EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.95; (P) 158.21; (R1) 158.65; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range trading and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 156.85 will turn bias back to the downside deeper fall towards 151.39 support. On the upside, break of 159.75 will resume larger up trend instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.18; (P) 131.45; (R1) 131.74; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally from 124.61 should target 100% projection of 124.61 to 130.33 from 127.13 at 132.85 next. On the downside, below 130.79 minor support will turn bias to the downside and bring retreat. But downside should be contained by 129.55 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of channel resistance from 137.49 suggests that the decline from there as completed. The three wave structure suggests that it’s a correction. With 124.08 key resistance turned support intact, medium term bullishness is also retained. Break of 133.47 will affirm this bullish case and target 137.49 and above. This will now be the favored case as long as 127.13 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 124.04; (P) 124.68; (R1) 125.58; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebounds should 118.62 should have just resumed for 55 day EMA (now at 126.38). On the downside, break of 123.78 support is now needed to indicate completion of rebound form 118.62. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49 already, with corrective structure. Fall from 137.39 is possibly just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 109.03. Break of 133.12 resistance should start the third leg to 137.49 and above. Nevertheless, break of 118.62 will resume the decline from 137.49 for 109.03/114.84 support zone instead.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY recovered last week but failed to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Correction from 148.38 might have completed at 142.54. Break of 147.09 resistance will indicate that larger up trend is ready to resume through 148.38 high. However, on the downside, sustained break of 142.65 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 139.11 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, there is no clear sign of medium term topping yet. Up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 148.38 to 149.76 (2014 high). However, break of 137.32 support argue that a medium term correction has already started to correct the whole up trend from 114.42.

In the long term picture, outlook will stay bullish as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds (2021 high). Sustained break of 149.76 (2014 high) will open up further rally, as resumption of the rise from 94.11 (2012 low), towards 169.96 (2008 high).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.45; (P) 131.98; (R1) 133.04; More….

EUR/JPY’s rally extends to as high as 133.05 so far today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Break of key fibonacci resistance at 132.56 should confirmed that correction from 137.49 has completed. Further rally should be seen to retest this high. On the downside, below 132.22 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral to bring consolidation. But downside should be contained by 130.86 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/JPY has defended key support level of 124.08 key resistance turned support. And, the larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 137.49 will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 127.85 near term support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.02; (P) 160.40; (R1) 161.15; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 164.29 is in progress for 161.8% projection of 164.29 to 161.22 from 163.70 at 158.73. Sustained break there will target 154.32 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 154.64). On the upside, above 160.58 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, bearish divergence condition in 55 D EMA indicates that a medium term top could be formed at 164.29 already, after hitting rising channel resistance. But price actions from there are tentatively seen as a correction only. There is no clear sign that the up trend from 144.42 (2020 low) has completed yet. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 152.12) holds, another rally through 164.29 is still in favor as a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.82; (P) 141.24; (R1) 141.86; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, break of 139.78 will target 137.83 support first. Sustained break there will raise the chance of rejection by 144.06 long term projection level and target 132.63 support. On the upside, above 142.42 minor resistance will bring retest of 144.26 high instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Sustained trading above 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06 will indicate upside acceleration and target 149.76 long term resistance (2014 high). In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 132.63 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 119.69; (P) 120.00; (R1) 120.55; More….

Focus is now on 120.63 minor resistance in EUR/JPY. Break will suggests that corrective fall from 121.46 has completed at 119.24, and rise from 115.86 is ready to resume. Further rise should then be seen to 121.46 resistance for confirmation. Break there will target 123.35 structural resistance. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 119.11 support holds, in case of another retreat.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 115.86, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, ahead of 114.84 support. Decisive of 120.78 support turned resistance will affirm this case and bring further rise to falling channel resistance (now at 125.32). Reactions from there would decide whether the medium term trend has reversed. For now, further rise is expected as long as 117.07 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.72; (P) 141.51; (R1) 142.26; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 137.37 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed, and bring stronger rise back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.62) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.45; (P) 153.84; (R1) 155.50; More….

