Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.80; (P) 122.26; (R1) 122.51; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 121.79 today. Break of 122.08 support indicates resumption of whole fall from 127.50. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall should target a test on 118.62 low next. On the upside, break of 123.73 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 127.48 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 126.03 support holds. Break of 127.48 will resume larger rise from 114.42. Next target is 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 126.03 will suggest short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

Despite recovering to 129.62, EUR/JPY’s subsequent sharp fall retains near term bearishness. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 127.36 support first. Break there will resume larger pattern from 134.11 and target 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. On the upside, above 129.62 will turn bias back to the upside to bring another rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Long term outlook will remain neutral until breakout from the range of 109.03/137.49.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.98; (P) 155.83; (R1) 156.32; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside as fall from 157.99 short term top is in progress for 154.03 support or below. But overall outlook will stay bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds. Larger rally is still expected to resume through 157.99 after the correction completes. On the upside, above 156.66 minor resistance will bring retest of 157.99 high first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.18; (P) 129.76; (R1) 130.09; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 131.97 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. As noted before, the rebound from 124.61 should have completed with three waves up to 131.97 already. Deeper fall should be seen to 127.13 support first. Break will confirm this bearish case and target 124.61 low. On the upside, above 130.25 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 131.97 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there has completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.04; (P) 127.55; (R1) 128.09; More….

EUR/JPY’s strong rebound and breach of 128.50 minor resistance argues that pull back from 130.33 is completed at 126.63. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 130.33 first. Break will resume the rebound from 124.61 and target 133.47 key resistance next. On the downside, though, below 126.63 will turn focus back to 124.61 low.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.15; (P) 141.04; (R1) 141.65; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumes after brief retreat and intraday bias stays on the upside. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 144.23 should have completed with three waves to 136.85. Further rally should be seen to retest 144.26 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. Next target is 100% projection of 132.63 to 144.34 from 136.85 at 148.45. On the downside, below 140.41 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Firm break of 139.78 will target 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.94; (P) 155.85; (R1) 158.48; More..

EUR/JPY’s fall from 164.29 extended to as low as 153.15 and breached 154.32 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 154.64). There is no clear sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained trading below 154.32 will target 61.8% retracement at 148.69 next. On the upside, above 156.42 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in 55 D EMA indicates that a medium term top was e formed at 164.29 already. Price actions from there are tentatively seen as a correction only. There is no clear sign that the up trend from 144.42 (2020 low) has completed yet. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 152.12) holds, another rally through 164.29 is still in favor as a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.56; (P) 128.18; (R1) 129.09; More….

EUR/JPY’s recovery from 126.63 is still in progress but lacks firm upside momentum. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 130.33 resistance will confirm resumption of rise from 124.61. That will also revive the case of near term reversal and turn bias to the upside for 133.47 key resistance. On the downside, break of 126.63 will bring retest of 124.61 low instead.

In the bigger picture, despite rebounding strongly ahead of 124.08 resistance turned support, there was no clear follow through buying. Note again that there is bearish divergence in daily MACD. Firm break of 124.08 will confirm trend reversal. That is, whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already. In that case, deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 and below. Nonetheless, decisive break of 133.47 key resistance will likely extend the rise from 109.03 through 137.49 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.61; (P) 122.94; (R1) 123.23; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 127.07 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will raise the chance that whole rise form 114.42 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 119.25. On the upside, break of 124.31 resistance will argue that the decline has completed and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY rose further to as high as 139.99 last week, but formed a temporary top there and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained above 134.33 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend to 144.06 projection level next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, focus stays on 137.49 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there will raise the chance that whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming through 149.76 resistance. This will be a slightly favored case for now, as long as 124.37 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.02; (P) 156.57; (R1) 157.01; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 158.55 will resume the rebound from 153.15 through 55 D EMA (now at 158.82). On the downside, break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.46; (P) 158.83; (R1) 159.59; More…

EUR/JPY recovered quickly after dipping to 158.06. Some support is seen from 158.55 resistance turned support and rising channel for now. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, sustained break of 158.55 will argue that rebound from 153.15 has completed at 161.84 already. Fall from there is then seen as the third leg of the pattern from 164.29 high. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 155.06 support next. On the upside, above 160.25 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 161.84.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.00; (P) 121.49; (R1) 122.17; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 121.96 suggests resumption of the recovery from 119.31. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 124.43 high next. On the downside, break of 120.27 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31. Break will resume the decline from 124.43 to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.90) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.80; (P) 143.35; (R1) 143.64; More….

A temporary top should be made at 144.15 and intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first. For now, the favored case is that whole corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37. Break of 144.15 will extend the rebound from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance next. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 141.99) will argue that the correction from 148.38 is still in progress and target 137.37 low again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.03) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.08; (P) 137.65; (R1) 138.80; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as correction from 139.99 is extending. Downside should be contained by 134.33 support to bring up trend resumption. On the upside, break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend to 144.06 projection level next. However, sustained break of 134.33 will dampen this bullish case and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.68; (P) 147.12; (R1) 147.84; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed by breaking through 147.85 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Decisive break of 148.38 will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 146.39 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.20; (P) 145.58; (R1) 146.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the upside with break of 145.66 resistance. Rise from 137.37 is resuming and further rally should be seen back to retest 148.38 high. Meanwhile, break of 144.99 minor support will mix up the outlook again and turn intraday bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.78) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, sustained break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Decisive break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.27; (P) 158.96; (R1) 159.37; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 157.19 minor support holds. Firm break of 100% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 160.46 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 163.79. However, break of 157.19 support will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.00; (P) 136.85; (R1) 137.53; More….

EUR/JPY’s corrective fall from 139.99 resumes today, by powering through 134.76 support, as well as 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement at 130.33. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 138.33 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.