Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.99; (P) 127.15; (R1) 127.32; More….

EUR/JPY rises to as high as 127.59 so far today and break of 127.48 indicates resumption of whole up trend from 114.42. Intraday bias in back on the upside for 128.67 long term fibonacci level next. Sustained break there will confirm medium term upside momentum and target 100% projection of 121.63 to 127.48 from 125.07 at 130.92 next. On the downside, break of 126.97 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring some consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 125.07 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will indicate solid upside momentum and target 137.49 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 121.63 support holds.

EUR/JPY edged higher to 125.95 last week but gyrated down afterwards. Break of 124.36 suggests that rebound from 118.62 has completed just ahead of 55 day EMA . Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 123.78 support first. Break there will add more credence to this case and target a test on 118.62 low. On the upside, break of 125.95 resistance is needed to confirm resumption of the rebound. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.49 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 118.62 will target 161.8% projection of 137.49 to 124.61 from 133.12 at 112.28, which is inside 109.03/114.84 support zone.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. It could extend through 109.03 to resume the decline from 149.76 But in that case, we’d expect strong support around 94.11 (2012 low) to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.74; (P) 133.30; (R1) 133.65; More….

EUR/JPY ist still bounded in n range of 131.65/134.48 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone will confirm medium term up trend resumption. In that case, 141.04 resistance will be the next time. On the downside, though, decisive break of 131.65 will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level and confirm near term reversal. And, in such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 127.55 key support level.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.64; (P) 119.93; (R1) 120.32; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as the decline from 124.08 extends. Such choppy fall is seen as a corrective move. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) to bring rebound. On the upside, above 120.54 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 123.30/124.08 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nonetheless, decisive break of 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39) will argue that rise from 109.20 is completed and turn outlook bearish for 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.56; (P) 129.90; (R1) 130.18; More….

EUR/JPY is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further rise remains in favor with 129.25 minor support intact. Whole consolidation from 134.11 could have completed with three waves down to 127.36, ahead of 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. Further rally would be seen to retest 133.44/134.11 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 129.25 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.52; (P) 129.68; (R1) 129.98; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside and rebound from 127.91 could target 130.73 resistance. Firm break there will argue that correction from 134.11 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish for retesting this high. On the downside, break of 129.03 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 127.91 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.49; (P) 132.22; (R1) 132.68; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment with focus on 131.65 key support. Decisive break there will confirm rejection from 134.20 fibonacci level. That will also complete and double top pattern (134.39, 134.48) and confirms near term reversal. 55 day EMA will also be firmly taken out. In that case, deeper decline should be seen back to 127.55 key support. On the upside, decisive break of 134.39/48 resistance zone is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of rebound, near term outlook is neutral at best.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 is already met. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. However, break of 127.55 support will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and will turn outlook bearish for deeper fall back to 114.84/124.08 support zone at least.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.32; (P) 160.81; (R1) 161.71; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 153.15 is in progress for 161.8% projection of 153.15 to 158.55 from 155.06 at 163.79, which is close to 164.29 high. On the downside, below 160.03 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally is expected as long as 158.55 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.95; (P) 123.21; (R1) 123.42; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Corrective pattern from 127.07 is possibly extending with another falling leg. Break of 122.84 Below 122.84 will target a test on 121.63 support. However, break of 123.66 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 125.13 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.93; (P) 139.47; (R1) 140.00; More….

EUR/JPY’s rise from 133.38 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 133.38 to 138.38 from 135.50 at 140.50. Decisive break there will indicate upside acceleration, and raise the chance of up trend resumption through 144.26 high. On the downside, below 138.24 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.24; (P) 117.77; (R1) 118.39; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the downside, decisive break of 115.86/116.12 support zone will resume larger down trend. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 122.78 to 116.12 from 121.14 at 114.39. On the upside, though, break of 118.87 minor resistance will argue that consolidation from 115.86 is extending with another rising leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 121.14 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as falling 55 week EMA. As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend form 137.49 should extend to 109.48 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 122.87 will indicate medium term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.92; (P) 116.23; (R1) 116.54; More…

With 117.31 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 114.88 next. And, sustained break there will pave the way to retest 109.20 low. On the upside, above 117.31 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But upside should be limited below 119.31 support turned resistance and bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39 indicates that medium term rise from 109.20 is completed at 124.08. That’s well below 126.09 key support turned resistance. Also, EUR/JPY failed to sustain above 55 week EMA. Deeper decline would now be seen back to 109.20 low. Overall, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is not completed yet. Break of 109.20 will resume such down trend towards 94.11 low. In any case, break of 126.09 is needed needed to confirm medium term reversal.

EUR/JPY’s retreat from 164.29 finished at 161.22 and recovered since then. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week for retesting 164.29 first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, however, break of 162.42 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 164.29 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.

In the long term picture, rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as the third leg of the whole up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 114.42 at 170.07 which is close to 169.96 (2008 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.87; (P) 133.10; (R1) 133.29; More….

With 132.03 minor support intact, EUR/JPY’s recovery from 128.94 could extend higher. But after all, it’s seen as a corrective move. Therefore, we expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 to limit upside. Break of 132.03 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 128.94 low. However, sustained break of 134.22 will turn focus back to 137.49 high instead.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 129.91) suggests that the first leg has completed at 128.94 already. Nonetheless, break of 137.49 is needed to confirm resumption of the rise from 109.03 (2016 low). Otherwise, we’d expect more corrective range trading, with risk of another fall to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.13; (P) 147.49; (R1) 147.96; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally should target 148.38 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 149.75 long term resistance. Meanwhile, outlook will stay bullish as long as 145.66 resistance turned support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.44) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. Decisive break there will resume long term up trend. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.96; (P) 118.23; (R1) 118.73; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point as rebound from 115.86 is in progress. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 123.35 to 115.86 at 118.72 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 120.48. On the downside, break of 117.73 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 115.86 instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s seen as a falling leg of multi-year sideway pattern. Deeper fall could be seen to 109.48 (2016 low and below). On the upside, break of 120.78 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.72; (P) 156.46; (R1) 157.23; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 153.32 is in progress to retest 157.99 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, below 154.86 minor support should resume the corrective fall from 157.99 through 153.32 support, to 55 D EMA (now at 153.00) and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.06; (P) 129.45; (R1) 130.11; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally extends to as high as 130.04 so far and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rally from 124.89 should target resistance zone between 131.97 and 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56. On the downside, below 128.78 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY once again rebounded ahead of 124.08 key resistance turned support. It’s also held above long term trend line from 109.03 (2016 low). The development argues that such rise from 109.03 might now be over yet. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. But, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.32; (P) 142.92; (R1) 143.28; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Another rise is in favor. Break of 144.15 will extend the rebound from 137.37 to 146.71 resistance next. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 142.00) will argue that the correction from 148.38 is still in progress and target 137.37 low again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.03) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.15; (P) 125.33; (R1) 125.47; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral at this point. Current development argues that corrective pull back from 127.50 might have completed already. Hence, further rise is expected as long as 124.47 minor support intact. On the upside, above 125.50 will turn bias to the upside for 126.78/127.50 resistance zone. However, on the downside, break of 124.47 will turn bias back to the downside for 123.65 support instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY is staying well inside medium term falling channel from 137.49 (2018 high). It’s also held below 55 week EMA (now at 127.53). Thus, down trend from 137.49 might still extend lower. Break of 118.62 will target 109.03/114.84 long term support zone. On the upside, however, break of 127.50 will solidify the case of medium term bullish reversal. Rise from 118.76 should extend to 133.12 key resistance instead.