EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.92; (P) 143.67; (R1) 144.79; More….

EUR/JPY’s steep decline today and strong break of 141.36 confirms resumption of the decline from 145.55. The development also solidify the case that whole correction from 148.38 is in its third leg. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 137.37 low, and then 135.40 fibonacci level. For now, risk will stay heavily on the downside as long as 141.36 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.96; (P) 146.33; (R1) 147.10; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 148.38 is extending and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 140.88/144.06 support zone to bring another rally. Break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 133.38 to 145.62 from 137.32 at 149.56, which is close to 149.76 long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 (2014 high). Decisive break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 156.22. This will now remain the favored case as long as 137.32 support holds.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY dropped further to 129.20 last week but formed temporary low there. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Deeper decline is expected as long as 130.70 minor resistance holds. Below 129.20 will target 127.85 support first. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 124.89 at 133.12 and bring retest of this low. On the upside, though, above 130.70 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds. However, break of 127.895 will turn focus back to 124.08 key support level.

In the long term picture, at this point, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Rise from 109.03 is seen as a leg inside the pattern. As long as 124.08 support holds, further rally is in favor in medium to long term through 149.76 high. However, break of 124.08 could extend the fall through 109.03 low instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.90; (P) 120.08; (R1) 120.37; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 119.80 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside should be limited by 121.26 minor resistance to bring another decline. The corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD Break of 119.80 will target a rest on 115.86 low. However, break of 121.26 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 122.87 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.21; (P) 115.48; (R1) 115.91; More…..

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 114.42 continues today but outlook remains unchanged. Intraday bias remains neutral and upside should be limited well below 117.77 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 114.42 should target 161.8% projection of 122.87 to 116.12 from 121.14 at 110.21 next.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. EUR/JPY continues to stay well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.46; (P) 125.98; (R1) 126.67; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. With 126.98 minor resistance intact, deeper fall could still be seen. But considering loss of downside momentum, downside will likely be contained by 124.08/61 key support zone to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 126.98 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 124.08 key resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 109.03 and below. Meanwhile, rebound from 124.08 will keep medium term bullishness intact for another high above 137.49.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.23; (P) 126.59; (R1) 127.14; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 127.07 resistance suggests resumption of whole rise from 114.42. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, however, break of 126.04 support will indicate rejection by 127.07. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside, to extend the consolidation from 127.07 with another leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.33; (P) 132.56; (R1) 132.97; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 134.11 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62. On the downside, below 132.13 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.20; (P) 140.82; (R1) 141.95; More….

Intraday bias sin EUR/JPY remain son the upside for the moment. Consolidation pattern from 144.23 should have completed with three waves to 136.85. Further rally should be seen to retest 144.26 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 139.68 minor support will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 136.85 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high. However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY extended the consolidation from 153.15 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.17; (P) 162.41; (R1) 162.86; More

EUR/JPY’s rally is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 153.15 is in progress for retesting 164.29 high. On the downside, however, below 161.93 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.92; (P) 129.36; (R1) 129.80; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside break of 129.97 minor resistance will affirm the case that rise from 124.89 is still in progress. Retest of 130.86 should then be seen first. Break will target key fibonacci resistance at 132.56. On the downside, though, break of 127.85 will extend the fall from 130.86 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turned support, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) remains in favor to continue. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.56; (P) 135.46; (R1) 135.91; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline continues today and it’s now pressing 134.11 key support turned resistance. Strong support could be seen from current level to complete the pattern from 144.26 high. Break of 135.85 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound. However, sustained break of 134.11 will carry larger bearish implications and target 161.8% projection of 144.26 to 136.85 from 142.31 at 130.32.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.94; (P) 127.67; (R1) 128.11; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 126.87 as fall from 130.14 resumed finally. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 126.63 low first. Break will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, break of 128.38 resistance is now needed to indicate near term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s decline from 127.07 resumed last week by taking out 122.37 support. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. We’d look for strong support there to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 122.89 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 125.08 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY dropped to as low as 133.38 last week, but recovered strongly after drawing support from 134.11 resistance turned support. Initial bias is now on the upside this week. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 138.52) will suggest that whole correction from 144.26 has completed. Further rally would then be seen back to retest 144.26 high. However, break of 135.63 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 low instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

In the long term picture, up trend from 94.11 (2012 low) is seen as in the third leg. Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 month EMA (now at 128.86) holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.26; (P) 122.49; (R1) 122.78; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 122.76 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 121.52 minor support to bring another rise. On the upside, break of 122.65 will extend whole rise from 115.86 to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.06). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.93; (P) 132.31; (R1) 133.07; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again with current recovery. Correction from 133.44 would still extend further. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 133.44 will target 134.11 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. Next target is 61.8% projection of 121.63 to 134.11 from 127.91 at 135.62.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.76; (P) 159.32; (R1) 159.66; More

No change in EUR/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 160.25 resistance will indicate that rise from 153.15 is ready to resume, and turn bias back to the upside for 161.84 first. Nevertheless, break of 158.06 will now suggest that the rise from 153.15 has completed and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.23; (P) 126.59; (R1) 127.14; More….

Focus is now on 127.07 resistance in EUR/JPY with today’s rise. Decisive break there will resume whole rebound from 114.42. Next target is 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, though, break of 125.70 support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation pattern from1 27.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.