Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.99; (P) 157.49; (R1) 158.20; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, firm break of 158.464 will argue that the pull back has from 159.75 is completed. Bias will be turned back to the upside for resuming larger up trend through 159.75 high. On the downside, below 156.07 minor support will resume the fall from 159.75 through 154.32 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 159.75 are views as a corrective pattern for now. As long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue through 159.75 at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 151.39 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.74; (P) 124.31; (R1) 125.12; More….

EUR/JPY dived to as low as 118.62 as down trend extended. Some consolidations could likely be seen after climax selling. But in any case, near term outlook will remain bearish 123.87 minor resistance holds. Another fall is still expected to revisit 119.90 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target next projection level at 112.28. On the upside, touching of 123.87 will indicate short term bottoming and bring lengthier consolidation before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 124.08 key support suggests that medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is seen as a medium term fall, resuming the decline from 149.76 (2014 high). Such decline should break through 109.03 low next. This will remain the preferred case as long as 124.61 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.67; (P) 132.07; (R1) 132.35; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook. As long as 103.97 support holds, further rally is expected. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next. However, firm break of 130.97 should confirm short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 129.99 first).

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.39; (P) 128.98; (R1) 129.32; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Rebound from 124.61 could have completed with three waves up to 131.97 already. Deeper fall would be seen for 127.13 support first. Decisive break there will bring retest of 124.61 low. On the upside, above 129.52 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain cautiously bearish as long as 131.13 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is still holding above 124.08 key support turned resistance. And the larger rise from 109.03 (2016 low) mildly in favor to resume. Break of 133.47 should send the cross through 137.49 high. However, decisive break of 124.08 will confirm medium term reversal and could then pave the way back to 109.03 low and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.36; (P) 120.85; (R1) 121.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Firm break of 100% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 121.16 will target 161.8% projection at 123.78. On the downside, break of 119.74 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Break of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.10). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.93; (P) 130.19; (R1) 130.68; More….

EUR/JPY’s up trend resumed through 130.46 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92. Sustained break there will target 161.8% projection at 134.53 next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 129.47 minor support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.54; (P) 122.84; (R1) 123.08; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 127.07 resumes after brief consolidations and focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Sustained break there will pave the way to o 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. In any case, break of 124.31 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, further fall will remain in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 123.65 extended to as high as 125.50 last week but lost momentum since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Current development argues that corrective pull back from 127.50 might have completed already. Hence, further rise is expected as long as 124.47 minor support intact. On the upside, above 125.50 will turn bias to the upside for 126.78/127.50 resistance zone. However, on the downside, break of 124.47 will turn bias back to the downside for 123.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is staying well inside medium term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). It’s also held below 55 week EMA (now at 127.53). Thus, down trend from 137.49 might still extend lower. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Rise from 118.76 should extend to 133.12 key resistance instead.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.03 low. On the upside, break of 133.12 resistance bring retest of 149.76 (2014 high).

EUR/JPY edged higher to 121.96 last week but was rejected by 122.11 resistance reversed. The development suggests that corrective recovery from 119.31 has completed. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 119.31 first. Break will resume the fall from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24. On the upside, however, break of 122.11 will argue that fall from 124.43 has completed. Stronger rise would be seen to retest 124.43.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.90) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Sustained break of 55 month EMA (now at 124.40) should confirm the start of another medium term rising leg.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.96; (P) 120.22; (R1) 120.68; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 115.86 is in progress for 100% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 121.16 first. On the downside, break of 119.74 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Break of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.10). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.54; (P) 162.99; (R1) 163.38; More…

EUR/JPY dips notably today as range trading from 163.70 extends. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 161.67 minor support will bring deeper decline to 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 163.70 at 159.66, as corrective pattern from 163.70 resumes. Nevertheless, firm break of 163.70 will resume whole rally from 153.15 to retest 164.29 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.79; (P) 122.15; (R1) 122.47; More….

Further rise is expected in EUR/JPY with 120.27 support intact, despite loss of upside momentum. Choppy rebound form 119.31 is still in favor to continue towards 124.43 high. On the downside, break of 120.27 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31. Break will resume the decline from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.90) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY’s correction from 139.99 extended lower last week, but a temporary low should be in place at 132.63. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Risk stays on the downside as long as 138.33 resistance holds. Below 132.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, focus stays on 137.49 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there will raise the chance that whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming through 149.76 resistance. This will be a slightly favored case for now, as long as 124.37 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.65; (P) 121.90; (R1) 122.06; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 122.65. Intraday bias remains neutral and another fall cannot be ruled out. but downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.58).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.01; (P) 135.32; (R1) 135.70; More….

With 134.53 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside. Current medium term rally would target 61.8% projection of 114.84 to 134.39 from 132.04 at 144.12. On the downside, below 134.53 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 132.04 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back 55 week EMA (now at 128.34).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.06; (P) 126.48; (R1) 127.08; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside. Current rise from 118.62 low should target 129.25 resistance next. Decisive break there will target 133.12 key resistance. On the downside, below 125.89 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 124.23 support hoods.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed at 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case and turn focus back to 118.62 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.61; (P) 131.01; (R1) 131.43; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 133.12 extends further today and reaches as low as 129.61 so far. The break of 55 day EMA affirms the view that rise from 124.89 has completed. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 127.85 support first. Break will target 124.89 again. On the upside, though, above 131.23 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.75; (P) 125.10; (R1) 125.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 123.65 is in progress and could extend to 126.78/127.50 resistance zone first. On the downside, however, break of 123.56 will resume the fall from 127.50 to 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.61). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.87; (P) 131.19; (R1) 131.80; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 130.95 confirms up trend resumption. Intraday bias is now back on the upside. Rise form 114.42 should now target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, break of 129.57 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.84; (P) 146.12; (R1) 148.45; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 148.48 short term top and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 140.88/144.06 support zone to bring another rally. Break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.