EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 133.38 resumed last week and matched 100% projection of 133.38 to 138.38 from 135.50 at 140.50 already. Further rise in favor this week as long as 138.34 minor support holds. Firm break of 140.50 will target 144.26 high next. On the downside, break of 138.24 will turn bias back to the downside for 135.50 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

In the long term picture, up trend from 94.11 (2012 low) is seen as in the third leg. Further rally would be seen to 149.76 resistance (2014 high) and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 month EMA (now at 129.33) holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.20; (P) 135.72; (R1) 136.45; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and corrective pattern from 139.99 could still extend lower. On the downside, break of 132.63 will resume the fall and target 61.8% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 130.33. On the upside, break of 138.33 will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 139.99 high next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.50; (P) 132.80; (R1) 133.24; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 113.12 temporary top. Another fall could be seen. But in that case, as long as 130.86 resistance turned support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 133.12 will target 100% projection of 124.89 to 130.86 from 127.85 at 133.82 first. Break will target 137.49 high. However, firm break of 130.86 will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 127.85 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY has defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.84; (P) 155.38; (R1) 156.45; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current up trend should target 100% projection of 139.05 to 151.60 from 146.12 at 158.67. On the downside, break of 154.03 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 148.38 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.55; (P) 123.88; (R1) 124.41; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first and further rise is expected. On the upside, firm break of 124.43 will resume the rise from 114.42 to 61.8% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 125.49. On the downside, however, break of 121.96 will turn bias to the downside for 119.31 support instead.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 120.80) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.21; (P) 125.71; (R1) 126.48; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally should target 100% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 129.32. On the downside, break of 124.31 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 121.81) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.30; (P) 157.84; (R1) 158.69; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is back on the downside with break of 156.85 support. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.54) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper fall would be seen back towards 151.39 support. On the upside, break of 159.75 will resume larger up trend to 163.06 projection target.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.71; (P) 122.30; (R1) 122.69; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 127.07 should now target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 119.25, which is close to 119.31 key support. We’d look for strong support there to contain downside to bring rebound. Though, break of 122.89 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming first. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.27; (P) 123.04; (R1) 123.92; More…

EUR/JPY is staying in range below 124.08 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation could extend but overall, further rally is in favor as long as 120.90 support holds. Above 124.08 will target 126.09 key resistance next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD, we’d be cautious on topping around 126.09. Meanwhile, break of 120.90 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 days EMA (now at 119.81).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as correcting whole down trend from 149.76 to 109.20. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.32; (P) 126.76; (R1) 127.01; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral as it retreated after failing to break through 127.48 resistance. On the upside, decisive break of 127.48 will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 126.26 minor support will delay the bullish case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 125.07 to extend the consolidation from 127.48 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.05; (P) 121.37; (R1) 121.56; More….

EUR/JPY’s consolidation from 122.65 could extend further. But downside of retreat should be contained above 119.99 support to bring another rally. Prior support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness. On the upside, break of 122.65 will target 123.35 resistance first. Break will target key channel resistance (now at 124.49).

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is still staying in the falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). Rise from 115.86 is seen as a corrective rise for the moment. Strong resistance could be seen at falling channel resistance (now at 124.72) to limit upside. However, sustained break of the channel resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 127.50 key resistance next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.58; (P) 126.86; (R1) 127.06; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation pattern from 127.48 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 125.07 support to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 127.48 will resume larger rise from 114.42, to 128.67 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.91; (P) 163.28; (R1) 163.84; More….

Further rise is still mildly in favor with 162.42 minor support intact. retest of 164.29 should be seen next. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 162.42 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 164.29 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.30; (P) 129.65; (R1) 129.98; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside at this point. Correction from 130.65 short term top could extend lower towards 55 day EMA (now at 127.93). But downside should be contained above 127.48 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside for more corrective moves as long as 130.65 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.48; (P) 157.89; (R1) 158.58; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. On the upside, firm break of 158.51 will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 159.75, to 163.06 projection target. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.68) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper fall would be seen back towards 151.39 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.89; (P) 117.13; (R1) 117.54; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with today’s recovery. On the downside, decisive break of 115.86/116.12 support zone will resume larger down trend. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 122.78 to 116.12 from 121.14 at 114.39. On the upside, though, break of 118.87 minor resistance will argue that consolidation from 115.86 is extending with another rising leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 121.14 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as falling 55 week EMA. As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend form 137.49 should extend to 109.48 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 122.87 will indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.99; (P) 131.55; (R1) 131.85; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 133.47 extends to as low as 130.79 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 128.94 low first. Break there will resume whole fall from 137.49 and target 126.61 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 131.66 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited well below 133.47 resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. The first leg has completed at 128.94. The second leg might be finished at 133.47 or it might extend. But after all, we’d expect another decline through 128.94 to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completing the correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 118.68; (P) 119.04; (R1) 119.59; More…..

EUR/JPY’s rise from 114.42 is still in progress and it should at least be correcting the fall from 122.87. Further rise should be seen to 121.14 resistance first. On the downside, though, break of 117.11 support will suggest completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/JPY is staying well inside falling channel and below falling 55 week EMA. Deeper fall could be seen to retest 109.48 (2016 low) next. On the upside, break of 122.87 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.02; (P) 125.60; (R1) 125.94; More….

EUR/JPY retreated deeply after hitting 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, above 125.19 will bring retest of 127.48 high. However, break of 125.07 will resume the correction from 127.48. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 121.63 to 127.48 at 123.86.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 134.38; (P) 134.94; (R1) 135.46; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected with 133.70 support intact. On the upside, sustained break of 137.49 resistance will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.