Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.82; (P) 121.75; (R1) 124.59; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for some consolidations first. But near term outlook remains bearish with 123.87 resistance intact. On the downside, below 121.28 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 118.62 first. Break will extend the larger down trend to next projection level at 112.28. Nevertheless, on the upside, touching of 123.87 will indicate short term bottoming and bring lengthier consolidation before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 124.08 key support suggests that medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is seen as a medium term fall, resuming the decline from 149.76 (2014 high). Such decline should break through 109.03 low next. This will remain the preferred case as long as 124.61 support turned resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.64; (P) 121.92; (R1) 122.27; More….

EUR/JPY recovered mildly after hitting 121.58 and intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 123.73 resistance. Fall from 127.50 is still in progress. Break of 121.58 will resume the decline for a test on 118.62 low next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 118.62 is merely a correction and has completed at 127.50. EUR/JPY is staying in long term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break of 118.62 will confirm resumption of this medium term fall and target 109.20 low. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 125.23 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.23; (P) 159.08; (R1) 159.61; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral again as it retreated quickly after hitting 159.90. For now, further rise is in favor as long as 157.67 support holds. Above 159.90 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection level. However, firm break of 157.67 will turn bias back to the downside 154.32 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. On the downside, break of 154.32 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.00; (P) 126.31; (R1) 126.70; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 127.01 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 127.07 will resume whole rebound from 114.42. Next target is 128.67 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, though, break of 125.70 support will turn bias to the downside, to extend the consolidation pattern from1 27.07 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.22; (P) 131.71; (R1) 132.16; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 132.11. Some consolidations could be seen first. But downside should be contained well above 128.23 support to bring another rally. As noted before, corrective pattern from 134.11 should have completed three waves down to 127.36. Above 132.11 will bring retest of 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 134.11 are currently seen as a consolidation pattern only. As long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.71; (P) 123.90; (R1) 124.15; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in range of 123.01/125.08 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 125.08 will target a retest on 127.07 high. On the downside, below 123.01 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole corrective fall from 127.07.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.49; (P) 117.84; (R1) 118.15;  More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral with focus on 117.55 minor support. Firm break there will suggest completion of rebound from 115.86. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for retesting 115.86 first. On the upside, break of 120.01 will resume the rebound through 61.8% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 120.48.

In the bigger picture, as long as 120.78 support turned resistance holds, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Break of 115.86 will target 109.48 (2016 low) and below. However, sustained break of 120.78 will be the first indication of medium term reversal. Further rise would then be seen to 127.50 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.40; (P) 123.19; (R1) 124.53; More…..

EUR/JPY’s rally continues to accelerate and hits as high as 124.43 so far. The strong break of 122.87 resistance suggests larger bullish reversal. Intraday bias remains on the upside for next fibonacci level at 128.67. On the downside, break of 121.84 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 122.87 resistance suggests that whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed at 114.42. Current rally should now target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 118.45) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.38; (P) 129.69; (R1) 129.97; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Rebound from 127.36 could have completed at 131.59 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to 127.36 first. Break there will extend the corrective pattern from 134.11 to 126.58 fibonacci level. On the upside, though, break of 131.59 will resume the rebound to 133.44/134.11 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.87; (P) 133.10; (R1) 133.29; More….

With 132.03 minor support intact, EUR/JPY’s recovery from 128.94 could extend higher. But after all, it’s seen as a corrective move. Therefore, we expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 to limit upside. Break of 132.03 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 128.94 low. However, sustained break of 134.22 will turn focus back to 137.49 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.16; (P) 124.55; (R1) 124.75; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 125.58 is extending. Further rise is still mildly in favor as long as 123.01 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 125.58 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 129.32. However, break of 123.01 support will now confirm short term topping. In this case, deeper fall would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 122.11) to correct the whole rise from 114.42.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.81) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.46; (P) 136.29; (R1) 137.31; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range below 137.50 despite rally attempt. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 133.70 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.87; (P) 158.43; (R1) 158.82; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral first with current retreat. But rise will stay on the upside as long as 155.06 support holds. On the upside, above 158.97 will resume the rebound from 153.15 to 100% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 160.46.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.91; (P) 131.60; (R1) 132.17; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. In case of another rise, we’ll stay cautious on strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 137.49 to 129.34 at 132.45 to finish the corrective rise from 129.34. Below 130.95 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 129.34. Break of 129.34 will resume the whole decline from 137.49 to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level. Nonetheless, sustained break of 132.45 will target 61.8% retracement at 134.37 first, before resuming the fall from 137.49.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper fall should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 first. On the upside, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm medium term rise resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.47; (P) 150.92; (R1) 151.81; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the upside with break of 151.05 resistance. Firm break of 151.60 hill will resume larger up trend and target 153.64 projection level. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 148.58 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 139.05 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY recovered to 126.78 last week but dropped sharply since then. Break of 124.27 support firstly indicates resumption of fall from 127.50. Secondly it argues that rebound from 118.62 might be completed. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 118.62 to 127.50 at 122.01. On the upside, above 125.08 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 118.62 might have completed earlier than expected at 127.50. EUR/JPY is held well inside medium term falling channel, and below 55 week EMA (now at 127.86). That is, the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will extend the rebound from 118.62 to 133.12 key resistance instead.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.03 low. On the upside, break of 133.12 resistance bring retest of 149.76 (2014 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.82; (P) 133.08; (R1) 133.35; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 131.16/134.48 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 131.16 support holds. Decisive break of 134.48 will resume medium term rise from 114.84 and target 141.04 resistance next. However, sustained break of 131.16 support will now indicate near term trend reversal and turn outlook bearish for 127.55 key support.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will suggest medium term topping and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

EUR/JPY struggled in tight range last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 131.21 support will likely extend the correction from 134.11 through 130.02. But in this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 132.68 will bring retest of 134.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg in progress for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY dropped to as low as 118.26 last week and break of 118.62 low indicate resumption of down trend from 137.49. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Next near term target is 100% projection of 123.35 to 120.05 from 121.37 at 118.07 and then 161.8% projection at 116.03. On the upside, above 119.25 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited by 120.05 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 127.50 resistance is needed to be the confirm medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. Break of 118.62 will extend this falling leg through 109.48 (2016 low). With EUR/JPY staying below 55 month EMA, this will remain the preferred case.

EUR/JPY’s rise from 153.15 resumed by breaking 161.84 resistance last week. Initial bias remains on the upside for retesting 164.29 high next. On the downside, however, below 160.90 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 only. As long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is expected to resume through 164.29 at a later stage. Next target would be 169.96 (2008 high).

In the long term picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds.