Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.96; (P) 118.50; (R1) 118.88; More…

EUR/JPY’s decline accelerates to as low as 117.56 and took out 118.39/45 cluster support zone decisively. The development now argues that rise from 109.20 is completed. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. On the upside, above 118.62 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery. But upside should be limited by 120.43 resistance and bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.70; (P) 132.16; (R1) 132.89; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally continues to as high as 132.61 so far. Breach of 132.40 resistance with solid upside momentum suggests decline from 137.49 has completed at 128.94 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and above. On the downside, break of 131.09 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rebound will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading another, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.96; (P) 142.45; (R1) 143.39; More….

Immediate focus is now on 142.79 resistance in EUR/JPY. Firm break there will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Further rise would be seen to 146.71 resistance next. On the downside, break of 139.54 will resume the whole fall from 148.38 through 137.37, to 135.40 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.87) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.16; (P) 124.55; (R1) 124.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 125.58 is extending. Further rise is still mildly in favor as long as 123.01 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 125.58 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 129.32. However, break of 123.01 support will now confirm short term topping. In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 122.11) to correct the whole rise from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.81) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.72; (P) 158.60; (R1) 159.12; More….

EUR/JPY’s steep fall and break of 157.64 minor support indicates short term topping at 159.47, on bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 155.62) first. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 159.47 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will now remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly last week but failed to take out 125.13 resistance. The development mixed up the near term outlook and initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 125.13 will revive the case that correction from 127.07 has completed. Further rally would be seen back to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 122.84 will turn bias back to the downside for 121.63 support instead, to extend the pattern from 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.47; (P) 160.79; (R1) 161.19; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside despite loss of momentum. Firm break of 161.84 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 153.15. Next target is a retest on 164.29 high. On the downside, below 160.36 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 158.06 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.76; (P) 121.12; (R1) 121.44; More….

A temporary top should be in place at 121.46 with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first and some consolidations could be seen. Downside should be contained above 119.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.00). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.54; (P) 155.32; (R1) 156.76; More..

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 153.15 extends higher today but outlook is unchanged. Upside should be limited below 158.36 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 155.98 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 153.15. Break of 153.15 and sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 154.64 will target 61.8% retracement at 148.69 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.11; (P) 149.65; (R1) 150.07; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in tight range of 148.58/151.05 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, below 148.58 temporary low will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.76; (P) 132.15; (R1) 132.44; More….

Outlook in EUR/JPY remains unchanged. Corrective rise from 128.94 has completed at 133.47 already. Deeper decline should be seen back to retest 128.94 low. Break there will resume whole decline from 137.49. On the upside, above 133.47 will extend the rebound. But we expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 to limit upside and bring near term reversal eventually.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. The first leg has completed at 128.94. The second leg might be finished at 133.47 or it might extend. But after all, we’d expect another decline through 128.94 to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completing the correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.29; (P) 132.10; (R1) 132.60; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Correction from 133.44 could extend lower. But downside downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.93; (P) 143.75; (R1) 144.34; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline could be seen as long as 146.12 resistance holds. Break of 140.75 will resume the fall from 148.38. However, break of 146.12 resistance will indicate that correction from 148.38 has completed. Bias will be back on the upside for retesting 148.38.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, 148.38 could be a medium term top already. Fall from there is probably correcting whole up trend from 114.42 (2020 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 137.37), or further to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.76; (P) 128.87; (R1) 129.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for 127.91 support. Break there will target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 129.97 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further fall will remain in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.47; (P) 120.61; (R1) 120.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 119.24 is in progress for retesting 121.46 resistance first. Break will resume larger rally from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next. On the downside, below 120.41 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But overall near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 119.11 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.14; (P) 162.99; (R1) 163.68; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 163.86 will target 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 175.41. On the downside, below 160.57 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 154.40 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Current development suggests that the first leg has completed. The range of consolidation should be seen between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.86; (P) 135.35; (R1) 136.18; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 137.50 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, further rally is expected with 133.70 minor support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.05; (P) 158.40; (R1) 159.18; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. For now, further rally is in favor as long as 156.85 support holds. Above 159.75 will extend the rise from 163.06 projection level. Nevertheless, break of 156.85 will turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 156.23) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation below 129.96 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidations. Still further rally is expected with 127.48 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, above 129.96 will resume the up trend from 121.63 to 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. However, firm break of 127.48 will turn bias to the downside, for deeper decline to 125.07 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 will pave the way to 137.49 resistance next.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.76; (P) 163.65; (R1) 165.29; More…

EUR/JPY’s fall from 175.41 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. This decline should be a larger scale correction and should target 155.91 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 167.93 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, break of 164.29 resistance turned support indicates that fall from 175.41 medium term top is at least correcting the rise from 124.73, with risk of bearish trend reversal. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 175.41 at 155.91. This will now remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 169.17) holds, even in case of strong rebound.