EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.89; (P) 135.53; (R1) 136.26; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 137.52 minor resistance argues that pull back from 139.99 has completed at 134.76 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 139.99 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. In the downside, in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.41; (P) 127.93; (R1) 128.35; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 133.12 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 124.89 support next. On the upside, above 128.44 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 130.20 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 133.12. Otherwise, near term outlook will now be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.94; (P) 131.15; (R1) 131.47; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 131.59 temporary top. But further rally is expected as long as 130.01 support holds. Whole consolidation from 134.11 could have completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Break of 131.59 will target a test on 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 130.01 minor support will turn bias bias to the downside for retesting 127.36 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.86; (P) 128.28; (R1) 128.63; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 134.11 should continue to 127.07 resistance turned support. That is close to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 126.58. On the upside, above 128.93 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.54 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up the case for retesting 114.42.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY was rejected by falling 4 hour 55 EMA last week and weakened again. Yet, downside was contained by 129.60 support. Initial bias remains neutral first. Corrective fall from 134.11 could extend lower. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 131.07 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound back to 132.68 resistance first. However, firm break of 129.34 will bring deeper fall back to 127.07 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.49; (P) 149.96; (R1) 150.28; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 148.58 will extend the corrective pattern from 151.60 with another falling leg. Deeper fall would be seen to 146.12 support and possibly below. On the upside, however, above 151.05 will target 151.60 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 153.64 projection level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.98; (P) 129.97; (R1) 130.51; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 129.56 minor support suggests temporary toping at 130.86. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 38.2% retracement of 124.89 to 130.86 at 128.57 holds, another rise is mildly in favor. Above 130.86 will target resistance zone between 131.97 and 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56. Break will indicate larger bullish reversal. However, firm break of 128.57 will argue that rebound from 124.89 has completed, and it’s the third leg of consolidation pattern from 124.61. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 124.61 low.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY once again rebounded ahead of 124.08 key resistance turned support. It’s also held above long term trend line from 109.03 (2016 low). The development argues that such rise from 109.03 might now be over yet. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. But, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.35; (P) 130.68; (R1) 130.91; More….

Intraday bias n EUR/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 131.54 minor resistance will suggest that pull back from 133.44 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 133.44 first. However, firm break of 130.45 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall back to 127.91 key support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress and the strong support support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Further rise would be seen to retest 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will resume the whole long term rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 109.03 to 137.49 from 114.42 at 142.88. This will now remain the favored case as long as 127.91 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.49; (P) 117.84; (R1) 118.15;  More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral with focus on 117.55 minor support. Firm break there will suggest completion of rebound from 115.86. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 115.86 first. On the upside, break of 120.01 will resume the rebound through 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation above 156.57 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Risk stays on the downside with 158.64 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 156.57 support, and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.91) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper decline would be seen back towards 151.39 support. Nevertheless, above 158.64 would bring retest of 159.75 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.33; (P) 130.74; (R1) 131.05; More….

Sharp fall in EUR/JPY dragged 4 hour MACD below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 129.22 could extend. But even in case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance below 133.47 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 129.99 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 128.94. Break will resume the corrective fall from 137.49 and target 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while, deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.34; (P) 130.29; (R1) 131.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 133.12 would target 127.85 support first. Prior rise fro 124.89 could have completed at 133.12 already. Break of 127.85 will pave the way to retest 124.89. On the upside, though, above 131.23 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 133.12 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY could have defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.34; (P) 136.07; (R1) 137.48; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 139.99 could still extend lower. On the downside, break of 132.63 will resume the fall and target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. On the upside, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.38; (P) 125.76; (R1) 126.11; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and consolidation from 127.07 might extend. Another rise remains in favor as long as 124.44 support holds. Firm break of 127.07 will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 124.44 should, at least, start the correction to such rise from 114.42, and turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 119.31 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.11; (P) 119.50; (R1) 120.14; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 114.42 is seen as at least correcting the fall from 122.87. Further rally should be seen to 121.14 resistance next. Sustained break there will target 122.87 key resistance. On the downside, below 118.85 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rise will remain in favor as long as 117.11 support holds.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/JPY is staying well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.64; (P) 121.81; (R1) 122.09; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point and outlook is unchanged. We’re favoring the case that consolidation from 120.78 has completed with three waves to 123.35. Below 121.31 will target retest of 120.78 first. Break will resume fall from 127.50 to 118.62 low. In case of another rise as consolidation from 120.78 extends, upside should be limited by 123.73 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress with the cross staying inside long term falling channel. Break of 118.62 will extend the fall to 109.48 (2016 low). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.11; (P) 120.27; (R1) 120.46; More….

EUR/JPY is still staying in consolidation from 121.46 and intraday bias remains neutral first. More sideway trading could be seen. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 119.11 support. On the upside break of 121.46 will resume the rise from 115.86 to 123.35 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.38). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term trend has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.84; (P) 132.18; (R1) 132.37; More….

As long as 130.97 support holds, outlook in EUR/JPY remains bullish. Current up trend from 114.42 should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 127.07 from 121.63 at 134.28 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.61; (P) 138.36; (R1) 139.82; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current up trend should target 144.06 projection level next. On the downside, below 137.82 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But downside of retreat should be contained above 134.33 support to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.66; (P) 141.26; (R1) 141.69; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.81) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.