Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.45; (P) 119.88; (R1) 120.13; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline from 122.87 is in progress and hits as low as 118.86 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 100% projection of 122.87 to 119.77 from 121.15 at 118.05 next. On the upside, above 119.55 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 121.15 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Thus, outlook remains bearish. Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise, which might have completed. Firm break of 115.86 will resume the down trend to 114.84 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.55; (P) 131.85; (R1) 132.32; More….

At this point, EUR/JPY is still struggling to take out 131.65 key support decisively. Intraday bias stays neutral first. As noted before. Sustained break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level. Meanwhile, in case of another rise, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.28; (P) 157.33; (R1) 158.02; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Corrective fall from 159.75 could extend lower as long as 158.64 resistance holds. Break of 156.57, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.72) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper fall would be seen back towards 151.39 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.94; (P) 136.33; (R1) 136.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Corrective pattern from 139.99 could still extend. On the downside, break of 132.63 will target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. On the upside, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.90; (P) 120.08; (R1) 120.37; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 119.80 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside should be limited by 121.26 minor resistance to bring another decline. The corrective rise from 115.86 should be completed at 122.87, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD Break of 119.80 will target a rest on 115.86 low. However, break of 121.26 will dampen this bearish view and turn focus back to 122.87 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.25; (P) 130.03; (R1) 130.47; More…

EUR/JPY’s sharp fall and break of 129.83 minor support confirms short term topping at 131.39 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 127.95 to contain downside and bring rebound. But break of 131.39 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more consolidative trading is expected with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, firm break of 127.5 will bring deeper decline to 125.80 resistance turned support before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.90; (P) 154.79; (R1) 155.39; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 157.99 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 154.03 support will argue that it’s at least correcting the whole rise from 139.05. Deeper fall would be seen to 55 D EMA (now at 152.28). On the upside, above 155.66 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.76; (P) 128.44; (R1) 128.91; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment and near term outlook stays cautiously bearish. On the downside, break of 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of another strong recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 173.66; (P) 174.09; (R1) 174.87; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the upside for the moment. Decisive break of 100% projection of 164.01 to 170.87 from 167.52 at 174.38 will target 138.2% projection at 177.00. On the downside, below 173.07 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 170.87 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. For now outlook will stay bullish as long as 167.52 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.82; (P) 129.23; (R1) 129.57; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside as rebound from 128.04 would target retesting 131.39 high. Break there is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, we’d likely see more consolidation first. On the downside, below 128.91 minor support will turn bias to the downside for another fall. At this point, we’d still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 122.39 to 131.39 at 127.95 to bring rebound. But sustained break of 127.95 will bring deeper decline to 125.80 cluster support (61.8% retracement at 125.82) before completing the correction.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/JPY recovered last week but upside was limited below 124.31 minor resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further fall remains in favor. On the downside, , sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 will extend the fall from 127.07. Next target is 61.8% retracement at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. However, on the upside, firm break of 124.31 will argue that the pull back from 127.07 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.62; (P) 124.18; (R1) 124.49; More….

With 123.02 minor support intact, rebound from 122.37 should still extend higher. The corrective from 127.07 might have completed at 122.37, as supported by 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Further rise should be seen back to retest 127.07 high. On the downside, though, break of 123.02 support will flip bias to the downside to extend the fall from 127.07.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.90; (P) 122.19; (R1) 122.71; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 122.65 resistance suggests resumption of whole rise form 115.86. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should be seen to medium term channel resistance (now at 124.06). Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication. On the downside, break of 122.11 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring retreat. But outlook will stay mildly bullish cas long as 120.17 support holds.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.17; (P) 125.52; (R1) 125.77; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. At this point, another rally cannot be ruled out yet. But we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 55 day EMA (now at 126.11) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 124.36 support will argue that the rebound from 118.62 has completed and turn bias to the downside. Nevertheless, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will pave the way back to 129.25 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY spiraled higher to 121.14 last week but failed to take out 121.39 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. On the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. This falling leg would target 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA (now at 125.11), this is the preferred case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.15; (P) 126.41; (R1) 126.63; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 127.50 temporary top is extending. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 124.23/125.95 support zone to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 127.50 will resume the rally from 118.62 towards 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 118.62 at 130.28 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case and turn focus back to 118.62 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.77; (P) 125.14; (R1) 125.65; More….

EUR/JPY continues lose upside moment after hitting 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. But there is no sign of topping yet. Firm break of 125.49 will pave the way to 100% projection at 129.32. However, break of 123.01 support will now confirm short term topping. In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 121.81) to correct the whole rise from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.32) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.31; (P) 118.32; (R1) 119.23; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range trading and intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 115.86 could extend with another rise. On the upside, break of 121.39 will target 122.87 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 115.86 will indicate larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend should resume sooner or later to 114.84 support next. However, sustained break of 122.87 will complete a double bottom (115.86, 116.12) which could indicate medium term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.54; (P) 118.01; (R1) 118.56; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, firm break of 117.55 will suggest completion of rebound from 115.86. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 115.86 first. On the upside, break of 120.01 will resume the rebound through 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.28; (P) 134.91; (R1) 136.04; More….

Despite dipping to as low as 133.03, EUR/JPY quickly recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. With 132.04 support intact, outlook stays bullish and further rally is in favor. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, below 133.03 will turn focus to 132.04. Firm break there will indicate medium term reversal.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.