EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.04; (P) 123.50; (R1) 124.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 121.96 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 124.43 will resume the rise from 114.42 to 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. On the downside, however, break of 121.96 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31 support instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.80) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.09; (P) 120.04; (R1) 121.27; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. On the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.65; (P) 128.99; (R1) 129.42; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for now, as it recovered just ahead of 127.91 key support. On the upside, break of 129.97 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound back towards 133.44 high. On the downside, however, break of 127.91 will extend the whole corrective pattern from 134.11, to 126.58 medium term fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.70; (P) 139.10; (R1) 139.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the downside. Current decline from is seen as a falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 144.23. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.48; (P) 121.97; (R1) 122.31; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 120.78 is extending. Further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited below 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 120.78 will resume the decline from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.83; (P) 123.23; (R1) 123.45; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 123.18 support now suggests that rebound from 121.63 has completed at 125.13, after rejection by 125.08 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 121.63. Firm break there will resume the pattern from 127.07 with another fall to 119.31 key support level. On the upside, though, break of 123.66 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 125.13 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.49; (P) 146.82; (R1) 147.40; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as rise from 137.37 is in progress for retesting 148.38 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. On the downside, below 146.06 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 142.53 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.88; (P) 159.36; (R1) 160.02; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 164.29 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 161.8% projection of 164.29 to 161.22 from 163.70 at 158.73 will target 154.32 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 154.64). On the upside, above 159.83 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in 55 D EMA indicates that a medium term top could be formed at 164.29 already, after hitting rising channel resistance. But price actions from there are tentatively seen as a correction only. There is no clear sign that the up trend from 144.42 (2020 low) has completed yet. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 152.12) holds, another rally through 164.29 is still in favor as a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.29; (P) 134.99; (R1) 135.40; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point, as consolidation from 137.49 is still extending. With 133.70 minor support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.35; (P) 123.64; (R1) 123.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective recovery from 122.37 should have completed at 125.08. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole corrective fall from 127.07, and target 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. On the upside, though, break of 125.08 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 127.07 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.64; (P) 128.50; (R1) 129.19; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall continues today and intraday bias remains on the downside. Corrective pattern from 134.11 should target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, however, break of 129.97 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound back towards 133.44 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.09; (P) 132.33; (R1) 132.55; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as focus stays on 132.63 resistance. Firm break there would indicate that corrective fall from 134.11 has completed and bring retest of this high. On the downside, break of 131.21 minor support will extend the correction with another fall through 130.02 low. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.61; (P) 131.01; (R1) 131.43; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 133.12 extends further today and reaches as low as 129.61 so far. The break of 55 day EMA affirms the view that rise from 124.89 has completed. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 127.85 support first. Break will target 124.89 again. On the upside, though, above 131.23 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.78; (P) 149.51; (R1) 150.57; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen, but downside should be contained by 146.85 support to bring another rally. Break of 151.60 will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 138.81 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rise from 164.01 extended by breaking through 169.38 resistance last week. This rally is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58. Initial bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62, and then 171.58 high. On the downside, break of 169.05 minor support will intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 167.31 should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.72) holds, price actions from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 was already met but there is no signal of reversal yet. Firm break of 170.07 will target 138.2% projection at 191.32. This will remain the favored case as long as 153.15 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.25; (P) 159.66; (R1) 160.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 160.84. Outlook stay bullish as long as 157.67 support holds. Break of 160.84 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.97; (P) 134.51; (R1) 135.27; More….

EUR/JPY’s price actions from 139.99 are seen as a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could still be seen as long as 138.33 resistance holds. Below 132.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. Nevertheless, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.95; (P) 130.54; (R1) 130.86; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Corrective pattern from 134.11 is seen as extending with another falling leg. Break of 130.03 will bring deeper fall to 128.23 support first. Break will target 127.36 support and below. On the upside, however, break of 133.13 will bring retest of 134.11 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.96; (P) 129.59; (R1) 129.97; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 128.32 support today indicates resumption of fall from 133.12. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 127.85 support next. Firm break there should confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, break of 130.20 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.18; (P) 124.59; (R1) 125.15; More….

EUR/JPY is still limited below 125.08 resistance despite current rebound. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, below 123.01 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole corrective fall from 127.07, and target 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. On the upside, though, break of 125.08 will target a retest on 127.07 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.