Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.41; (P) 118.60; (R1) 118.92; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 115.86 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48 next. On the downside, break of 117.73 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 115.86 instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 120.78 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.86; (P) 132.12; (R1) 132.59; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as it’s still holding on to 131.69 support. Still, it’s getting more likely that 134.39 is a medium term top and a downside breakout could be seen soon. Focus is on 131.69 support. Decisive break there will be an early sign of medium term reversal and will target 127.55 key support level. On the upside, firm break of 134.39 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more corrective trading would be seen.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversal and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.45; (P) 119.88; (R1) 120.20; More…

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 119.32/121.32. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, below 119.32 will extend the corrective fall from 124.08. In that case, we’d expect strong support from 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 121.32 minor resistance should revive the case that such correction is completed. And, intraday bias would then be turned back to the upside for 123.30/124.08 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.58; (P) 133.85; (R1) 134.00; More….

EUR/JPY continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further rise is still expected to 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28. Sustained break there will extend the up trend from 114.42 to 137.49 long term resistance next. On the downside, break of 132.51 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 130.65 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.65; (P) 129.96; (R1) 130.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 129.60 will resume the corrective decline from 134.11. We’d look for strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound back to 132.68 resistance first. However, firm break of 129.34 will bring deeper fall back to 127.07 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.92; (P) 163.22; (R1) 163.55; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral gain with current retreat. On the upside, above 163.70 will resume the rise from 153.15 to 164.29 high. However, considering loss of momentum as seen in 4H MACD, break of 162.55 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.68; (P) 134.03; (R1) 134.66; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. More consolidations could be seen. But outlook remain bullish as long as 131.69 resistance turned support holds. Sustained break of 134.20 fibonacci level will target 141.04 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 109.03 is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. On the downside, break of 127.55 support is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.05; (P) 121.41; (R1) 121.73; More…

EUR/JPY dips mildly but stays in range of 120.54/124.08 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Price actions from 124.08 are seen as a corrective move. Below 120.54 will bring deeper pull back. But downside should be contained by 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 124.08 will extend the larger rally from 109.20 to 126.09 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.51; (P) 144.20; (R1) 144.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 142.13 support holds. Corrective fall from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Break of 145.55 will resume the rise from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance and then 148.38 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.42) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 168.38; (P) 168.86; (R1) 169.76; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current strong rebound. On the upside break of 170.12 resistance will argue that pull back from 170.87 has completed at167.52, after drawing support from 55 D EMA. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 170.87 and then 171.58 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 159.83) holds, price actions from 171.58 medium term top are seen as as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. That is, larger up trend remains in favor to continue as a later stage. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.69; (P) 120.87; (R1) 121.17; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 121.46 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 191.11 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 161.8% projection of 115.86 to 120.01 from 117.07 at 123.78 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.82). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.49; (P) 156.20; (R1) 157.33; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 156.92 is extending. Further rally would remain in favor as long as 154.30 minor support holds. Above 156.92 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. On the downside, break of 154.03 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.50; (P) 122.69; (R1) 122.86; More….

Break of 122.76 temporary top suggests rally resumption in EUR/JPY. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Rise from 115.86 should target medium term channel resistance (now at 123.97). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, break of 122.18 minor support will indicate short term top and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.93; (P) 130.27; (R1) 130.64; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as range trading continues below 130.65. On the downside, break of 129.56 minor support will extend the consolidation from 130.65 with another fall. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 128.28 support. But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support. On the upside, decisive break of 130.65 will resume the whole rally from 114.42, for 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.38; (P) 117.90; (R1) 118.44; More…

Downside momentum in EUR/JPY is a bit unconvincing with 4 hour MACD staying above signal line. But with 118.78 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. Current development suggests that medium term rise from 109.20 has completed at 124.08 already. Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. On the upside, above 118.78 will indicate short term bottoming and bring rebound back to 119.31/120.43 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.48; (P) 120.71; (R1) 120.03; More….

EUR/JPY surges to as high as 121.48 so far and the development suggests that larger rise from 115.86 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 121.46 resistance will confirm and target 123.35 resistance next. On the downside, though, below 120.76 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 115.86 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective rise only. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen from falling channel resistance (now at 124.83) to limit upside. Break of 117.07 support will be an early sign of resumption of down trend from 137.49 through 115.86 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.01; (P) 120.56; (R1) 121.11; More…

EUR/JPY’s rise from 118.23 accelerates to as high as 122.34 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside. As noted before, corrective fall from 124.08 has completed at 118.23 after defending 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Rise from there should target a test on 123.30/124.08 resistance zone. Break will extend larger rally from 109.20 to next key resistance at 126.09. On the downside, below 121.18 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But pull back should be contained above 120.01 support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. Strong rebound from 118.45 resistance turned support suggests that it’s still in progress. Break of 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance there to limit upside. However, sustained break there will be a strong sign of medium term momentum and could target 141.04 resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.78; (P) 138.42; (R1) 138.86; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside at this point. An important top might be formed at 144.26 after rejection by 144.06 long term fibonacci level. Deeper fall would be seen to 132.63 support for confirmation. On the upside, above 139.78 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.45; (P) 122.63; (R1) 122.79; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 122.08 and intraday bias remains neutral. More sideway trading could be seen. But upside should be limited by 124.09 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, firm break of 122.08 will resume the fall from 127.50 and target 118.62 low next. Nevertheless, firm break of 124.09 will at least bring stronger rebound back to 125.23 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.36; (P) 129.79; (R1) 130.25; More….

EUR/JPY lost some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 131.23 minor resistance intact, further fall is still expected. Decline from 133.12 should target 127.85 support first. Break there will pave the way to retest 124.89. On the upside, though, above 131.23 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.