EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.40; (P) 128.86; (R1) 129.36; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside as rebound from 126.63 is in progress for 130.20 resistance. Though, strong resistance from there might be seen to limit upside to resume the decline from 133.12. On the downside, break of 127.61 minor support will turn bias to the downside. Break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 to retest 124.89 low. Nonetheless, sustained break of 130.20 will pave the way back to 133.12 high instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY edged higher to 125.32 last week and break of 125.09 resistance suggests resumption of rebound from 118.62. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 126.43). On the downside, break of 123.78 support is now needed to indicate completion of rebound form 118.62. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Fall from 137.49 is seen as a falling leg inside the pattern. It could extend through 109.03 to resume the decline from 149.76 But in that case, we’d expect strong support around 94.11 (2012 low) to bring reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.29; (P) 127.76; (R1) 128.29; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. Near term outlook also remain bearish with 128.44 minor resistance intact. ON the downside, break of 126.63 will extend the fall from 133.12 and target 124.89 low. Nonetheless, break of 1.2844 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 130.20 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 125.53; (P) 126.00; (R1) 126.31; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation from 126.75 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained above 124.31 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 126.75 will target 100% projection of 114.42 to 124.43 from 119.31 at 129.32. Nevertheless, break of 124.31 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.49 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 122.54) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.63; (P) 157.18; (R1) 157.56; More….

EUR/JPY’s fall from 157.99 is extending lower today and intraday bias is now on the downside with strong break of 55 4H EMA. Deeper correction could be seen to 154.03 support or below. But overall outlook will stay bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds. Larger rally is still expected to resume through 157.99 after the correction completes.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.72; (P) 128.36; (R1) 128.70; More….

EUR/JPY drops to as low as 126.80 so far as the fall from 131.79 resumed after brief consolidation. The break of 127.13 support confirms our bearish view. That is corrective rebound from 124.61 has completed with three waves up to 131.97 already. Also, the larger fall from 137.49 could be resuming. Intraday bias is now on the downside for retesting 124.61 first. On the upside, above 127.63 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 128.49 support turned resistance to bring another fall.

In the bigger picture, for now, EUR/JPY is still holding above 124.08 key support turned resistance. And the larger rise from 109.03 (2016 low) mildly in favor to resume. Break of 133.47 should send the cross through 137.49 high. However, decisive break of 124.08 will confirm medium term reversal and could then pave the way back to 109.03 low and below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 117.82; (P) 118.25; (R1) 118.59; More….

EUR/JPY is possibly in the third leg of the consolidation from 115.86. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for 121.14 resistance. Break of target 122.87 key resistance. On the downside, break of 117.45 minor support will bring retest of 115.86 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high), as well as falling 55 week EMA. As long as 122.87 resistance holds, the down trend form 137.49 should extend to 109.48 (2016 low). However, sustained break of 122.87 will indicate medium term bullish reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.46; (P) 147.96; (R1) 148.81; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point, with focus on 148.38 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend, and next target will be 149.76 long term resistance. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 146.39 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 140.70) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). Decisive break there will resume long term up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 153.64.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.03; (P) 130.58; (R1) 130.92; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues above 129.22. With 131.36 resistance intact, further fall is expected in the cross. Below 129.22 will target 128.94 first. Break will resume whole fall from 137.49 and target 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18, and possibly further to 126.61 medium term fibonacci level. Nonetheless, break of 131.36 will turn focus back to 133.47 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.78; (P) 143.23; (R1)143.89; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is staying neutral as consolidation from 145.62 is extending. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 138.38 resistance turned support bring another rally. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% projection of 124.37 to 144.26 from 133.38 at 145.67 will pave the way to 149.76 long term resistance, and then 100% projection at 153.27.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 133.38 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s decline last momentum ahead of 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 127.07 at 122.23 and turned sideway last week. Initial bias is neutral this week first and some more consolidations could be seen. But further fall is expected as long as 124.31 resistance holds. Firm break of 122.23 will extend the fall from 127.07 to 61.8% retracement at 119.25. However, break of 124.31 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 127.07 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.12; (R1) 129.66; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 129.62 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 127.36 will resume fall from 133.44 and larger pattern from 134.11. Next target is 126.58 medium term fibonacci level. However, firm break of 129.62 will now argue that fall from 133.44 has completed, and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 114.42 (2020 low) to 134.11 at 126.58 holds, up trend from 114.42 is still in favor to continue. Break of 134.11 will target long term resistance at 137.49 (2018 high). However, sustained break of 126.58 will raise the chance of medium term bearish reversal. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 121.94, and possibly below.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.60; (P) 137.00; (R1) 137.70; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 138.38, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 138.29) will suggest that whole correction from 144.26 has completed. Further rally would then be seen back to retest 144.26 high. However, break of 135.63 will turn bias back to the downside for 133.38 low instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY rebounded strongly last week but failed to sustain above 125.08 resistance and retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 125.08 should confirm completion of the corrective decline from 127.07 at 121.63. Further rise should be seen to retest 127.07 high. However, break of 123.18 will turn bias to the downside for 121.63, to extend the correction.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 119.31 support holds. Break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67 next. However, firm break of 119.31 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

