EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.45; (P) 122.03; (R1) 122.73; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside. Correction from 124.43 short term top would extend to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 120.60. Some support could be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.43 will resume the rise from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 122.87 resistance suggests that whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed at 114.42. Current rally should now target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 118.45) holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.32; (P) 160.81; (R1) 161.71; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 153.15 is in progress for 161.8% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 163.79, which is close to 164.29 high. On the downside, below 160.03 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.05; (P) 125.28; (R1) 125.46; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 125.91 minor resistance suggests that corrective pull back from 127.48 has completed at 125.07. That came after drawing support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 125.24. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 127.48 resistance. On the downside, through, firm break of 125.07 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.36; (P) 144.52; (R1) 145.15; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Rebound from 137.37 could be extending. On the upside, break of 145.66 will target 148.38 high. However, break of 143.12 minor support will mix up the outlook again and turn bias to the downside for 138.81 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.19; (P) 160.59; (R1) 160.96; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again with current recovery. On the downside, below 160.20 will resume the fall from 163.70 to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break there will indicate that fall from 163.70 is reversing whole rise from 153.13, and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. On the upside, though, above 162.16 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.42; (P) 130.96; (R1) 131.63; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside. Current rise from 124.89 should target 131.97 resistance and then key fibonacci resistance at 132.56. On the downside, break of 130.09 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook stays cautiously bullish as long as 127.85 support holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turned support, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) remains in favor to continue. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.81; (P) 130.20; (R1) 130.44; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 133.47 continues today and reaches as low as 129.81 so far. Downside momentum is seen diminishing in 4 hour MACD. But intraday bias remains on the downside for 128.94 support. Break will resume whole decline from 137.49 and target 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18 next. On the upside, above 131.13 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited well below 133.47 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while, deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.87; (P) 128.16; (R1) 128.57; More….

The break of 128.44 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 126.63. Intraday bias is turned to the upside for 130.20 resistance first. Break will pave the way for 133.12 high. Nonetheless, break of 126.63 will resume the fall from 133.12 and target a test on 124.89 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.30; (P) 129.65; (R1) 129.98; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Correction from 130.65 short term top could extend lower towards 55 day EMA (now at 127.93). But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside for more corrective moves as long as 130.65 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.73; (P) 143.09; (R1) 143.31; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Correction from 148.38 should have completed at 137.37 already. Further rise should be seen to 146.71 resistance next. On the downside, though, below 142.33 minor support will dampen this bullish view, and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.87) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.97; (P) 130.24; (R1) 130.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Deeper fall remains mildly in favor with 131.07 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 128.85 will resume the fall from 134.11 to 127.07 resistance turned support next. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will argue that choppy fall from 134.11 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 132.68 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.30; (P) 157.61; (R1) 157.91; More….

Sideway trading continues in EUR/JPY above 156.57 support and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk stays on the downside with 158.64 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.95) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.59; (P) 121.72; (R1) 121.91; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 122.65 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break 122.65 will resume whole rally from 115.86 and target medium term channel resistance (now at 124.26). However, break of 119.99 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 115.86 to 122.65 at 120.05) will argue that rise from 115.86 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 118.45.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 121.46 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 191.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.82). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 126.12), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.47; (P) 144.61; (R1) 146.01; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. Strong support from 55 day EMA (now at 143.53), and rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness. Break of 148.38 will resume larger rise to 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underlying, and target 137.32 support.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.95; (P) 168.26; (R1) 170.86; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 171.58 short term top is extending. Overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 165.33 resistance turned support holds. Above 171.58 will resume larger up trend to 178.39 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Decisive break of 169.96 (2008 high) will pave the way to 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.39. On the downside, break of 162.26 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.12; (P) 128.59; (R1) 129.04; More…

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook even though it’s losing upside momentum. Further rise is expected with 127.43 minor support intact. We’d be cautious of strong resistance between 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 129.16 and medium term projection level at 129.89 to bring short term topping. On the downside, below 1.2743 will bring deeper pull back to 125.80 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 should target 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89 first. Break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will now remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.97; (P) 143.08; (R1) 143.80; More….

With a temporary top formed at 144.23, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained by 139.99 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 144.23 will resumer larger up trend to 100% projection of 124.37 to 139.99 from 132.63 at 148.25.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. Firm break there will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.57; (P) 156.95; (R1) 157.41; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. While rebound from 153.15 could extend higher, upside should be limited below 158.36 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 155.98 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 153.15.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.02; (P) 164.51; (R1) 165.01; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 165.33 is possibly extending with another falling leg, and deeper decline could be seen. But outlook stays bullish as long as 162.59 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 165.33 will resume larger up trend towards 169.96 key resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 162.59 will turn bias to the downside for 160.20 support next.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.