EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.94; (P) 129.23; (R1) 129.60; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.23 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Further decline is expected as long as 129.76 resistance holds. Below 128.23 will target 127.36, and possibly further to 126.58 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 129.76 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to 131.59 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.03; (P) 124.33; (R1) 124.48; More…

EUR/JPY drops sharply to as low as 123.24 so far and deeper decline might be seen. But after all, it’s staying in the consolidation pattern from 125.80. Hence, we’d expect downside to be contained by by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.31; (P) 128.98; (R1) 129.49; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again as it retreated deeply after rising to 129.62. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 129.49) will affirm the case that corrective pattern from1 34.11 has completed. Further rise should be seen back to 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 127.99 minor support will resume fall from 133.44 through 127.36 to 126.58 medium term fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.15; (P) 133.32; (R1) 133.98; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Outlook remains bullish as long as 131.65 support holds and further rise is still in favor. Sustained break of 134.39 resistance will confirm up trend resumption and target 141.04 long term resistance. However, on the downside, firm break of 131.65 will suggest trend reversal and turn focus to 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.08; (P) 124.40; (R1) 124.72; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 124.09 temporary low. Current development suggests corrective pattern from 127.50 is extending with fall from 126.79 as the third leg. Upside of recovery from 124.09 should be limited by 125.28 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 124.09 will target 123.65 support. Nevertheless, break of 125.28 will turn bias back to the upside for 126.79 resistance.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.27; (P) 130.23; (R1) 130.75; More….

The break of 129.59 support dampens our bullish view and indicates that rebound from 127.36 has completed at 131.59 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 127.36 first. Break there will extend the corrective pattern from 134.11 to 126.58 fibonacci level. On the upside, though, break of 131.59 will resume the rebound to 133.44/134.11 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.41; (P) 157.79; (R1) 158.10; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook as sideway trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Risk stays on the downside with 158.64 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.95) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.63; (P) 137.18; (R1) 137.46; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 135.63 minor support indicates that rebound from 133.38 has completed at 138.38 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 133.38 first. Sustained break of 133.38/134.11 support zone will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, above 136.28 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rise from 153.15 extended higher last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 161.8% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 163.79, which is close to 164.29 high. On the downside, below 160.03 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.53; (P) 155.29; (R1) 156.72; More..

EUR/JPY recovered ahead of 153.15 support and intraday bias is turned neutral. Near term outlook stay bearish as long as 157.67 resistance intact. On the downside decisive break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.24; (P) 139.00; (R1) 140.01; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 139.78 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 144.26 has completed at 136.85. Further rally would be seen back to retest 144.26 high. On the downside, though, below 136.85 will resume the fall back to 132.63 support.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.61; (P) 122.94; (R1) 123.23; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 127.07 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will raise the chance that whole rise form 114.42 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 119.25. On the upside, break of 124.31 resistance will argue that the decline has completed and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.78; (P) 128.15; (R1) 128.50; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 130.33 resistance will confirm resumption of rise from 124.61. That will also revive the case of near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 133.47 key resistance. On the downside, break of 126.63 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.13; (P) 161.54; (R1) 162.18; More

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, below 160.20 will resume the fall from 163.70 to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66. Sustained break there will indicate that fall from 163.70 is reversing whole rise from 153.13, and target 61.8% retracement at 157.18. On the upside, though, above 162.16 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 163.70.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 which could still be extending. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.09; (P) 155.54; (R1) 155.93; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is mildly on the downside as fall from 158.03 is trying to extend lower. But downside should be contained by 153.32 support to complete the corrective pattern from 157.99. On the upside, decisive break of 157.99/158.03 will confirm resumption of larger up trend, and target 162.82 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.98; (P) 125.72; (R1) 126.15; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 127.07 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Larger rise is in favor to continue and break of 127.07 will resume the rally from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.47; (P) 134.04; (R1) 135.14; More….

Intraday bias sin EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained trading above 134.11 high will confirm resumption of larger up trend next target will be 136.53 medium term projection level. On the downside, though, break of 132.31 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that corrective pattern from 134.11 has completed at 124.37 already. Firm break of 134.11 will resume the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 136.53, and then 137.49 (2018 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 124.37 support holds.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 124.08 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next. On the downside below 120.54 will bring another fall. But in that case, downside should be contained by 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

In the long term picture, current medium term decline from 149.76 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern from 88.96. Decisive break of 126.09 will indicate that such decline is completed and EUR/JPY has started another medium term rally already.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.83; (P) 163.27; (R1) 163.99; More

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed by breaking 163.45 temporary top and intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 164.29 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 1`62.55 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.79; (P) 126.98; (R1) 127.25; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 127.48 is extending. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 125.07 support to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 127.48 will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.