EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.45; (P) 119.88; (R1) 120.13; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 119.05 so far. 119.24 support is broken and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 100% projection of 122.87 to 119.77 from 121.15 at 118.05 next. On the upside, above 119.59 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 121.15 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.27; (P) 157.64; (R1) 158.04; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 163.46 next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 155.74 minor support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.56; (P) 117.00; (R1) 117.87; More….

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 115.86 extends higher today but stays below 117.91 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is still expected. On the downside, break of 115.86 will resumed recent down trend to 114.84 medium term support next. However, firm break of 117.91 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 119.47) and above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 123.35 resistance is needed to the first sign medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.86; (P) 149.28; (R1) 149.72; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 148.58 temporary low will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.83; (P) 127.38; (R1) 128.12; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 133.12 is in progress for retesting 124.89 low. On the upside, above 128.44 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 130.20 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 133.12. Otherwise, near term outlook will now be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.66; (P) 143.47; (R1) 144.07; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 144.23 will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 141.39 minor support will bring deeper fall, to extend the corrective pattern from 144.23.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.61; (P) 129.88; (R1) 130.41; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 127.36 resumed and hit as high as 130.21 so far. Current development suggests that whole consolidation from 134.11 has completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 129.25 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.39; (P) 128.22; (R1) 128.86; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 129.30) will argue that correction from 134.11 has completed, and bring stronger rally to retest this high. On the downside, though, below 126.28 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 124.37 support.

In the bigger picture, outlook is neutral at best for now until there is clear sign of up trend resumption. Corrective pattern from 134.11 could still extend further, sideway or downward. Break of 124.37 will target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.13; (P) 118.18; (R1) 118.81; More….

Rejection but falling 4 hour 55 EMA is a sign of near term bearishness. But EUR/JPY is holding above 115.86/116.12 support zone. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Downside breakout in in favor and sustained trading below 115.86 will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 137.49. Nevertheless, break of 121.39 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 122.87 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 109.48 (2016 low) next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.98; (P) 131.44; (R1) 131.78; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Break of 130.03 will bring deeper fall to 128.23 support first. Break will target 127.36 support and below. On the upside break of 133.13 will bring retest of 134.11 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.58; (P) 135.03; (R1) 135.35; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 137.50 is extending. With 133.70 minor support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.76; (P) 128.19; (R1) 128.72; More….

For now, further fall is still expected in EUR/JPY with 129.58 resistance intact. Corrective pattern from 134.11 should target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, however, break of 129.58 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound back to 55 day EMA (now at 130.13) first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.62; (P) 128.19; (R1) 129.08; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some downside momentum. But further decline is expected as long as 130.27 resistance holds. Decline from 133.13, as another falling leg of the corrective pattern from 134.11, should target 126.58 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.23; (P) 128.01; (R1) 128.45; More….

With 129.58 resistance intact, further decline is still expected in EUR/JPY. Corrective pattern from 134.11 should target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, however, break of 129.58 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound back to 55 day EMA (now at 130.10) first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.99; (P) 158.60; (R1) 159.56; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for the moment. Current up trend is in progress for 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 157.99 from 151.39 at 163.09 next. On the downside, below 157.73 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will now remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.46; (P) 148.86; (R1) 149.65; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Firm break of 149.25 resistance will argue that pull back from 151.60 has completed at 146.12 already. Stronger rally should be seen back to retest 151.60. On the downside, however, break of 146.12 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 151.60 at 143.84.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.19; (P) 151.48; (R1) 152.05; More….

EUR/JPY’s strong break of 151.60 resistance confirms larger up trend resumption. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 153.64 projection level. Sustained break there will be a sign of strong medium term momentum. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. On the downside, below 151.36 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 146.12 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s decline last week should confirm short term topping at 157.99, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Initial bias remains on the downside for deeper correction to 154.03 support or below. But overall outlook will stay bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds. Larger rally is still expected to resume through 157.99 after the correction completes. On the upside, above 157.18 minor resistance will bring retest of 157.99 high first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68, and possibly further to 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.56; (P) 128.02; (R1) 128.42; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 128.77 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 129.73). On the downside, below 127.36 will target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound. But sustained break of 126.58 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.15; (P) 141.04; (R1) 141.65; More….

Further rise is still in favor in EUR/JPY with 139.68 minor support intact. Consolidation pattern from 144.23 should have completed with three waves to 136.85. Further rally should be seen to retest 144.26 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 139.68 minor support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 136.85 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.