Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.47; (P) 144.61; (R1) 146.01; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. Strong support from 55 day EMA (now at 143.53), and rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness. Break of 148.38 will resume larger rise to 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underlying, and target 137.32 support.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.42; (P) 125.72; (R1) 126.15; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 127.07 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is still expected as long as 124.44 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 will confirm short term topping and turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 121.54) holds. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 115.86 resumed last week and reached as high as 121.35. Initial bias stays on the upside this week with focus on 100% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 121.16. Sustained break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 123.78. On the downside, below 120.33 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 126.00). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is the preferred case.

EUR/JPY edged higher again last week to 159.47 but retreated to 156.85. With subsequent recovery, initial bias is neutral this week first. Risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 159.47 short term top holds. Break of 156.85 will resume the corrective fall to 55 D EMA (now at 155.72) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.38; (P) 117.74; (R1) 118.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. With 118.47 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Corrective recovery from 115.86 should have completed at 120.01. Break of 117.07 will target a retest on 115.86 low. On the upside, above 118.47 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 120.01 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY breached 117.55 support last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 117.55 will suggest completion of rebound from 115.86. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 115.86 first. On the upside, break of 120.01 will resume the rebound through 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.66; (P) 134.20; (R1) 135.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays mildly on the downside. Fall from 139.99 could extend further to 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 138.33 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.47; (P) 115.70; (R1) 116.07; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral first. Corrective recovery from 114.42 might extend. But upside should be limited well below 117.77 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 114.42 should target 161.8% projection of 122.87 to 116.12 from 121.14 at 110.21 next.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. EUR/JPY continues to stay well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.56; (P) 127.97; (R1) 128.39; More….

EUR/JPY breached 127.49 support briefly but recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 127.49 support will resume the fall from 130.14 and target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. Overall, consolidation from 126.63 could still extend. But even in case of another strong recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.70; (P) 125.97; (R1) 126.21; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will suggest completion of rebound from 118.62 after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 118.62 low. However, decisive break of 126.30 will dampen our bearish view and target 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 (2018 high) already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 129.25 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.38; (P) 134.94; (R1) 135.46; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 137.50 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. With 133.70 minor support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.96; (P) 129.59; (R1) 129.97; More….

EUR/JPY’s recovery was limited below 130.29 minor resistance and intraday bias stays neutral. Another fall is mildly in favor with 130.29 intact. Below 128.32 will resume the decline from 133.12 to 127.85 support first. Break will confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, though, above 130.29 will in turn suggest completion of fall from 133.12. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 133.12 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds. However, break of 127.85 will turn focus back to 124.08 key support level.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.41; (P) 125.81; (R1) 126.42; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Corrective pull back from 127.48 should have completed at 125.07,m after hitting 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 125.24. Further rise should be seen to retest 127.48 resistance. On the downside, though, firm break of 125.07 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.58; (P) 126.29; (R1) 126.76; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 125.13 and intraday bias remains neutral first. More corrective trading could be seen and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited well below 128.49 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 125.13 will target 124.61 key support next.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 124.08 key resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 109.03 and below. Meanwhile, rebound from 124.08 will keep medium term bullishness intact for another high above 137.49.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.53; (P) 122.00; (R1) 122.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 127.07 should target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. We’d look for strong support there to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 122.89 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 125.08 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY dropped to 121.31 last week but recovered ahead of 120.78 support. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. We’re still favoring the case that consolidation from 120.78 has completed with three waves to 123.35. Below 121.31 will target retest of 120.78 first. Break will resume fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low. In case of another rise as consolidation from 120.78 extends, upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this is now the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.66; (P) 132.06; (R1) 132.39; More….

EUR/JPY drops sharply today but stays above 130.86 resistance turned support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and another rise is still in favor. Break of 133.12 will target 137.49 high. However, break of 130.86 will argue that whole rise from 124.89 has completed. Deeper fall should then be seen back towards 127.85 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY has defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.96; (P) 116.23; (R1) 116.42; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Upside of recovery should be limited by 117.21 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 115.54 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 100% projection of 121.14 to 116.33 from 119.00 at 114.19.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is possibly resuming. Medium term bearishness is maintained with the cross staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as below falling 55 week EMA. Next downside target will be 109.48 (2016 low). In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 122.87 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.15; (P) 149.54; (R1) 150.23; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 146.12 is still in progress. Further rise could be seen for retesting 151.60 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 146.12 will resume the fall to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 151.60 at 143.84.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.96; (P) 124.58; (R1) 125.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. Break will pave the way to 100% projection at 129.32. On the downside, break of 123.01 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.32) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.