EUR/JPY’s decline accelerates to as low as 151.39 so far and intraday bias stays on the downside. The break of 153.32 could have completed a double top pattern (157.99, 158.03). Deeper fall is now expected as long as 154.91 minor resistance holds. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 139.05 to 157.99 at 150.77. Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 146.30. On the upside, above 154.91 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. Nevertheless, sustained break of 151.60 will argue that larger correction is already underway. Deeper decline would be seen to 55 W EMA (now at 145.19).

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.18; (P) 135.80; (R1) 136.76; More….

EUR/JPY’s break of 135.85 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 133.38, after defending 134.11 key support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 138.54). Sustained break there will suggest that whole correction from 144.26 has completed. This will now remain the favored case as long as 133.38 support holds.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.52; (P) 131.69; (R1) 131.84; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 131.21 support will likely extend the correction from 134.11 through 130.02. But in this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 132.68 will bring retest of 134.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.70; (P) 140.82; (R1) 141.55; More….

EUR/JPY is still bounded in range of 137.37/142.84 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, firm break of 155.33 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level next. On the upside, decisive break of 142.84 resistance will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed. Stronger rally should then be seen back to 146.71 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.81) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/JPY Weekly Outlook

EUR/JPY stayed in consolidation from 139.99 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. In case of another decline, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 124.37 to 139.99 at 134.02 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 139.99 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Such rise is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, focus stays on 137.49 resistance (2018 high). Sustained break there will raise the chance that whole rise from 94.11 (2012 low) is resuming through 149.76 resistance. This will be a slightly favored case for now, as long as 124.37 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.34; (P) 141.80; (R1) 142.47; More….

A short term bottom should be formed in EUR/JPY at 138.79 with current rebound. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 143.37). Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 148.38 has completed with three waves down to 138.79. Further rise should then be seen back to 146.71/148.38 resistance zone. On the downside, below 141.12 will bring retest of 138.79 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40 before completing the correction from 148.38.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.39; (P) 130.52; (R1) 130.75; More….

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation form 130.73 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 129.14 support holds, further rise is in favor. Corrective fall from 134.11 could have completed at 127.91 already. On the upside, break of 130.73 will resume the rebound from 127.91 to 132.68 resistance next. However, break of 129.14 will dampen this bullish view and bring retest of 127.91 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. As long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, further rise is still expected to retest 137.49 (2018 high). However, firm break of 127.07 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 134.11 at 121.94.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.55; (P) 164.82; (R1) 165.25; More

EUR/JPY’s breach of 165.33 resistance argues that larger up trend is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to 169.96 key resistance next. Nevertheless, break of 164.39 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, current rally is part of the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low), which is still in progress. Next target is 169.96 (2008 high). Break of 160.20 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.24; (P) 156.10; (R1) 156.55; More

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, above 158.55 will resume the corrective rebound from 153.15. On the downside, break of 153.15 will resume whole fall from 164.39 to 61.8% retracement of 139.05 to 164.29 at 148.69.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 164.29 medium term top are tentatively seen as a correction to rise from 139.05 for now. As long as 148.48 resistance turned support holds (2022 high), larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still resume through 164.29 at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.68; (P) 132.05; (R1) 132.54; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 131.21 support will likely extend the correction from 134.11 through 130.02. But in this case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 121.63 to 134.11 at 129.34 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 132.68 will bring retest of 134.11 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 is seen as a medium term rising leg inside a long term sideway pattern. Next target is 137.49 (2018 high). Decisive break there will open up the possibility that it’s indeed resuming the up trend from 94.11 (2012 low). For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 127.07 resistance turned support holds, in case of pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.50; (P) 129.96; (R1) 130.79; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for 131.39 high. Correction from 131.39 has completed at 127.55 already, after hitting 55 day EMA. Firm break of 131.39 will resume larger rally and target 61.8% projection of 122.39 to 131.39 from 127.55 at 133.11 next. On the downside, below 129.10 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 127.55 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart