EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.16; (P) 132.52; (R1) 132.87; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidative trading below 134.39 high. Near term outlook remains bullish as long as 131.69 holds. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will extend larger up trend to 141.04 resistance next. However, break of 131.69 will be an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level instead.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.63; (P) 124.86; (R1) 125.26; More….

Outlook in EUR/JPY remains unchanged. Corrective rise from 124.09 is expected to be limited by 125.29 resistance to bring another decline. Fall from 126.79 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 127.50. On the downside, break of 124.09 will target 123.65 support and below. However, sustained break of 125.28 will turn focus back to 126.79 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation of completion of the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) yet. In case of an extension, break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. However, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Further decisive break medium term channel resistance will affirm reversal and target 133.12 key resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.91; (P) 147.38; (R1) 147.73; More….

A temporary top is in place at 147.85 in EUR/JPY ahead of 148.38 high. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 145.66 resistance turned support holds. Decisive break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. However, firm break of 145.66 will indicate that corrective pattern from 148.38 has started the third leg. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for 142.53 support first and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.61; (P) 122.94; (R1) 123.23; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 127.07 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will raise the chance that whole rise form 114.42 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 119.25. On the upside, break of 124.31 resistance will argue that the decline has completed and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.19; (P) 128.64; (R1) 129.18; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 127.49 is extending. As long as 130.14 resistance holds, deeper decline is in favor in the cross. Below 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will resume whole fall from 133.12 and target 124.08/89 support zone. On the upside, however, break of 130.14 will resume the rebound from 126.63 towards 133.12 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.94; (P) 129.23; (R1) 129.60; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 128.23 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 134.11 is extending with another falling leg. Further decline is expected as long as 129.76 resistance holds. Below 128.23 will target 127.36, and possibly further to 126.58 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 129.76 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to 131.59 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s up trend resume last week by break through 132.35. Initial bias remains on the upside this week first. Current rise should now target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. On the downside, break of 131.63 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.92; (P) 128.13; (R1) 128.53; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 128.67 long term fibonacci level next. Sustained break there will confirm medium term upside momentum and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. On the downside, break of 127.65 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 121.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.80; (P) 131.20; (R1) 131.55; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in correction from 133.44 and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained above 130.45 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 132.55 minor resistance will bring retest of 133.44 first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42. However, firm break of 130.45 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall back to 127.91 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.05; (P) 135.51; (R1) 136.02; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. outlook stays bullish and further rally is in favor. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, below 133.03 will turn focus to 132.04. Firm break there will indicate medium term reversal.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY defended 127.91 support and then rebounded last week. The development suggests that fall from 130.73 has completed. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 130.73 resistance first. Firm break there will argue that correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, break of 129.03 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.40; (P) 123.19; (R1) 124.53; More…..

EUR/JPY’s rally continues to accelerate and hits as high as 124.43 so far. The strong break of 122.87 resistance suggests larger bullish reversal. Intraday bias remains on the upside for next fibonacci level at 128.67. On the downside, break of 121.84 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 122.87 resistance suggests that whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed at 114.42. Current rally should now target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 118.45) holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.90; (P) 126.28; (R1) 126.53; More….

EUR/JPY lost momentum ahead of 127.07 resistance, as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 127.07 will resume whole rally from 114.42. Next target will be 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 125.13 resistance turned support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation form 127.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.72; (P) 128.36; (R1) 128.70; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 126.80 so far as the fall from 131.79 resumed after brief consolidation. The break of 127.13 support confirms our bearish view. That is corrective rebound from 124.61 has completed with three waves up to 131.97 already. Also, the larger fall from 137.49 could be resuming. Intraday bias is now on the downside for retesting 124.61 first. On the upside, above 127.63 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 128.49 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is still holding above 124.08 key support turned resistance. And the larger rise from 109.03 (2016 low) mildly in favor to resume. Break of 133.47 should send the cross through 137.49 high. However, decisive break of 124.08 will confirm medium term reversal and could then pave the way back to 109.03 low and below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.16; (P) 131.50; (R1) 131.94; More….

EUR/JPY recovered after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA, but stays below 132.25. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained well above 129.57 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 132.35 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.80; (P) 122.26; (R1) 122.51; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 121.79 today. Break of 122.08 support indicates resumption of whole fall from 127.50. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall should target a test on 118.62 low next. On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY turned into sideway consolidation last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Break of 127.36 will resume larger fall to 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. We’d look for some support from there to bring rebound. But sustained break of 126.58 will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 129.09 will extend the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 129.66) and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.13; (P) 132.43; (R1) 132.79; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as corrective trading from 134.39 is still in progress. Outlook stays bullish as long as 131.69 support holds. Above 133.02 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will extend larger up trend to 141.04 resistance next. However, break of 131.69 will be an early sigh of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level instead.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.23; (P) 132.65; (R1) 132.96; More….

EUR/JPY continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 132.10 minor support intact, further rise could be seen. Nonetheless, upside will now likely be limited by 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 and below. On the downside, below 132.10 minor support will suggests that the rebound from 128.94 might have completed. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 128.94 low.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.86; (P) 149.28; (R1) 149.72; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 148.58 temporary low will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.