EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.07; (P) 117.63; (R1) 118.24; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 114.42 is in progress. As noted before, whole decline from 122.87 might be completed. Further rise would be seen to 121.14 resistance next. On the downside, below 117.02 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 115.32 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, another rise will remain in favor even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. EUR/JPY continues to stay well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.22; (P) 119.51; (R1) 119.78; More….

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook as we’re still viewing price actions from 121.46 as consolidation. Downside should be contained by 119.11 support. On the upside break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next. However, firm break of 119.11 will argue that rise from 115.86 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 117.07 support.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.38). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term trend has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.95; (P) 128.36; (R1) 128.80; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral as it recovered after hitting 127.91 support. On the downside, break of 127.91 will resume the fall from 134.11 and target 127.07 resistance turned support. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication and pave the way to 121.91 fibonacci level. On the upside, however, break of 129.65 will turn bias back to the upside for 130.73 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.66; (P) 124.86; (R1) 125.12; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Rebounds from 118.62 is in progress for 55 day EMA (now at 126.2). On the downside, break of 123.78 support is now needed to indicate completion of rebound from 118.62. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.39; (P) 129.85; (R1) 130.37; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 129.11. Further decline remains in favor as long as 130.70 resistance holds. Below 129.11 will target 127.85 support first. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, though, above 130.70 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds. However, break of 127.895 will turn focus back to 124.08 key support level.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.19; (P) 122.19; (R1) 123.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 122.65 is extending. In case of further retreat, downside should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.33).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY recovered strongly last week but failed to break through 132.63 support turned resistance decisively. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 132.63 should confirm completion of correction from 134.11. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 134.11 first. On the downside, below 131.21 minor support will extend the correction through 130.02. But in this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rose to as high as 134.73 last week, and break of 134.11 resistance suggests resumption of larger up trend. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Sustained trading above 134.11 will target 136.53 projection level next. On the downside, though, break of 132.31 minor support will delay the bullish case, and turn intraday bias neutral for some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress and resuming. Next target is 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 136.53, and then 137.49 (2018 high). In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.86; (P) 157.50; (R1) 157.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. Risk will be mildly on the downside as long as 158.64 resistance holds. Break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.80) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rise from 146.12 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 151.60 resistance. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level. On the downside, however, break of 148.83 will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg, back towards 146.12 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, break of 149.76 (2014 high) argues that whole up trend form 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming. Sustained trading above 149.76 will pave the way to 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68, which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.19; (P) 137.29; (R1) 137.97; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, break of 138.38, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 138.44) will suggest that whole correction from 144.26 has completed. Further rally would then be seen back to retest 144.26 high. However, break of 135.63 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 low instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.83; (P) 127.38; (R1) 128.12; More….

A temporary low is in place at 126.63 with today’s recovery. Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral for consolidation. But near term outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 130.20 resistance holds. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 and target 124.89 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.93; (P) 130.82; (R1) 131.30; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 129.34 is in progress. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45 to limit upside and bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, decisive break of 129.34 will confirm resumption of whole fall 137.49 and target 126.61 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 132.45 will target 61.8% retracement at 134.37 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.77; (P) 119.00; (R1) 119.13; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 122.87 should target 100% projection of 122.87 to 119.77 from 121.15 at 118.05 next. On the upside, above 119.55 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 121.15 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also just rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.84 support next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.01; (P) 120.56; (R1) 121.11; More…

EUR/JPY’s rise from 118.23 accelerates to as high as 122.34 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside. As noted before, corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Rise from there should target a test on 123.30/124.08 resistance zone. Break will extend larger rally from 109.20 to next key resistance at 126.09. On the downside, below 121.18 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But pull back should be contained above 120.01 support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.21; (P) 124.76; (R1) 125.10; More…

Intraday bias in EUR?JPY remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 125.80 is still in progress. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. We’re staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.

In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.46; (P) 136.29; (R1) 137.31; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range below 137.50 despite rally attempt. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 133.70 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.53; (P) 132.74; (R1) 132.96; More….

EUR/JPY’s rise is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, below 132.50 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long 130.97 support holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.69; (P) 130.08; (R1) 130.60; More….

EUR/JPY failed to break through 130.65 resistance so far and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 129.56 minor support will extend the consolidation from 130.65 with another fall. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 128.28 support. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 will resume the whole rally from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s breach of 120.68 minor resistance suggests that rebound from 119.24 is resuming. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 121.46 resistance first. Break will resume larger rally from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next. On the downside, below 120.27 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But overall near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 119.11 support holds.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 125.14) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.93), this is the preferred case.