In the long term picture, EUR/JPY is staying in long term sideway pattern, established since 2000. Another rising leg could have started for 137.49 resistance and above.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY’s rebound last week was limited below 136.36 and retreated. As it’s bounded in range of 133.03/136.63, initial bias remains neutral this week first. For the moment, outlook stays bullish as long as 133.03 support holds and another rise is in favor. Break of 136.63 will resume medium term up trend. However, on the downside, break of 133.03 will have 55 day EMA and medium term channel support firmly taken out. Also, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD too, that will suggest medium term reversal. Deeper fall should then be seen to 132.04 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 109.03 (2016 low) is seen as at the same degree as the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) to 109.03 (2016 low). It should be targeting 141.04/149.76 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 132.04 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, at this point, there is no clear indication that rise from 109.03 is resuming that from 94.11 (2012 low). Hence, we’d be cautious on topping below 149.76 to extend range trading. Nonetheless, firm break of 149.76 will indicates strong underlying buying. In such case, EUR/JPY will target 100% projection of 94.11 to 149.76 from 109.03 at 164.68.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Weekly Chart

EUR/JPY Monthly Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.76; (P) 128.44; (R1) 128.91; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment and near term outlook stays cautiously bearish. On the downside, break of 127.49 will target 126.63 support first. Break there will then resume the whole decline from 133.12 to 124.08/89 support zone. And, even in case of another strong recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 130.14 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.15; (P) 126.41; (R1) 126.63; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 127.50 temporary top is extending. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 124.23/125.95 support zone to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 127.50 will resume the rally from 118.62 towards 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 118.62 at 130.28 next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that medium term decline from 137.49 (2018 high) has completed with three waves down to 118.62 already. Decisive break of 133.12 resistance will confirm this bullish case. And whole up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) might resume through 137.49 in that case. On the downside, break of 124.23 support will invalidate this case and turn focus back to 118.62 instead.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 115.98; (P) 117.34; (R1) 118.56; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with today’s strong rebound. Break of 118.46 support turned resistance mixed up near term outlook. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the downside, decisive break of 115.86 low will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 137.49. Nevertheless, break of 121.39 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 122.87 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as the cross is staying well inside falling channel established since 137.49 (2018 high). It was also rejected by 55 week EMA. Break of 115.86 will extend the down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) to 109.48 (2016 low) next.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.02; (P) 126.35; (R1) 126.70; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside at this point. Current rebound from 125.07 would target a test on 127.48 high. On the downside, below 125.98 minor support will turn bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Further rise is expected as long as 121.63 support holds. Decisive break of 127.07 will target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 (2018 high) to 114.42 at 128.67. Sustained trading above there will target 137.49 next. However, firm break of 121.63 will argue that the rise from 114.42 has completed and turn focus back to this low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.37; (P) 163.04; (R1) 163.55; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 162.42 minor support suggest that rebound from 161.22 has completed. Intraday bias is back on the downside to extend the corrective pattern from 164.29, with a third leg. Deeper fall should be seen through 161.22 to 100% projection of 164.29 tot 161.22 from 163.77 at 160.63. But strong support should be seen from 159.75 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Nevertheless, for now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 163.70 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). On the downside, break of 159.75 resistance turned support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pullback.