EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.45; (P) 141.91; (R1) 142.45; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 144.23 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 137.83 will turn bias back to the downside to extend the correction from 144.23.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.60; (P) 163.21; (R1) 164.21; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as recent rally is still in progress. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 139.05 to 159.75 from 154.32 at 167.11. On the downside, below 163.23 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.27; (P) 128.54; (R1) 129.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 129.09 minor resistance will argue that fall from 133.44 has completed. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 129.49) and above. On the downside, break of 127.36 will resume larger pattern from 134.11 to 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.53; (P) 119.93; (R1) 120.19; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 112.87 resumed by breaking 119.77 and intraday bias is back on the downside. Fall from 112.87 should target 119.24 cluster level first (61.8% projection of 122.87 to 119.77 from 121.15 at 119.23). Break there will further affirm this bearish case and target 100% projection at 118.05 next. For now, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 121.15 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.83; (P) 129.63; (R1) 130.02; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 128.72 so far today. The break of 129.10 indicates resumption of fall from 131.97. It also revives the case that corrective rise from 124.61 has completed with three waves up to 131.97. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 127.13 support first. Break there will pave the way to 124.61 low. ON the upside, break of 131.13 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 131.97. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, for now, medium outlook remains cautiously bullish. the three wave structure of the fall from 137.49 to 124.61 argues that it’s a correction. Also, 124.08 key resistance turned support was defended. Break of 133.47 resistance will affirm the bullish case that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress for another high above 137.49. And this will remain the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rose strongly to as high as 127.50 last week before closing at 127.19, as rise from 118.62 extended and accelerated. Initial bias remains on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 118.62 at 130.28 next. On the downside, break of 126.60 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 124.23/125.95 support zone to bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case and turn focus back to 118.62 instead.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern and could have completed. Break of 133.12 resistance will likely send EUR/JPY through 137.49 towards 149.76 (2014 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.97; (P) 132.37; (R1) 132.94; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 127.91 should target retesting 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62. On the downside, below 131.48 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.41; (P) 125.68; (R1) 125.83; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 127.07 is extending. Further rise is still expected as long as 124.44 support holds. Break of 127.07 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction, to 55 day EMA (now at 123.93).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.90; (P) 154.79; (R1) 155.39; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 157.99 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 154.03 support will argue that it’s at least correcting the whole rise from 139.05. Deeper fall would be seen to 55 D EMA (now at 152.28). On the upside, above 155.66 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.14; (P) 120.69; (R1) 121.02; More…

EUR/JPY’s break of 120.05 indicates resumption of recent decline from 127.50. Intraday bias back on the downside for 118.62 low. Break will resume long term down trend. On the upside, break of 121.38 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying well inside long term falling channel, and below falling 55 week EMA. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.91; (P) 126.33; (R1) 126.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 129.32. On the downside, break of 124.31 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.81) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.77; (P) 118.27; (R1) 118.54; More…

With 119.31 support turned resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in EUR/JPY. Current development suggests that medium term rise from 109.20 has completed at 124.08 already. Below 117.42 will target 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. Nonetheless, sustained break of 119.31 will turn focus back to 120.43 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.90; (P) 126.28; (R1) 126.53; More….

EUR/JPY lost momentum ahead of 127.07 resistance, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rally from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation form 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY recovered to 121.15 last week but failed to take out 121.26 minor resistance and reversed. The development so far affirms the bearish view that corrective rise from 115.86 has completed at 122.87 already. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Break of 119.77 will pave the way to retest 115.86 low. Though, break of 121.26 will turn focus back to 122.87 high instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.58), this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

After some corrective trading EUR/JPY rebounded strongly to close at 129.25. As it stays below 130.33 resistance, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 130.33 will resume the rebound from 124.61. And by then, EUR/JPY should have also taken out near term falling channel decisively. That would be a strong sign of trend reversal. In that case, further rise should be seen to 133.47 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 127.13 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is holding above 124.08 key resistance turned support. Fall from 137.49 could be proven to be a correction. Decisive break of 133.47 resistance will confirm its completion and should extend the rise from 109.03 (2016 low) through 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.54; (P) 122.84; (R1) 123.08; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 127.07 resumes after brief consolidations and focus is now on 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Sustained break there will pave the way to o 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. In any case, break of 124.31 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, further fall will remain in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.85; (P) 138.84; (R1) 139.55; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 142.31 is seen as a falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 144.23. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.14; (P) 119.63; (R1) 120.24; More….

Outlook in EUR/JPY remains unchanged as sideway trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline remains mildly in favor with 121.39 resistance intact. larger rebound from 115.86 should have completed at 122.87. Break of 118.37 will target 100% projection of 122.87 to 118.46 from 121.39 at 116.98 next. However, firm break of 121.39 will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 122.87 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 127.07 last week but quickly retreated. Initial bias stays neutral this week first for some more consolidations. Further rise is still expected as long as 124.44 support holds. Break of 127.07 will resume larger rise from 114.42 to 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction, to 55 day EMA (now at 123.80).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.34; (P) 136.07; (R1) 137.48; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 139.99 could still extend lower. On the downside, break of 132.63 will resume the fall and target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. On the upside, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.