EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.63; (P) 124.99; (R1) 125.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point and some more consolidations could be seen. As long as 124.31 support holds, further rally is in favor. On the upside, break of 126.75 will resume the rally from 114.42. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 124.31 should confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 123.10), to correct the rally from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 123.03) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.92; (P) 132.53; (R1) 133.20; More….

EUR/JPY surged to 133.13 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 134.11 should have completed three waves down to 127.36. Firm break of 133.44/134.11 resistance zone will resume larger up trend from 114.42. On the downside, however, break of 131.24 minor support will delay dampen this bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 128.23 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.18; (P) 169.56; (R1) 169.90; More

Further rally remains in favor in EUR/JPY despite loss of upside momentum. Rise form 164.01, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58, would target 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62. On the downside, break of 167.31 support should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.30) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.32; (P) 124.75; (R1) 125.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Prior break of 124.27 support firstly indicates resumption of fall from 127.50. Secondly it argues that rebound from 118.62 might be completed. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. On the upside, above 125.08 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.86). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.45; (P) 135.11; (R1) 136.26; More….

EUR/JPY formed a temporary low at 133.96 and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Still, the near term trend is likely reversed considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Deeper decline will remain in favor. Below 133.96 will target 132.04 cluster support first (23.6% retracement of 114.84 to 137.49 at 132.14). Decisive break there will indicate larger reversal.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support, however, will be an early sign of trend reversal and will bring deeper fall back to 124.08 key medium term support.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.21; (P) 164.79; (R1) 165.77; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 61.8% projection of 153.15 to 163.70 from 160.20 at 166.71. On the downside, Below 163.81 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.72; (P) 162.35; (R1) 162.78; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Corrective fall from 164.29 is in progress and deeper decline should be seen to 100% projection of 164.29 tot 161.22 from 163.77 at 160.63 and possibly below. But strong support should be seen from 159.75 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Nevertheless, for now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 163.70 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.48; (P) 122.95; (R1) 123.32; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 122.48 temporary low. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 124.09/125.29 resistance zone to bring fall resumption. Current development suggests that rebound from 118.62 has completed at 127.50 already. On the downside, break of 122.48 will target retest of 118.62 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.54; (P) 129.68; (R1) 129.80; More….

Consolidation form 128.58 is still extending and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 131.07 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.70; (P) 130.02; (R1) 130.46; More….

Despite breaching 130.26 to 130.33, there is no follow through buying in EUR/JPY. Upside momentum also stays weak as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 130.26 will resume the rebound form 124.61 and target 133.47 key near term resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 127.78 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound from 124.61. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 124.61 first.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.06; (P) 120.72; (R1) 121.27; More….

EUR/JPY is still holding above 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05) for now. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, rebound from 115.86 could have completed at 122.65, ahead of medium term channel resistance. Firm break of 119.99 should confirm and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 118.45 and below. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness and turn focus back to 122.65 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.49) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.15; (P) 130.88; (R1) 132.11; More…

Break of 131.39 resistance suggests that larger rally is resuming. Intraday bias remains on the upside for target 61.8% projection of 122.39 to 131.39 from 127.55 at 133.11 next. On the downside, below 130.44 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.28; (P) 120.88; (R1) 121.50; More…..

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 119.31 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is in favor with 122.11 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 119.31 will resume the fall from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24. However, break of 122.11 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 124.43 instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.39) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.03; (P) 141.62; (R1) 142.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at for the moment. Risk remains on the downside as long as 143.61 resistance holds. Break of 138.81 will affirm the bearish case that fall from 145.55 is a leg inside the whole corrective decline from 148.38. Next target is 137.37 low, and then 135.40 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.58) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.74; (P) 139.24; (R1) 140.19; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside. Rise from 133.38 should target 100% projection of 133.38 to 138.38 from 135.50 at 140.50. Decisive break there will indicate upside acceleration, and raise the chance of up trend resumption through 144.26 high. On the downside, below 138.24 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.36; (P) 134.62; (R1) 134.79; More….

With 133.91 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for further rally. Current rise from 132.04 should target 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 134.39 from 132.04 at 144.12. Ideally, upside acceleration should be seen in the current move with daily MACD taking out down trend line. On the downside, below 133.91 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 132.04 key support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 132.04 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back 55 week EMA (now at 127.82).

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.02; (P) 164.51; (R1) 165.01; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 165.33 is possibly extending with another falling leg, and deeper decline could be seen. But outlook stays bullish as long as 162.59 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.88; (P) 121.99; (R1) 121.45; More…

Outlook in EUR/JPY remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral for consolidation above 120.05. Another recovery could be seen. But outlook remains bearish as long as 122.32 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 120.05 will resume the decline from 127.50 for retesting 118.62 low. Though, break of 122.32 would indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 123.35 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying well inside long term falling channel, and below falling 55 week EMA. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.55; (P) 128.96; (R1) 129.31; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the downside for retesting 127.91 support. Firm break there will resume the whole decline from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, though, break of 130.45 resistance will now argue that whole correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.61; (P) 128.89; (R1) 129.36; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Consolidation pattern from 134.11 is extending with another leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 127.36, and possibly further to 126.58 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 130.07 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to 131.59 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.