside, above 118.33 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring more consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 123.35 resistance is needed to the first sign medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.13; (P) 117.34; (R1) 117.60; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and further rally is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 118.52 will resume the rebound from 114.42 and target 121.14 resistance next. However, break of 116.85 resistance turned support, and sustained trading below 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 117.14), will argue the rebound has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 115.32 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/JPY is staying well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.36; (P) 120.85; (R1) 121.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Firm break of 100% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 121.16 will target 161.8% projection at 123.78. On the downside, break of 119.74 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Break of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.10). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.29; (P) 131.52; (R1) 131.96; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 133.05 resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in the cross. Current development indicate medium term topping at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, though, break of 133.05 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.18; (P) 135.80; (R1) 136.76; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 135.85 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 133.38, after defending 134.11 key support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 138.54). Sustained break there will suggest that whole correction from 144.26 has completed. This will now remain the favored case as long as 133.38 support holds.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.27; (P) 128.54; (R1) 129.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 129.09 minor resistance will argue that fall from 133.44 has completed. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 129.49) and above. On the downside, break of 127.36 will resume larger pattern from 134.11 to 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.79; (P) 138.65; (R1) 139.91; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first, as it lost momentum after hitting 137.32. On the downside, break of 137.32 will resume the decline from 145.62 to 133.38 key support next. On the upside, though, break of 142.28 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 145.62 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.09; (P) 128.49; (R1) 129.20; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed by taking out 128.44 and intraday bias is back on the upside. 128.67 long term fibonacci level was taken out already. Further rally should be seen to 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. On the downside, break of 128.37 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 125.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.56; (P) 130.77; (R1) 131.10; More….

Focus stays on 131.02 minor resistance in EUR/JPY. Firm break there 131.02 resistance will argue that corrective fall from 134.11 might have completed with three waves down to 129.60 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 129.60 will resume the the correction. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.